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March Ends As One Of The 'Wettest' March On Record

Posted: Wed Feb 25, 2015 8:58 pm
by Katdaddy
I know I am. Winter -2015 continues but warmer days are ahead.

Re: March: Who is Ready Spring?

Posted: Wed Feb 25, 2015 10:24 pm
by Ptarmigan
March is the month of expectation.
-Emily Dickinson, March is the Month of Expectation

March can get cold as there have been cold blasts in the past. It even snowed once in March in 1932. Leap Day 1932 is the warmest Leap Day recorded at 85°F. 10 days later, it is cold again.

February Normals, Means and Extremes for Houston
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/?n=climate_iah_normals_feb

March Normals, Means and Extremes for Houston
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/?n=climate_iah_normals_mar

Re: March: Who is Ready Spring?

Posted: Thu Feb 26, 2015 11:16 am
by srainhoutx
Unfortunately the 12Z GFS suggests Spring like weather will be squashed come next Wednesday as yet another strong shot of Arctic air arrives bringing a chance of more freezing temperatures almost to the Coast into next weekend.

Re: March: Who is Ready Spring?

Posted: Thu Feb 26, 2015 1:20 pm
by texoz
I thought I read here about a week ago that first week or two of March was looking warm? Not happening now I guess?

Re: March: Who is Ready Spring?

Posted: Thu Feb 26, 2015 1:32 pm
by Texaspirate11
I'm putting in my request for 90 degrees.
Bring it.

Re: March: Who is Ready Spring?

Posted: Thu Feb 26, 2015 3:04 pm
by srainhoutx
No sign of Spring like weather in the Updated Day 8+ Analogs or the Climate Prediction Center Day 6 to 10 temperature and precipitation Outlook.
02262015 CPC Day 8+ Analogs 610analog_off.gif
02262015 CPC Day 6 to 10 Temps 610temp_new.gif
02262015 CPC Day 6 to 10 Precip 610prcp_new.gif

Re: March: Who is Ready Spring?

Posted: Thu Feb 26, 2015 3:16 pm
by ticka1
Going to NM for Spring Break - love that map with the cold and moisture - aka snow!!!! After March is over with - Spring can arrive.

:mrgreen:

Re: March: Who is Ready Spring?

Posted: Fri Feb 27, 2015 8:58 am
by BlueJay
I'm ready for spring!

Re: March: Who is Ready Spring?

Posted: Fri Feb 27, 2015 11:55 am
by srainhoutx
We are beginning to see a trend develop regarding the strong Arctic front expected to arrive next Wednesday. More wintry mischief may be an issue as the cold upper trough swings across our Region next week.
02272015 12Z GFS 138 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_23.png
02272015 12Z Euro 144 ecmwf_T850a_us_7.png
02272015 12Z CMC 144 gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_24.png

Re: March: Warm Up Early Week/Arctic Front Arrives Wednesday

Posted: Fri Feb 27, 2015 4:01 pm
by srainhoutx
NWS San Antonio/Austin as well as Houston/Galveston already mentioning the possibility of wintry precipitation next Wednesday into Thursday with the strong Arctic front arriving mid next week. I will enjoy the warming trend Monday and Tuesday before the bottom falls out again temperature wise. Enough of this cold weather...sigh

Re: March: Warm Up Early Week/Arctic Front Arrives Wednesday

Posted: Fri Feb 27, 2015 6:18 pm
by BlueJay
Sigh...I guess it will be OK if we can stay above freezing!

Re: March: Warm Up Early Week/Arctic Front Arrives Wednesday

Posted: Sat Feb 28, 2015 1:26 am
by Heat Miser
True, but NWS H/G again says it will be the far northern areas of southeast Texas. Houston and southward, same ole same ole (cold rain and misery).....

Re: March: Warm Up Early Week/Arctic Front Arrives Wednesday

Posted: Sat Feb 28, 2015 8:34 am
by srainhoutx
Actually the 00Z GFS shows a bit of sleet after the next Arctic front arrives at IAH.
02282015 00Z GFS iahgfs.png

Re: March: Warm Up Early Week/Arctic Front Arrives Wednesday

Posted: Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:18 am
by BlueJay
Will March 2015 be the coldest month of this winter? I hope not...

Re: March: Warm Up Early Week/Arctic Front Arrives Wednesday

Posted: Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:29 am
by unome
:(

http://www.cpcpara.ncep.noaa.gov/

For Monday March 02 - Friday March 06: An arctic air mass is forecast to move southward and eastward out of western Canada early in the period. Unseasonably cold air is expected to overspread most of the lower 48 states, reaching the Eastern Seaboard by the end of next week. Temperatures are predicted to range between 12 and 32 degrees F below normal, with the largest departures in the Central CONUS.

Image

Re: March: Warm Up Early Week/Arctic Front Arrives Wednesday

Posted: Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:39 am
by redneckweather
No, we will not see any wintry precip with next weeks front, no matter what the models say. How many times have the models shown wintry precip for us this fall/winter season in the medium to long range? Way too many times to count and NADA when the time came. More miserable weather with a cold rain next week.

Re: March: Warm Up Early Week/Arctic Front Arrives Wednesday

Posted: Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:54 am
by Heat Miser
srainhoutx wrote:Actually the 00Z GFS shows a bit of sleet after the next Arctic front arrives at IAH.
That would be interesting, but I'm pretty sure it will be well north of the Houston area. NWSHG still sees this possible event as a far north event.
strong cold front that is expected to move through the area on Wednesday.
The frontal timing will play a significant role on wednesday's high
temperatures...and for now have indicated falling readings in the afternoon.
It will become breezy and colder behind the front...and up north where
temperatures might get close to the freezing
level Wednesday night through
Thursday morning we might need to keep an eye on the possibility of
some frozen precipitation.

Re: March: Warm Up Early Week/Arctic Front Arrives Wednesday

Posted: Sat Feb 28, 2015 12:05 pm
by srainhoutx
The 12Z GFS continues the trend of advertising wintry weather across a lot of our Region which includes, Central/N/NE/E and portions of SE Texas into Louisiana. The GFS suggests 2 meter temperatures running anywhere from the mid to upper 20's to the low 30's by Thursday morning depending on your location, if the GFS is correct.
The attachment 02282015 12Z GFS 108 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_18.png is no longer available
02282015 12Z GFS 114 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_19.png
02282015 12Z GFS 120 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_20.png

Re: March: Warm Up Early Week/Arctic Front Arrives Wednesday

Posted: Sat Feb 28, 2015 12:09 pm
by harpman
srainhoutx wrote:The 12Z GFS continues the trend of advertising wintry weather across a lot of our Region which includes, Central/N/NE/E and portions of SE Texas into Louisiana. The GFS suggests 2 meter temperatures running anywhere from the mid to upper 20's to the low 30's by Thursday morning depending on your location, if the GFS is correct.
02282015 12Z GFS 108 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_18.png
02282015 12Z GFS 114 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_19.png
02282015 12Z GFS 120 gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_20.png

It's been showing this set up for 6 to 7 runs in a row now.

Re: March: Warm Up Early Week/Arctic Front Arrives Wednesday

Posted: Sat Feb 28, 2015 12:55 pm
by srainhoutx
The 12Z Euro has trended 'wetter' and 'colder' as the shortwave (upper air disturbance) embedded in the mean cold upper trough lingers back to our W a bit longer. We will see, but somewhere across Texas/Louisiana on N and E may see a fairly good shot of seeing a wintry mix if the trends continue.
02282015 12Z Euro f120.gif