THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL TRAVIS COUNTY...
* UNTIL 600 AM CST.
* AT 245 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE
DETERMINED THAT RAINFALL ESTIMATES FROM DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE SLOW
MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED
AREA. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT ONE TO ONE AND HALF INCHES OF
RAIN HAVE FALLEN AND ANOTHER ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE LIKELY DURING
THE NEXT TWO HOURS.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
AUSTIN...AUSTIN BERGSTROM INT AP...ROLLINGWOOD AND WEST LAKE HILLS.
January: Increasing Clouds/Rain & Warmer To End Month
-
Andrew
- Site Admin
- Posts: 3440
- Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:46 pm
- Location: North-West Houston
- Contact:
Here we go:
TORNADO WATCH 14 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ARANSAS ATASCOSA
AUSTIN BASTROP BEE
BELL BEXAR BLANCO
BRAZORIA BRAZOS BURLESON
BURNET CALDWELL CALHOUN
COLORADO COMAL CORYELL
DEWITT DUVAL FALLS
FAYETTE FORT BEND FREESTONE
FRIO GALVESTON GOLIAD
GONZALES GRIMES GUADALUPE
HARRIS HAYS HENDERSON
HILL HOUSTON JACKSON
JIM WELLS KARNES KENDALL
KLEBERG LAMPASAS LAVACA
LA SALLE LEE LEON
LIMESTONE LIVE OAK MADISON
MATAGORDA MCLENNAN MCMULLEN
MEDINA MILAM MONTGOMERY
NAVARRO NUECES REFUGIO
ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO SAN PATRICIO
TRAVIS TRINITY VICTORIA
WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON
WEBB WHARTON WILLIAMSON
WILSON
TORNADO WATCH 14 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ARANSAS ATASCOSA
AUSTIN BASTROP BEE
BELL BEXAR BLANCO
BRAZORIA BRAZOS BURLESON
BURNET CALDWELL CALHOUN
COLORADO COMAL CORYELL
DEWITT DUVAL FALLS
FAYETTE FORT BEND FREESTONE
FRIO GALVESTON GOLIAD
GONZALES GRIMES GUADALUPE
HARRIS HAYS HENDERSON
HILL HOUSTON JACKSON
JIM WELLS KARNES KENDALL
KLEBERG LAMPASAS LAVACA
LA SALLE LEE LEON
LIMESTONE LIVE OAK MADISON
MATAGORDA MCLENNAN MCMULLEN
MEDINA MILAM MONTGOMERY
NAVARRO NUECES REFUGIO
ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO SAN PATRICIO
TRAVIS TRINITY VICTORIA
WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON
WEBB WHARTON WILLIAMSON
WILSON
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-
Katdaddy
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 2502
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 8:18 am
- Location: League City, Tx
- Contact:
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0066
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS CENTRAL/S TX.
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 13...
VALID 250812Z - 251015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 13 CONTINUES.
WW REPLACEMENT/RECONFIGURATION MAY BE REQUIRED BEFORE SCHEDULED 11Z
EXPIRATION...IN ORDER TO ADJUST WW COVERAGE FLUIDLY TO EVOLUTION OF
SVR THREAT AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS OVER S TX. UNTIL THEN...WW MAY BE
CLEARED IN RELATIVELY STABLE AIR MASS W OF PRIMARY CONVECTIVE
BAND...EVIDENT AT 745Z IN SLOWLY EWD-MOVING MCS FROM NWRN WEBB
COUNTY TO MCCULLOCH COUNTY.
SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS LOW OVER NRN PORTION OF QLCS..NEAR MASON
COUNTY AS OF 730Z. WARM FRONT ARCHING NE OF LOW HAS REACHED BELL
COUNTY...THEN ESEWD ACROSS CLL-BPT AND JUST OFFSHORE LA COAST.
CENTRAL TX SEGMENT OF THIS FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING N 5-15 KT IN
ERRATIC FASHION PRIOR TO ARRIVAL OF SFC LOW...CAUSING WARM SECTOR TO
SPREAD OVER MORE TERRITORY PRESENTLY N AND NE OF WW. INVERTED
TROUGH WAS DRAWN FROM NRN EXTENT OF WARM FRONT NNEWD ACROSS
KAUFMAN/LAMAR COUNTIES...AND SHOULD REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY UNTIL LOW
PASSES ITS LONGITUDE LATER THIS MORNING. GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
WARM-SECTOR INTRUSION SHOULD BE E OF THAT TROUGH...WHICH ALSO
CORRESPONDED WELL TO ERN PORTION OF ELEVATED CONVECTIVE BAND THAT IS
REINFORCING BOUNDARY-LAYER STATIC STABILITY TO ITS W.
MEANWHILE...BACK IN CURRENT WARM SECTOR...STRONGLY DIFLUENT FLOW
ALOFT IS EVIDENT WITH LITTLE OR NO MLCINH FOR PARCELS CONTAINING SFC
DEW POINTS MID-UPPER 60S F...SUPPORTING MLCAPE 1000-1500
J/KG...AMIDST 35-45 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES. LOW-LEVEL SRH
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MAXIMIZED IN T-BONE SHAPED SWATH CORRESPONDING
TO WARM FRONTAL ZONE...AND SWD BENEATH STRONGEST PART OF LLJ AS
MAPPED...WHERE HODOGRAPHS ARE MOST ENLARGED. QLCS BOUNDING WRN
PORTION OF EFFECTIVE WARM SECTOR MAY MERGE WITH MESSY/CLUSTERED
CONVECTIVE AREA TO ITS E OVER SAT-AUS CORRIDOR...THOUGH SOME
SHORT-FUSED CONVECTIVE-ALLOWING PROGS INDICATE LATTER ACTIVITY
BECOMING PRIMARY MCS WITH TIME. IN EITHER EVENT...SFC-BASED SVR
THREAT SHOULD SPREAD N WITH WARM FRONT AND SLOWLY EWD FROM WW 13
DURING NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
..EDWARDS.. 01/25/2012
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS CENTRAL/S TX.
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 13...
VALID 250812Z - 251015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 13 CONTINUES.
WW REPLACEMENT/RECONFIGURATION MAY BE REQUIRED BEFORE SCHEDULED 11Z
EXPIRATION...IN ORDER TO ADJUST WW COVERAGE FLUIDLY TO EVOLUTION OF
SVR THREAT AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS OVER S TX. UNTIL THEN...WW MAY BE
CLEARED IN RELATIVELY STABLE AIR MASS W OF PRIMARY CONVECTIVE
BAND...EVIDENT AT 745Z IN SLOWLY EWD-MOVING MCS FROM NWRN WEBB
COUNTY TO MCCULLOCH COUNTY.
SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS LOW OVER NRN PORTION OF QLCS..NEAR MASON
COUNTY AS OF 730Z. WARM FRONT ARCHING NE OF LOW HAS REACHED BELL
COUNTY...THEN ESEWD ACROSS CLL-BPT AND JUST OFFSHORE LA COAST.
CENTRAL TX SEGMENT OF THIS FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING N 5-15 KT IN
ERRATIC FASHION PRIOR TO ARRIVAL OF SFC LOW...CAUSING WARM SECTOR TO
SPREAD OVER MORE TERRITORY PRESENTLY N AND NE OF WW. INVERTED
TROUGH WAS DRAWN FROM NRN EXTENT OF WARM FRONT NNEWD ACROSS
KAUFMAN/LAMAR COUNTIES...AND SHOULD REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY UNTIL LOW
PASSES ITS LONGITUDE LATER THIS MORNING. GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
WARM-SECTOR INTRUSION SHOULD BE E OF THAT TROUGH...WHICH ALSO
CORRESPONDED WELL TO ERN PORTION OF ELEVATED CONVECTIVE BAND THAT IS
REINFORCING BOUNDARY-LAYER STATIC STABILITY TO ITS W.
MEANWHILE...BACK IN CURRENT WARM SECTOR...STRONGLY DIFLUENT FLOW
ALOFT IS EVIDENT WITH LITTLE OR NO MLCINH FOR PARCELS CONTAINING SFC
DEW POINTS MID-UPPER 60S F...SUPPORTING MLCAPE 1000-1500
J/KG...AMIDST 35-45 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES. LOW-LEVEL SRH
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MAXIMIZED IN T-BONE SHAPED SWATH CORRESPONDING
TO WARM FRONTAL ZONE...AND SWD BENEATH STRONGEST PART OF LLJ AS
MAPPED...WHERE HODOGRAPHS ARE MOST ENLARGED. QLCS BOUNDING WRN
PORTION OF EFFECTIVE WARM SECTOR MAY MERGE WITH MESSY/CLUSTERED
CONVECTIVE AREA TO ITS E OVER SAT-AUS CORRIDOR...THOUGH SOME
SHORT-FUSED CONVECTIVE-ALLOWING PROGS INDICATE LATTER ACTIVITY
BECOMING PRIMARY MCS WITH TIME. IN EITHER EVENT...SFC-BASED SVR
THREAT SHOULD SPREAD N WITH WARM FRONT AND SLOWLY EWD FROM WW 13
DURING NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
..EDWARDS.. 01/25/2012
-
Katdaddy
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 2502
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 8:18 am
- Location: League City, Tx
- Contact:
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 14
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 320 AM UNTIL 1100 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH OF ALICE TEXAS
TO 60 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF WACO TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 13...
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL BANDS/CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SVR TSTMS EXPECTED
OVER PARTS CNTRL AND E TX THROUGH THIS MORNING AS WIND FIELD AND UPR
DIFFLUENCE STRENGTHEN IN NE QUADRANT OF W TX UPR LOW. AS THE LOW
CONTINUES SLOWLY EWD...ASSOCIATED MID/UPR LVL JET STREAK WILL REFORM
ON ERN SIDE OF SYSTEM. COUPLED WITH INCREASINGLY MOIST LOW-LVL
CONFLUENT FLOW OVER THE NWRN GULF AND THE SRN/MIDDLE TX CSTL
PLN...SETUP MAY FOSTER AN INCREASING RISK FOR STORMS WITH LOW-LVL
MESOS GIVEN LIKELY PERSISTENCE OF SELY NEAR-SFC FLOW.
THE WRN-MOST SQLN...NOW EXTENDING FROM ABOUT 40 W TPL TO NEAR COT
SHOULD CONTINUE STEADILY EWD...EFFECTIVELY MARKING WRN EDGE OF RISK
AREA. BAND OF STORMS E OF THAT SQLN...ATTM EXTENDING SSWWD FROM E
OF AUS...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WIND
PROFILES AND THERMODYNAMICS SUGGEST SOME POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED
LEWPS WITH DMGG WIND/ISOLD TORNADOES. TORNADOES ALSO WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY DISCRETE CELLS THAT ARISE LATER THIS MORNING IN
CONFLUENT FLOW FARTHER E TOWARD THE VCT/HOU AREAS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 14
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 320 AM UNTIL 1100 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH OF ALICE TEXAS
TO 60 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF WACO TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 13...
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL BANDS/CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SVR TSTMS EXPECTED
OVER PARTS CNTRL AND E TX THROUGH THIS MORNING AS WIND FIELD AND UPR
DIFFLUENCE STRENGTHEN IN NE QUADRANT OF W TX UPR LOW. AS THE LOW
CONTINUES SLOWLY EWD...ASSOCIATED MID/UPR LVL JET STREAK WILL REFORM
ON ERN SIDE OF SYSTEM. COUPLED WITH INCREASINGLY MOIST LOW-LVL
CONFLUENT FLOW OVER THE NWRN GULF AND THE SRN/MIDDLE TX CSTL
PLN...SETUP MAY FOSTER AN INCREASING RISK FOR STORMS WITH LOW-LVL
MESOS GIVEN LIKELY PERSISTENCE OF SELY NEAR-SFC FLOW.
THE WRN-MOST SQLN...NOW EXTENDING FROM ABOUT 40 W TPL TO NEAR COT
SHOULD CONTINUE STEADILY EWD...EFFECTIVELY MARKING WRN EDGE OF RISK
AREA. BAND OF STORMS E OF THAT SQLN...ATTM EXTENDING SSWWD FROM E
OF AUS...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WIND
PROFILES AND THERMODYNAMICS SUGGEST SOME POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED
LEWPS WITH DMGG WIND/ISOLD TORNADOES. TORNADOES ALSO WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY DISCRETE CELLS THAT ARISE LATER THIS MORNING IN
CONFLUENT FLOW FARTHER E TOWARD THE VCT/HOU AREAS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.
From KHOU on twitter:
BREAKING NEWS: CenterPoint Energy reports 30,162 customers without power as of 3:42am.
BREAKING NEWS: CenterPoint Energy reports 30,162 customers without power as of 3:42am.
Woke up to wondering where the rain/storms were - looks like things are off to the west still. Time to drive into work. Will this line of storms be slow moving and cause flooding today or will it move off the east faster then originally thought?
-
srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
Good morning. Just work up. A quick glance at guidance and HGX morning update and radar trends suggest a slower progression E of the U/L and surface low. The morning rush hour look OK for now. College Station and our Western Counties are just now seeing the arrival of a slow moving line. There is a second line of storms further W near San Antonio. Time for coffee and I'll be ready...ticka1 wrote:Woke up to wondering where the rain/storms were - looks like things are off to the west still. Time to drive into work. Will this line of storms be slow moving and cause flooding today or will it move off the east faster then originally thought?
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
-
srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
From Nesdis:
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/25/12 1021Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13: 1002Z VOGT
BLENDED TPW THROUGH: 0846Z
.
LOCATION...ARKANSAS...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...LZK...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT... TRAINING OF MOD/HVY RAIN
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS... BEST CLOUD TOP ENHANCEMENT ACROSS TX/OK
CONTINUES TO PUSH EWD AHEAD OF THE UL LOW NOW LOCATED IN WRN TX. AHEAD
OF THE UL LOW, CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BREAK OUT AND BECOME VERY STRONG
LIKELY DUE TO SIGNIFICANT UL DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UL JET MAX
THAT HAS ROUNDED THE BASE OF THE UL TROF AND IS PUSHING NEWD ACROSS SE
TX ATTM. ALSO HELPING IN SIGNIFICANT RAIN RATES IS THE LL MOISTURE IN
PLACE IN TX/AR/OK... THE LATEST BLENDED TPW PRODUCT SHOWS THAT PW'S ARE
HIGHEST ALONG THE SE TX COAST AND ARE CONTINUING TO INCREASE MAINLY NWD
INTO AR/OK OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. PW VALUES IN CENTRAL/ERN TX ARE
AROUND 1.3-1.5".
.
RAIN RATES HAVE BEEN RANGING ANYWHERE FROM 0.25"/HR UP TO 1.5-2.0"/HR
IN THE STRONGEST CELLS. TRAINING OF THIS RAIN OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WAS
MAINLY ALONG THE NE TX BORDER INTO OK. 6-HR EXPERIMENTAL QMORPH ESTIMATES
CONFIRM THIS WITH A 3-4" MAX OVER CHOCTAW/ATOKA COUNTIES IN OK ENDING
AT 07Z. BUT SINCE THEN, THE AREA OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS SHIFTED
SOUTH AND THIS HAS BEEN VERY APPARENT IN SATELLITE TRENDS.
.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1020-1430Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT
TERM OUTLOOK... EXPECT MOSTLY MOD/HVY RAINFALL TO FALL ACROSS
CENTRAL/EAST=CENTRAL TX OVER THE NEXT 3-4 HOURS. RAIN RATES ARE POSSIBLE
UP TO 1.5"/HR IN THE STRONGEST CONVECTION AND SOME TRAINING WILL OCCUR AS
THE UL LOW SLOWLY PUSHES EWD ACROSS TX. LL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE
A FACTOR IN THE HIGHEST RAIN AMOUNTS AS THEIR WILL BE A CONTINUOUS INFLUX
OF LL MOISTURE INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE GULF. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/25/12 1021Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13: 1002Z VOGT
BLENDED TPW THROUGH: 0846Z
.
LOCATION...ARKANSAS...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...LZK...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT... TRAINING OF MOD/HVY RAIN
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS... BEST CLOUD TOP ENHANCEMENT ACROSS TX/OK
CONTINUES TO PUSH EWD AHEAD OF THE UL LOW NOW LOCATED IN WRN TX. AHEAD
OF THE UL LOW, CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BREAK OUT AND BECOME VERY STRONG
LIKELY DUE TO SIGNIFICANT UL DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UL JET MAX
THAT HAS ROUNDED THE BASE OF THE UL TROF AND IS PUSHING NEWD ACROSS SE
TX ATTM. ALSO HELPING IN SIGNIFICANT RAIN RATES IS THE LL MOISTURE IN
PLACE IN TX/AR/OK... THE LATEST BLENDED TPW PRODUCT SHOWS THAT PW'S ARE
HIGHEST ALONG THE SE TX COAST AND ARE CONTINUING TO INCREASE MAINLY NWD
INTO AR/OK OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. PW VALUES IN CENTRAL/ERN TX ARE
AROUND 1.3-1.5".
.
RAIN RATES HAVE BEEN RANGING ANYWHERE FROM 0.25"/HR UP TO 1.5-2.0"/HR
IN THE STRONGEST CELLS. TRAINING OF THIS RAIN OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WAS
MAINLY ALONG THE NE TX BORDER INTO OK. 6-HR EXPERIMENTAL QMORPH ESTIMATES
CONFIRM THIS WITH A 3-4" MAX OVER CHOCTAW/ATOKA COUNTIES IN OK ENDING
AT 07Z. BUT SINCE THEN, THE AREA OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS SHIFTED
SOUTH AND THIS HAS BEEN VERY APPARENT IN SATELLITE TRENDS.
.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1020-1430Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT
TERM OUTLOOK... EXPECT MOSTLY MOD/HVY RAINFALL TO FALL ACROSS
CENTRAL/EAST=CENTRAL TX OVER THE NEXT 3-4 HOURS. RAIN RATES ARE POSSIBLE
UP TO 1.5"/HR IN THE STRONGEST CONVECTION AND SOME TRAINING WILL OCCUR AS
THE UL LOW SLOWLY PUSHES EWD ACROSS TX. LL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE
A FACTOR IN THE HIGHEST RAIN AMOUNTS AS THEIR WILL BE A CONTINUOUS INFLUX
OF LL MOISTURE INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE GULF. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
- Attachments
-
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
-
srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
The surface low is near Seguin heading E along the I-10 corridor. Rains/Storms have ended in San Antonio, but flood warning continue there and Austin Area is currently under several Flash Flood Warnings.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
-
Katdaddy
- Global Moderator
- Posts: 2502
- Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 8:18 am
- Location: League City, Tx
- Contact:
Winds are really ramping up in League City over the last hour. Gusting to almost 30MPH on the weather station. With significant winds well ahead of the squall line I have concern of a significant straight-line event with the squall line. Lots of wind energy with this system. Headed into downtown and report conditions during the day when possible.
-
srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
HGX issues Wind Advisory for all the CWA until 12 Noon. Folks is Bryan/College Station heads up, EWX noting rotation in Lee County cell heading NE.Katdaddy wrote:Winds are really ramping up in League City over the last hour. Gusting to almost 30MPH on the weather station. With significant winds well ahead of the squall line I have concern of a significant straight-line event with the squall line. Lots of wind energy with this system. Headed into downtown and report conditions during the day when possible.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
-
srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
A lot of Flooding reports out of the Austin area with cars flooded and people trapped...
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
554 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
TXC021-055-251400-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FA.Y.0009.120125T1154Z-120125T1400Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CALDWELL-TRAVIS-
554 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
PLUM CREEK IN CALDWELL COUNTY...
BULL CREEK IN TRAVIS COUNTY...
* UNTIL 800 AM CST
* AT 551 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE
DETECTED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY
AREA.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING TO
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND NEAR LOW WATER
CROSSINGS. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING
INCLUDE...BASTROP...LOCKHART...CAMP SWIFT...CEDAR CREEK AND
WYLDWOOD.
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
554 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
TXC021-055-251400-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FA.Y.0009.120125T1154Z-120125T1400Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CALDWELL-TRAVIS-
554 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
PLUM CREEK IN CALDWELL COUNTY...
BULL CREEK IN TRAVIS COUNTY...
* UNTIL 800 AM CST
* AT 551 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE
DETECTED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY
AREA.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING TO
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND NEAR LOW WATER
CROSSINGS. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING
INCLUDE...BASTROP...LOCKHART...CAMP SWIFT...CEDAR CREEK AND
WYLDWOOD.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
- Site Admin
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- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
Further N in the Dallas area...
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
602 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
TXC035-085-113-121-139-217-221-251-309-367-397-425-439-251800-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FA.Y.0015.120125T1202Z-120125T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DALLAS TX-DENTON TX-ELLIS TX-HILL TX-HOOD TX-JOHNSON TX-MCLENNAN TX-
ROCKWALL TX-SOMERVELL TX-TARRANT TX-COLLIN TX-BOSQUE TX-PARKER TX-
602 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
BOSQUE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
COLLIN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
DALLAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
DENTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
ELLIS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
HILL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
HOOD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
JOHNSON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
MCLENNAN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
PARKER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
ROCKWALL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
SOMERVELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TARRANT COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
* UNTIL NOON CST
* AT 600 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
602 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
TXC035-085-113-121-139-217-221-251-309-367-397-425-439-251800-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FA.Y.0015.120125T1202Z-120125T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DALLAS TX-DENTON TX-ELLIS TX-HILL TX-HOOD TX-JOHNSON TX-MCLENNAN TX-
ROCKWALL TX-SOMERVELL TX-TARRANT TX-COLLIN TX-BOSQUE TX-PARKER TX-
602 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
BOSQUE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
COLLIN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
DALLAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
DENTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
ELLIS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
HILL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
HOOD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
JOHNSON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
MCLENNAN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
PARKER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
ROCKWALL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
SOMERVELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TARRANT COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
* UNTIL NOON CST
* AT 600 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
Folks in Austin/Washington Counties heads up. Storms increasing rapidly moving NNE
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
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- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
To the N of B/CS area...
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
606 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN FALLS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
WEST CENTRAL ROBERTSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
* UNTIL 630 AM CST
* AT 606 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO 16 MILES SOUTH OF MARLIN...MOVING NORTH AT 35
MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MARLIN AROUND 630 AM CST...
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
606 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN FALLS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
WEST CENTRAL ROBERTSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
* UNTIL 630 AM CST
* AT 606 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO 16 MILES SOUTH OF MARLIN...MOVING NORTH AT 35
MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MARLIN AROUND 630 AM CST...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
Heads up Andrew and folks in B/CS...Lee County Cell producing Flash Flooding...
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
607 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
LEE COUNTY...
* UNTIL 900 AM CST.
* AT 603 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE
DETERMINED THAT RAINFALL ESTIMATES FROM DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE SLOW
MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS LEE COUNTY.
ALSO...ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL SIZE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS BETWEEN LEXINGTON AND TANGLEWOOD WITHIN THE
NEXT 30 TO 45 MINUTES. ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGED FROM ONE
TO TWO INCHES THE PAST HOUR.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LEXINGTON...DIME BOX...FEDOR AND TANGLEWOOD.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
607 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
LEE COUNTY...
* UNTIL 900 AM CST.
* AT 603 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE
DETERMINED THAT RAINFALL ESTIMATES FROM DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE SLOW
MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS LEE COUNTY.
ALSO...ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL SIZE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS BETWEEN LEXINGTON AND TANGLEWOOD WITHIN THE
NEXT 30 TO 45 MINUTES. ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGED FROM ONE
TO TWO INCHES THE PAST HOUR.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LEXINGTON...DIME BOX...FEDOR AND TANGLEWOOD.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
- Site Admin
- Posts: 19616
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- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
612 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WESTERN BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
BURLESON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
* UNTIL 715 AM CST
* AT 608 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 24 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CALDWELL TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAKE
SOMERVILLE DAM...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST
OF GIDDINGS TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SMITHVILLE...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO SOMERVILLE...COLLEGE STATION...AND BRYAN.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
612 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WESTERN BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
BURLESON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
* UNTIL 715 AM CST
* AT 608 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 24 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CALDWELL TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAKE
SOMERVILLE DAM...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST
OF GIDDINGS TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SMITHVILLE...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO SOMERVILLE...COLLEGE STATION...AND BRYAN.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
- Site Admin
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- Location: Maggie Valley, NC
- Contact:
Meso low dveloping to the W of Houston Metro. Bow echo noted in radar trends and will be enetering the Western HGX CWA within the hour
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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srainhoutx
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- Contact:
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
610 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
TXZ193-194-207>209-222>225-251300-
BASTROP-CALDWELL-DE
WITT-FAYETTE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-KARNES-LAVACA-LEE-
610 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN KARNES...BASTROP...
CALDWELL...LEE...WESTERN LAVACA...EASTERN GUADALUPE...GONZALES...
FAYETTE AND DEWITT COUNTIES UNTIL 700 AM CST...
AT 612 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DIME BOX TO 7 MILES
EAST OF SMITHVILLE TO 10 MILES NORTH OF NIXON TO SMILEY TO PETTUS...
AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
GIDDINGS...
GONZALES...
YORKTOWN...
LA GRANGE...
FLATONIA...
CUERO...
MOULTON...
SCHULENBURG...
SHINER...
YOAKUM...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
610 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
TXZ193-194-207>209-222>225-251300-
BASTROP-CALDWELL-DE
WITT-FAYETTE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-KARNES-LAVACA-LEE-
610 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN KARNES...BASTROP...
CALDWELL...LEE...WESTERN LAVACA...EASTERN GUADALUPE...GONZALES...
FAYETTE AND DEWITT COUNTIES UNTIL 700 AM CST...
AT 612 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DIME BOX TO 7 MILES
EAST OF SMITHVILLE TO 10 MILES NORTH OF NIXON TO SMILEY TO PETTUS...
AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
GIDDINGS...
GONZALES...
YORKTOWN...
LA GRANGE...
FLATONIA...
CUERO...
MOULTON...
SCHULENBURG...
SHINER...
YOAKUM...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey
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