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INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 91, 2012, DB, O, 2012090806, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL912012
AL, 91, 2012090712, , BEST, 0, 134N, 157W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2012090718, , BEST, 0, 138N, 173W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2012090800, , BEST, 0, 141N, 191W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 91, 2012090806, , BEST, 0, 144N, 207W, 25, 1009, DB,

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS
MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS
SYSTEM HAS POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

this one going fishin? or is it a potential land threat?

kellybell4770 wrote:this one going fishin? or is it a potential land threat?

Not all the models have picked up on this system yet, but for the ones that have, they have this a fish storm...

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Oops. They changed their mind again...

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 11 2012

CORRECTED FOR MISSING REFERENCE LOCATION

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC
BUT NOT A THREAT TO LAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 43.1W
ABOUT 1210 MI...1950 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.1 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED VERY SOON...FOLLOWED BY
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

It appears that the Global Hawk took off from Wallops Island, VA this morning enroute TD 14 to drop a number of dropsondes:

http://noaahrd.wordpress.com/2012/09/11 ... 1-12-2012/

And here we are on October 3rd ..... Nadine is still barely hanging on but finally should become post tropical in the next 36 hours or less.