March: Comfortable Weekend Weather & Warming Trend

[Brandy3835]

32 here in Beaumont light rain not sure why we do not have a warning in our area

[Belmer]

there will be no warming only cooling. this is a cold core upper level storm. with very cold air in the upper atmosphere. cold air from the cold core low will be eliminating any mid level warm layer.

Incorrect. I wish I had the images to show, but if you go to any model site and look at the 500mb-700mb temperatures, this is not a cold core system. There is a significant warm nose (inversion) above us which is exactly why the preicp falling tonight will NOT be snow. It falls as snow, gets in the warm layer, and depending on the depth of the inversion, will melt completely into rain drops then freeze on contact since the surface is at or below freezing and that is what we call freezing rain. If there is a short warm depth and then falls back below freezing a couple thousand feet up, then the precip will refreeze, thus creating sleet.

Tonight, there is a pretty good depth of warm layer where this will mainly be a freezing rain issue more than a sleet issue I believe. Though, due expect some sleet. I wish I had a Skew T to upload along with a 500mb-700mb diagram to show you, but I am not where I can upload that at the moment.

[Andrew]

wrong. this is a cold core upper level low pressure system with cold air at its core in the upper atmosphere. dont lecture me

No, he is right when saying there is warm air above. Look at how deep that warm layer is:

[Belmer]

Alright, I lied, you gave me a challenge where I wanted to upload these.

This would be a cold core low (aka: what we could see next weekend according to the GFS) 500mb

This is what we have currently: 500mb


This is the current Skew T for the Houston area:

Follow the O'C line and notice the huge inversion. About 50 degrees up about 800mb. By looking at this sounding, this would be more of a freezing rain sounding than sleet, but sleet could still fall, which is obviously happening around some of the areas.

[nuby3]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

[Heat Miser]

To me this one paints the picture more, nuby.

.

[nuby3]

yes, I agree, I was just trying to give more perspectives. there is a lot of very interesting stuff happening

[don]

I tried to go to sleep but I can't, time to get some coffee this event looks to good to miss lol.

[nuby3]

interested in the little cell merger in western harris. trying to waste a half hour to see what happens

[djjordan]

Wharton and Ft. Bend counties added to the Winter Storm Warning until 11AM

FORT BEND-WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EL CAMPO...MISSOURI CITY...PIERCE...
RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...SUGAR LAND...WHARTON
1247 AM CST TUE MAR 4 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CST THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
11 AM CST THIS MORNING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* EVENT...FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN A TENTH TO A QUARTER
OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...THROUGH 11 AM

* MAIN IMPACT...TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON MANY ROADS...
ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND ELEVATED ROADWAYS.

* OTHER IMPACTS...POSSIBLE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES OVER REGIONS
THAT RECEIVE HIGHER ICE ACCUMULATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ROADS...BRIDGES...AND OVERPASSES IN THE WARNING OR ADVISORY AREA
MAY BECOME SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. ACCUMULATION OF ICE UPON ROAD
SURFACES...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MAY MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS
TRAVELING.

[Texaspirate11]

MAJOR WINTER WEATHER EVENT BEGINNING TO UNFOLD ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

[Texaspirate11]

I tried to go to sleep but I can't, time to get some coffee this event looks to good to miss lol.

I've tried two times to fall asleep but the lightening is now moving into the bay area....this is exciting.

[ticka1]

lightning here too but no freezing just rain anyone else have frozen stuff?

[don]

Still getting freezing rain here in Humble

[ticka1]

wow look at all that moisture on radar - is all that headed to se texas?

[jeff]

This will likely be the most significant event the area has seen with respect to ice in years

[ticka1]

This will likely be the most significant event the area has seen with respect to ice in years

thanks jeff people will be surprised when they wake up...are you at work?

[stonewall]

Now, there's freezing rain one mile north of Hobby Airport. Just went outside and noticed that ice is forming
on the backyard cyclone fence.

[Texashawk]

This will likely be the most significant event the area has seen with respect to ice in years

Agreed. Where are all the closings then? This is going to make for a very bad situation tomorrow.

[cristina6871]

Woke up for something and decided to check in. I don't hear anything outside......although the radar shows purple all over the area. Is it over or is there more coming? Or was Spring and the Woodlands skipped over?