JUNE 2015 -Scattered Showers/Storms To End The Month

[singlemom]

Would you believe UA has not cancelled our fight into IAH arriving at 4:40 pm today.....last flight 6:40, and if I change to tomorrow.... penalty. If they do cancel, we will already be heading to the airport. Grrrr.

[srainhoutx]

Nice wobble to the SW for Bill. I recall Carla did this as well back in 1961 near Matagorda Bay.

[unome]

GOES-R WRF sims - http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... km_WRF-ARW

NSSL Realtime WRF model Forecasts - http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/wrf/

36-hr precip loop - http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/wrf/preciploop.html

wrf 36hr precip forecast.jpg

[ticka1]

did everyone go into work today?

[mckinne63]

did everyone go into work today?

I decided to stay home. Looks like some folks at my office went in, some stayed home. I knew if I went in I would just be watching the weather and worrying and probably wouldn't accomplish much. You can call me Nervous Nellie.

[kayci]

hey ticka! I'm at work here in Alvin, for now.... LOL

[unome]

did everyone go into work today?

our son did, his employer gathered all employees together yesterday & basically threatened "better be here & not be late" (kinder, gentler version). his ride in was looking like a normal, nasty day on 290, but I hope it isn't raining horribly for his ride home (after mandatory overtime)

that's all I'm going to say about that...

[srainhoutx]

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 16th day of the month at 13:37Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF98-5308
Storm Number & Year: 02 in 2015
Storm Name: Bill (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 14
A. Time of Center Fix: 16th day of the month at 13:23:10Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 28°03'N 96°18'W (28.05N 96.3W)
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,401m (4,596ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 55kts (~ 63.3mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 34 nautical miles (39 statute miles) to the E (90°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 145° at 55kts (From the SE at ~ 63.3mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 40 nautical miles (46 statute miles) to the E (88°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 998mb (29.47 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,524m (5,000ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 20°C (68°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,524m (5,000ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp & Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile

Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 55kts (~ 63.3mph) which was observed 40 nautical miles (46 statute miles) to the E (88°) from the flight level center at 13:09:00Z
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 60° at 6kts (From the ENE at 7mph)

[Katdaddy]

So far so good in downtown Houston but watching the radar trends. Traffic was very light coming into town on the Gulf Freeway. Perhaps I can see a tropical funnel our 2 today

[davidiowx]

Yep I am at work in Stafford. Was dry coming in. Got to work around 7:45 and started pouring 2 minutes later. Since then it has been light rains and gusty winds so far this morning.

[jabcwb2]

At work in the Galleria area. Easy commute, light rain.

[srainhoutx]

[nuby3]

the main action will likely be this evening and tonight i'd imagine

[Texashawk]

Any chance it keeps going west and moves closer to Corpus?

[srainhoutx]

Any chance it keeps going west and moves closer to Corpus?

Should wobble back to the NW. There is a trough axis across Central Texas and the upper level Westerly wind flow should pick it up and lift off to the NE.

[GBinGrimes]

Nice wobble to the SW for Bill. I recall Carla did this as well back in 1961 near Matagorda Bay.

06162015 1322Z recon_AF308-0402A-BILL.png

I'll admit I know nothing about forecasting weather or reading maps or graphs or anything of the sort. But, in looking at the visible imagery and loop imagery in regards to the wobble, it almost appears that a different center of circulation is trying to form to the west of Corpus Christi even as the "eye" is nearing the coast. There is so much deep convection to the south of this system that is pulling in and appearing to try to wrap further out in the Gulf.

[srainhoutx]

[srainhoutx]

[nuby3]

looks like the moisture from the pacific is working into it as well. a lot of the people I know are currently making fun of the storm on facebook. really worries me

[Ounce]

Here in Corpus, the clouds are low, no rain, and a NNW wind around 10-15. The local TV weatherman, a low-keyed person, said 2-3 inches would cause some flooding down here. The beach is already holding water from the active surf. The forecast for Corpus is for afternoon rain, but not too windy at all.

Alice ISD cancelled classes.