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Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:31 pm
by DoctorMu

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:32 pm
by Cpv17
Rip76 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:27 pmWow Marco
It doesn’t surprise me. I said last night that I had a gut feeling that Marco was still an option for Texas. Also, the 12z GFS and 12z Euro showed that hard left turn before it reached the coast of LA.

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:33 pm
by sau27
I’m becoming more confident that the overall set up is coming into view with Laura. It’s going to come down to intensity which is a crapshoot to forecast.

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:36 pm
by DoctorMu
Data- Laura from Recon:

Image

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:40 pm
by txbear
Marco undergoing a bit of a replacement cycle?

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:45 pm
by don
12z EURO ensembles.. Notice how the stronger solutions take Laura along the coast of Cuba while the weaker solutions take Laura inland through Cuba. Which causes more disruption to the storms core.And like previous runs the stronger solutions have Laura more west into the middle to upper Texas coast.

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:48 pm
by snowman65
don wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:45 pm 12z EURO ensembles.. Notice how the stronger solutions take Laura along the coast of Cuba while the weaker solutions take Laura inland through Cuba. Which causes more disruption to the storms core.And like previous runs the stronger solutions have Laura more west into the middle to upper Texas coast.
May be a silly question but what are the black circles?

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:49 pm
by don
Its the consensus of all the ensembles.

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 2:53 pm
by dp6
Image

It would help if Corpus would quit yelling, "Polo!"

OTOH, if a relatively weak Marco to Texas results in a strong Laura going elsewhere, keep it up!

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:08 pm
by srainhoutx
So I see HEB is starting to limit purchases of bottled water & brisket...also extending hours. Also Governor has issued a Disaster Declaration for 20 Counties including Harris ahead of Marco/Laura. Must be a cane acoming...

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:09 pm
by tireman4
srainhoutx wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:08 pm So I see HEB is starting to limit purchases of bottled water & brisket...also extending hours. Also Governor has issued a Disaster Declaration for 20 Counties including Harris ahead of Marco/Laura. Must be a cane acoming...
Or a big cookout!!! I was HEB this morning. Yep, they were limiting...

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:10 pm
by Kingwood36
srainhoutx wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:08 pm So I see HEB is starting to limit purchases of bottled water & brisket...also extending hours. Also Governor has issued a Disaster Declaration for 20 Counties including Harris ahead of Marco/Laura. Must be a cane acoming...
You know its texas when briskets are in a hurricane kit lol I got 2 myself

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:12 pm
by Cpv17
I just read on Storm2k that someone said wxman57 has predicted a Freeport landfall as a cat 3. Interesting. I personally didn’t see that post. I haven’t been on there as much as I would like to be so I haven’t read all the posts like I usually would. Too much to keep up with right now.

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:14 pm
by Kingwood36
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:12 pm I just read on Storm2k that someone said wxman57 has predicted a Freeport landfall as a cat 3. Interesting. I personally didn’t see that post.
Neither have i..I would if responded if he said freeport that's where I'm at...people here are already moving boats out of the water and stores are dry of bottle water and bread

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:23 pm
by srainhoutx
2 center passes for RECON into Laura suggests the surface low is further S and may pass S of Gitmo over open water. Pressure is lower than the NHC estimate.

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:26 pm
by Cpv17
srainhoutx wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:23 pm 2 center passes for RECON into Laura suggests the surface low is further S and may pass S of Gitmo over open water. Pressure is lower than the NHC estimate.
I also heard it’s moving more west now than wnw?

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:26 pm
by DoctorMu
I better head to HEB to collect brisket and water, myself...The greater HGX area may be driving up here tomorrow for supplies!

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:27 pm
by weatherguy425
Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:14 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:12 pm I just read on Storm2k that someone said wxman57 has predicted a Freeport landfall as a cat 3. Interesting. I personally didn’t see that post.
Neither have i..I would if responded if he said freeport that's where I'm at...people here are already moving boats out of the water and stores are dry of bottle water and bread

Some send out the bat signal! ;)

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:31 pm
by biggerbyte

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Posted: Sun Aug 23, 2020 3:33 pm
by djmike
Its a mad house here in Beaumont already today. Krogers os out of water. Perishable food is slim pickings. Went to lowes and generators were flying out the door. An employee had to stand there and hand em out. Did all my prep and food and gas and generator window units, etc Friday thank goodness. Dont forget about those furbabies too! Stock up!