Wx Infinity Forums

Nice to see some rain. Like to see more.

Setting at 0.02" for the day but glad areas just N of Houston got some well needed rainfall.

About 6 drops here today....

Katdaddy wrote:Setting at 0.02" for the day but glad areas just N of Houston got some well needed rainfall.

Although I'm North of Houston, I guess I'm not North enough or something. 0.00 IMBY today. Maybe tomorrow...

A few drops here but that's it. Amazing.

Not a damn thing. I'm so tired of the overhyped weather in this area. EVERY time the predictions get crazy up until the day of any event, and then not a damned thing ever happens.

I don't get it. It's all either to our west, or off to the east. Look at this morning's radar - the gulf and Louisiana are rockin'. Why do we get caught in the middle, with nothing? How can there be a cap over us when it's raining in all directions? Ugh. I conclude we live in an island of hell.

Dare I say it, but some things are working in our favor today. If those breaks can scatter out, then maybe there could.......better stop before I jinx it.

Update from Jeff:

Radar starting to light up as short wave lift and clearing skies erode mid level capping inversion.

SPC has just issued a new Severe Thunderstorm Watch for SC and C TX effective until 700pm (see watch outline below).

Radar shows a couple of well defined supercells, one WNW of San Antonio, and the other about to cross the Rio Grande south of Del Rio. Air mass over SC and SE TX is becoming increasingly unstable with surface heating with instability values pushing 2500-3000 J/kg. Recent radar trends north of Houston show scattered showers attempting to develop along some sort of possible boundary from overnight convection to the north. Storm motions have been really slow in in this region and flash flooding is ongoing around the Lufkin area currently due to high rainfall rates. Will need to keep a close eye on development along this boundary and potential for slow storm motions this afternoon.

Further southward shortwave induced convection over SW TX should continue to grow upscale into cluster/MCS as downstream air mass destabilizes. Not sure any of the models are handling this well especially given the amount of sun the area is seeing. Will need to watch things closely over the next few hours for possible inclusion of severe weather risks across all of SE TX this afternoon and evening. I am very tempted to go with higher rain chances this afternoon based on radar trends, but we have been burned so many times recently…

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Outline with Radar Overlay:

It does look like a pretty good chance of some significant rain across Houston this evening.

On a darker note, 12z GFS continues to advertise some unseasonably cold weather next week. However, this cold is preceded by some significant rainfall:

It is only 2:30. Still time for the S/W to work it's way NE.

anyone else still having trouble accessing HGX's website & radar ?

Radar is looking very promising this afternoon and numerous strong to occassionally severe thunderstorms have developed across S, S Central, and SE TX. I would not be surprised to see another Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued further N and E into SE TX.

Ed Mahmoud wrote:

unome wrote:anyone else still having trouble accessing HGX's website & radar ?

Just checked,

anyway, radar

I can't see that image...it's still not working for anyone in our house, rebooted, reset router, reset modem, tried 3 diff browsers, cleared them all... really frustrating

WPC, SPC, even http://innovation.srh.noaa.gov/ works, except the radar

looks like I'm not the only one judging by the comments on this site http://www.isitdownrightnow.com/weather ... ommentstop

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
352 PM CDT FRI MAY 9 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 350 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
WASHINGTON...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAVASOTA...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. BRENHAM DPS REPORTED QUARTER SIZED HAIL AT
HIGHWAY 105 AT THE COUNTY LINE AT WASHINGTON AND BRAZOS COUNTIES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NAVASOTA...WASHINGTON...ANDERSON AND PLANTERSVILLE.

From Nesdis:

SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/09/14 2034Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 2015Z KUSSELSON
.
LOCATION...S CENTRAL TEXAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...HGX...CRP...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...HIGH MOISTURE, SHORT WAVE AND JET ALL COMING TOGETHER FOR MERGERS
AND 2-3 INCH PER RAINS...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SOUTHERN PORTION OF EAST CONVECTIVE BAND
HAS BEEN BACKBUILDING IN SWLY FLOW AND WITH BAND ON EDGE OF DEEP 2" PWAT
VALUES..MERGER AREAS IN VIC OF ATASCOSA TO WILSON AND S BEXAR COULD BE
GETTING 2-3 INCH PER HR RAINS PAST HR THROUGH 2015Z. A BIT FURTHER NORTH
AND NE...BAND MOVING LITTLE AND CONCENTRATING WITH SUBTLE MERGERS VIC
OF GONZALES AND FAYETTE COUNTY WHERE THERE COULD ALSO BE 2-3 INCH PER HR
MAX RATES OCCURRING JUST IN VERY MOIST LOWER LEVEL AREA AND PWATS CLOSE
TO OR JUST ABOVE 2" AND NEAR SUBTROPICAL JET NOSING IN FROM CENTRAL MEXICO
.
AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 2030-0000Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO CONCENTRATE IN THE
ATASCOSA TO SE BEXAR COUNTY AREA FOR THE NEXT HR OR SO AND EXPECT THIS
CONVECTIVE BAND TO CONTINUE TO PROGRESS INTO LONGER NE TO SW ORIENTED
CONVECTIVE BAND AND COULD CONTINUE MODERATE TO
HVY RAINFALL IN THE DEWITT TO GONZALES TO FAYETTE TO POSSIBLY WASHINGTON
COUNTY AREA THRU 00Z WITH POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 3-4 INCHES OVER A 3HR
PERIOD, ESPECIALLY GONZALES/FAYETTE COUNTY AS ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE FROM
S CENTRAL TX MOVES OVER THE AREA FOR POSSIBLE MERGERS THAT WOULD HELP
ENHANCE RAINFALL. .

srainhoutx wrote:Fri May 9 16:49:35 2014 GMT
NOXX01 KWBC 091645
FROM - NWSTG
TO - ALL
SUBJECT - http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV - DNS ISSUE WITH COMCAST
.
TOC HAS LEARNED THERE REMAINS A SMALL NUMBER OF USERS WHO
ARE CONTINUING TO HAVE PROBLEMS WITH ACCESSING THE
http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV SITE - NIDS HAS ADVISED A PROBLEM REMAINS
WITH THE COMCAST SERVERS BEING UNABLE TO RESOLVE THIS
ADDRESS. PLEASE ASK CUSTOMERS TO CHECK WITH THEIR PROVIDER
TO ASK FOR ASSISTANCE IF THEY USE COMCAST. IF THEIR ISP
IS SOMETHING OTHER THAN COMCAST, PLEASE ALERT THE TOC OF
THE ISSUE IMMEDIATELY - 301.713.0902.
.
YOUR PATIENCE IS APPRECIATED
.
NWSTG/DJT

thank you very much for that info srain, however I would rather stick needles in my eyes that try to resolve anything with Comcast...

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
354 PM CDT FRI MAY 9 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL HOUSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN WALKER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WEST CENTRAL TRINITY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 354 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8
MILES SOUTHEAST OF LOVELADY...OR 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CROCKETT...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PENNINGTON.

A powerful Mesoscale Convective complex has done damage just S of Uvalde where a 200 ft by 80 ft section of roof has been blown off by 70 MPH straight line winds. The MCS is marching E toward San Antonio and a bowing structure is noted.