Hopefully this will turn out to be a Central America and Mexico storm, not a Texas storm. (forgive me for any wishcasting).srainhoutx wrote:The tropical Atlantic remains quiet with a lot of SAL (African Dust) across the MDR (Main Development Region), but the tropical waves continue to travers the Central Atlantic. One wave about 2000 miles E of the Caribbean Islands may be worth monitoring in about 10 days as it near the Western Caribbean Sea were conditions may become more favorable for tropical development. The latest MJO 200mb charts are suggesting a more favorable pattern with rising air assisting in the development of tropical thunderstorms nearing the Eastern Pacific around the 1st few day of July. There is also a CCKW (Convectively Coupled Kelvin Wave) slowly advancing E across the Western Pacific and the various MJO (Madden Julian Oscillation) schemes suggest the potential of a somewhat more favorable pattern developing around the same time. Time will tell.
2015 General Tropical Atlantic Discussions
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Paul Robison
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wxman57
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Wind shear up to 90-100 kts across the Caribbean & western Gulf now. Extremely hostile conditions out there. I don't think we'll see the next storm until August. Nothing on the horizon now.
