Wx Infinity Forums

I've been hearing increasing chatter about the potential for an El Nino on the horizon. This would have a definite affect on tropical season 2014. I know it's a ways off and the likelihood is small but thought I'd just throw that out there.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... odisc.html

There has not been an El Nino since 2010.

I have seen active hurricane season during an El Nino. 1969 and 2004 come to mind.

The ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI) for the last 30 days is 0.18
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

ESPI has been positive and if it maintains this for the next few months, El Nino is possible.