Wx Infinity Forums

This year has been a very interesting weather year for us. The cooler and wetter spring and summer, so far, have been a welcome change. I am wondering what type of interesting weather action will happen in August that will only add to our unique weather story this year. Maybe we are "due" for some tropical action?

We will see...

Actually, I feel that if we do have any tropical activity this year, it would be in August.
Don't know why.

Somehow I truly feel this will be a cane less year all around for us in the GOM
just a feeling, nothing based on fact....

I don't know about the whole Gulf in general, but our area seems ok this year with persistent high pressures to the w/nw and troughs and fronts around the eastern US. That has recurve or MX written all over it.

Always the million dollar question. I am more concerned the season with late Summer and early Fall fronts stalling across the NGOM rather than Cape Verde systems making it into the GOM.

I was just thinking an Alicia type home brew.

Since we had a cooler than normal spring and there is a correlation between cooler springs and major hurricane making landfall on Southeast Texas. Also, San Antonio Spurs won.

Going to be real hard to get any tropical activity this far west with such an active westerly season going on. Troughs of this nature will curve almost anything in the Atlantic. September/October may be our best chance honestly. Of course can't say that with certain and if the pattern changes, the gulf comes back into play again.

Yes with the SPURS winning and hurricane correlation - that I believe is fact!

The global operational and ensemble guidance as well as the longer term CFSv2 weeklies continue to advertise a very similar pattern developing in early to mid August as we have seen since July 1st. Such a pattern would suggest that the same unusual Western Ridge/Eastern trough may offer bouts of cold fronts attempting to settle S into our Region and rain chances continuing. The tropics may begin to heat up somewhat as convection across Africa slowly increases and these easterly waves traverse the Atlantic and perhaps lessen some of that dust that has been keeping the deep tropics across the N Atlantic in check.

*** Moving this warning to August thread since we are 20 minutes away from August 1st. ***

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1133 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTH CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 230 AM CDT

* AT 1129 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED
HEAVY RAIN FALLING ALONG THE NORTH SIDE OF BELTWAY 8 FROM NEAR THE
TOMBALL PARKWAY TO HIGHWAY 59. HARRIS COUNTY FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM
REPORTS 2.56 INCHES IN THE LAST HOUR NEAR ALDINE AND NORTH HOUSTON.
REPORTS OF HIGH WATER HAVE REPORTED IN THESE AREAS.

TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS ALREADY
OCCURRING.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
HUMBLE...JERSEY VILLAGE...NORTHSIDE / NORTHLINE...GREATER
HEIGHTS...ALDINE...SPRING...NEAR NORTHSIDE HOUSTON...GREATER
GREENSPOINT...KINGWOOD...ACRES HOME...EAST HOUSTON...EASTEX /
JENSEN AREA...LAZYBROOK / TIMBERGROVE...FAIRBANKS / NORTHWEST
CROSSING...BUSH INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT...EAST LITTLE YORK /
HOMESTEAD...CENTRAL NORTHWEST...HIDDEN VALLEY...HOUSTON GARDENS AND
LANGWOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1157 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 200 AM CDT

* AT 1154 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN NEAR CLEVELAND. THE THUNDERSTORM HAS STARTED TO WEAKEN
BUT THE AREA HAS ALREADY SEEN HEAVY RAIN. UP TO FIVE INCHES OF
RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CLEVELAND...SPLENDORA...PATTON VILLAGE...ROMAN FOREST...
WOODBRANCH...PLUM GROVE...NORTH CLEVELAND AND TARKINGTON PRAIRIE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN!

&&

Some very impressive rainfall totals thus far. Numerous high water rescues in progress. Check out the amounts measured near Aldine Westfield and the North Sam Houston!!!! Also up in extreme NE Harris County!!! Backbuilding continues so looks like Metro Houston will be under the gun for awhile.

http://www.harriscountyfws.org/

From the NWS regarding overnight storms in SE Texas!!!!! Heed all warnings and turn around don't drown!!!!

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1232 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 230 AM CDT

* AT 1230 AM CDT...GAUGE REPORTS INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN NEAR THE CITY OF HOUSTON. FIVE INCHES OF RAIN HAS
ALREADY FALLEN IN THE PAST HOUR. ANOTHER ONE TO THREE INCHES IS
POSSIBLE.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
NORTHWESTERN PASADENA...BAYTOWN...LA PORTE...DEER PARK...SOUTH
HOUSTON...BELLAIRE...WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE...GALENA PARK...JACINTO
CITY...JERSEY VILLAGE...HUNTERS CREEK VILLAGE...BUNKER HILL
VILLAGE...PINEY POINT VILLAGE...FOURTH WARD...GREATER THIRD WARD...
GREATER EASTWOOD...SECOND WARD...NEARTOWN / MONTROSE...NEAR
NORTHSIDE HOUSTON AND BARRETT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

Keeping a very close eye on radar as storms are developing out west in Fort Bend, Austin and Colorado Counties along I-10. This will only help to exasperate the ongoing flooding situation. Be alert!!!!

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
121 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WEST CENTRAL LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 215 AM CDT

* AT 118 AM CDT...GAUGE REPORTS INDICATED HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA WITH HARRIS COUNTY FLOOD CONTROL GAUGES
SHOWING THREE TO FIVE INCHES REPORTED IN THE LAST THREE HOURS.
EAST FORK SAN JACINTO AT FM 1485 REPORTING 5.80" IN THE LAST THREE
HOURS.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
KINGWOOD...PATTON VILLAGE...ROMAN FOREST...WOODBRANCH...PORTER
HEIGHTS...NORTHERN ATASCOCITA...LAKE HOUSTON...NEW CANEY AND
PORTER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

Flash Flood Update from the NWS. The North Beltway between I-45 and Hwy 59 is shut down in both directions.

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY AND NORTH CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTIES...

AT 127 AM CDT...HOUSTON TRANSTAR REPORTED THAT NORTH BELTWAY 8
IMPASSABLE ON ALL MAINLANES FROM INTERSTATE 45 TO HIGHWAY 59. THE
HARRIS COUNTY FLOOD CONTROL DISTRICT GAUGE REPORTED 6.48" AT ALDINE
WESTFIELD AND THE HARDY TOLL ROAD IN THE PAST THREE HOURS. FLASH
FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
HUMBLE...JERSEY VILLAGE...NORTHSIDE / NORTHLINE...GREATER HEIGHTS...
ALDINE...SPRING...NEAR NORTHSIDE HOUSTON...GREATER GREENSPOINT...
KINGWOOD...ACRES HOME...EAST HOUSTON...EASTEX / JENSEN AREA...
LAZYBROOK / TIMBERGROVE...FAIRBANKS / NORTHWEST CROSSING...BUSH
INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT...EAST LITTLE YORK / HOMESTEAD...CENTRAL
NORTHWEST...HIDDEN VALLEY...HOUSTON GARDENS AND LANGWOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

*** Very heavy rainfall at my house right now. Capable of putting down a couple inches in a very short time ***

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHERN BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 300 AM CDT

* AT 155 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.
UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
NORTHWESTERN PEARLAND...SUGAR LAND...MISSOURI CITY...STAFFORD...
RICHMOND...FRESNO...PECAN GROVE...TOWN WEST...MEADOWS...FIRST
COLONY...MISSION BEND...MEADOWS PLACE...ARCOLA...BROOKSIDE
VILLAGE...THOMPSONS...WESTBURY...FONDREN GARDENS...WESTWOOD...FORT
BEND HOUSTON AND GREATWOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN
URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL
ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW
INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.