April: Sunny and Dry Heading Into May

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
BlueJay
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TxLady wrote:Well, dang it, just enough thunder/lightning and sprinkles to run me off my outside house painting project. There's still enough dark clouds around to keep me off the ladder.
TxLady -
I was watching the radar and it looked like your area around New Waverly was getting a brief heavy downpour. Well, maybe you needed a break off of that ladder anyway! (Be safe!)
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jasons2k
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These few words, hidden deep in last night's overnight NWS HGX discussion say it all.

"NORTH OF A COLUMBUS-LIVINGSTON LINE"

No further explanation, analysis, or context is needed. Time would be better spent gearing-up for game 3. Sad that a 0-2 team has more hope than in the weather department.

Have a safe weekend, all.
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Katdaddy
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Wind Advisory issued for the coastal counties today.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1038 AM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING...

.STRONG WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL MIX DOWN TODAY KEEPING
SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTY.

TXZ214-235>238-272300-
/O.NEW.KHGX.WI.Y.0019.140427T1538Z-140427T2300Z/
BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-GALVESTON-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVIN...ANAHUAC...ANGLETON...BAY CITY...
EDNA...FREEPORT...FRIENDSWOOD...GALVESTON...LAKE JACKSON...
LEAGUE CITY...MONT BELVIEU...PALACIOS...PEARLAND...TEXAS CITY...
WINNIE
1038 AM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING.

* EVENT...SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 35
MPH.

* TIMING...FROM NOW UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DRIVERS OF VANS...CAMPERS...TRAILERS...AND OTHER HIGH-PROFILE
VEHICLES SHOULD BE ALERT TO THE DANGER OF THESE WINDS...
ESPECIALLY WHEN DRIVING ALONG SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED
ROADS
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djjordan
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Gonna be watching radar like a hawk this late afternoon and evening to see if anything develops in our northern CWA!!!! I'll be up in the Lake Conroe area soon so we shall see what transpires. Gonna be a rough night and Monday for our neighbors to the Northeast!!!!
~~~When Thunder Roars Go Indoors~~~
~~~Turn Around Don't Drown~~~
~~~Run From The Water, Hide From The Wind~~~
unome
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I have precip envy, but don't miss the tornado stuff

Image
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Texaspirate11
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If anyone knows of anyone in Arkansas who may need sheltering

http://archive.thv11.com/assetpool/docu ... MSLIST.pdf

that is a general list. Prayers going out to our friends in Arkansas who were hit by devastating tornadoes tonight.

Sunday.
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srainhoutx
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Update from Jeff:


Isolated severe supercell that formed on the dryline around 630pm this evening continues to move into SE TX this evening via Washington County. This storm has had a history of producing golf ball size hail in Lee and Washington Counties with the most recent report coming in from the town of Burton along US 290.

Recent radar trends show this storm is finally starting to weaken as it encounters stronger capping and surface heating is now over. Suspect the storm to dissipate by 1000pm as it approaches northern Waller and southern Grimes Counties.

Interestingly, the latest run of the meso scale HRRR model which has done a good job of late explodes a line of strong thunderstorms in the 300-600am period across the northern ½ of SE TX. This appears in response to a piece of energy rotating through the base of the large upper trough over the central plains. TX TECH meso model shows little to no development overnight along with the WRF model. Think with diurnal cooling now in progress mid level capping should keep any storms from developing and will side with the drier models. However as mentioned above the HRRR has been doing very well lately, so would not be overly surprised if storms did in fact develop along and N of I-10.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Ptarmigan
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srainhoutx wrote:Update from Jeff:


Isolated severe supercell that formed on the dryline around 630pm this evening continues to move into SE TX this evening via Washington County. This storm has had a history of producing golf ball size hail in Lee and Washington Counties with the most recent report coming in from the town of Burton along US 290.

Recent radar trends show this storm is finally starting to weaken as it encounters stronger capping and surface heating is now over. Suspect the storm to dissipate by 1000pm as it approaches northern Waller and southern Grimes Counties.

Interestingly, the latest run of the meso scale HRRR model which has done a good job of late explodes a line of strong thunderstorms in the 300-600am period across the northern ½ of SE TX. This appears in response to a piece of energy rotating through the base of the large upper trough over the central plains. TX TECH meso model shows little to no development overnight along with the WRF model. Think with diurnal cooling now in progress mid level capping should keep any storms from developing and will side with the drier models. However as mentioned above the HRRR has been doing very well lately, so would not be overly surprised if storms did in fact develop along and N of I-10.
It would be nice if it rained. I wonder why so much capping here, but not in West Texas despite being drier. El Nino is developing and my guess the affect of this past winter is a factor.
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Texaspirate11
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CONFIRMED - Following the deadly tornado that took place in central Arkansas Sunday night, the following shelters have been opened:

Conway/Mayflower: Antioch Church at 150 Amity Road in Conway

Mayflower High School Gym at 10 Leslie king Dr. in Mayflower
OKLAHOMA - Red Cross has opened a shelter at Quapaw Wellness Center for those displaced by the tornado. Address: 907 Whitebird Lane
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
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BlueJay
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We got a RED ALERT weather warning phone call at 4:30 am. No sign of high wind or rough weather yet. It is very muggy and winds are still, kind of eerie.
BlueJay
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My backyard weather station reported that we reached 93F at 3:38 this afternoon.
It also reminds me that it has been 13 days without rain...

So, what else is new?
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jasons2k
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The sea breeze showed-up on radar for the first time today. Normally, I'd get excited about that.
unome
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if it comes with tornadoes, I would rather not have the rain

http://wdssii.nssl.noaa.gov/maps/
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jasons2k
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Today's NWS-HGX drought statement reads like a verse from Dante:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/?n=drought_ ... _2014_0429
BlueJay
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I had such high hopes for the April showers to bring May flowers at the beginning of this month. After 30 days I can report only .29 inches of precipitation in my backyard for April 2014. It does not sound like May will be overly generous with rain action either.

Let's stay hopeful!
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