Page 1 of 1

Former Invest 92L: Causing TSTMS NW Caribbean

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2012 3:54 pm
by srainhoutx
BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al922012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201209152022
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 92, 2012, DB, O, 2012091518, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL922012
AL, 92, 2012091518, , BEST, 0, 125N, 522W, 25, 0, DB,

Re: Invest 92L: Nearing The Leeward Islands

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2012 6:14 pm
by kellybell4770
Chance of coming this way??

Re: Invest 92L: Nearing The Leeward Islands

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2012 9:47 pm
by srainhoutx
00Z Tracks & Intensity:

Re: Invest 92L: Nearing The Leeward Islands

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2012 11:16 pm
by nuby3
Is this the one the GFS showed crossing the yucatan into the western gulf? A few days ago?

Re: Invest 92L: Nearing The Leeward Islands

Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2012 7:49 am
by wxman57
kellybell4770 wrote:Chance of coming this way??
Very, very low. All models indicate the jet stream digging down into the Gulf next week and staying there for quite a while. Westerly winds 50-80 kts across the northern Gulf means nothing could come this way.

Re: Invest 92L: Nearing The Leeward Islands

Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2012 8:54 am
by srainhoutx
12Z Tracks & Intensity:
09162012 12Z Tracks 92L aal92_2012091612_track_early.png
09162012 12Z Intensity 92L aal92_2012091612_intensity_early.png
09162012_1315_goes13_x_vis2km_92LINVEST_25kts-1011mb-133N-549W_100pc.jpg

Re: Invest 92L: Nearing The Leeward Islands

Posted: Mon Sep 17, 2012 1:41 pm
by ticka1
i think SE texas peak seaso is over with... bring on the cold fronts snow and winter!

Re: Invest 92L: Nearing The Leeward Islands

Posted: Mon Sep 17, 2012 1:44 pm
by wxman57
NW Gulf hurricane season is over. Jet stream now is dipping into the Gulf. Westerly winds 50-100 mph as far as the eye can see (out through early October) across the northern and central Gulf.

Re: Invest 92L: Nearing The Leeward Islands

Posted: Wed Sep 19, 2012 10:11 pm
by Ptarmigan
Ed Mahmoud wrote:
WxMan has killed the tropics thread for the next 8 months, although I personally remember and enjoyed Pacific Hurricane Rosa, and mid level remnants of EPac cyclones over shallow Polar airmasses and area rivers bursting into flames has a certain je ne sais quoi...
The October 1994 had rainfall as high as 37 inches of rain in 6 hours! Not sure of any shallow polar air mass at the time. However, there was a Pacific front that was slow moving.
http://forums.khou.com/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=55

It also happened when the Atlantic was quiet with no major hurricanes.