Wx Infinity Forums

3. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE RELATIVELY HIGH IN
THIS AREA...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD AT 5 TO 10
MPH.

Looks like the mid level circulation could be due east of corpus, I know earlier in one of the HPC discussion, the offshore mid level low was supposed to move due north if I recall.

weatherguy425 wrote:Looks like the mid level circulation could be due east of corpus, I know earlier in one of the HPC discussion, the offshore mid level low was supposed to move due north if I recall.

Yes sir, they did. Conditions do not look favorable, but as we know these quick spin ups in the Western Gulf can be a nightmare ala Humberto. Gene mentioned it last night in the Atlantic Discussion thread.

yes!

ok, down play it if you want but there is a chance it could develop. no one knows. keep an eye to the sky

Models have become more bullish with rainfall amounts tomorrow, especially the RAP; showing amounts nearing 3 inches in the coastal counties by mid afternoon with heavy rain continuing. Nam Looks wetter this evening as well...

850 millibar level vorticity. Looks like a surface low is trying to form.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=