harpman wrote:I'm just sitting here reading and trying to interpret what this would mean for the New Orleans area next week.
Well it is going to be interesting for your area. The cold air is going to have a tough time reaching much farther east with the flow from the gulf. As for snow or anything like that it is too early to really know.
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Ewx now forecasting sleet/snow. Looks like it's officially everyone but HGX if I'm not mistaken.
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
827 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-311000-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO...
ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...
BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...
BRACKETTVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...
SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...
CUERO...HALLETTSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS
827 PM CST SUN JAN 30 2011
...ARCTIC BLAST EXPECTED ON TUESDAY WITH A WINTER PRECIPITATION
MIX POSSIBLE LATER THIS WEEK...
AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TUESDAY...
BRINGING THE COLDEST WEATHER OF THE SEASON TO THE REGION.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR MONDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY TUESDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT.
THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE HILL COUNTRY EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING AND REACH THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST BY AROUND NOON. FALLING
TEMPERATURES AND NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND WIND CHILL INDICES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS OVER MOST AREAS LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
THE COLD AND DENSE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY...AND AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE APPROACHING THE AREA LATE THURSDAY COULD BRING A
POTENTIAL WINTER PRECIPITATION MIX OVER THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL FAVOR MAINLY A MIX OF RAIN
AND SNOW...WITH SOME FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE. DUE TO A VERY DRY AIR
MASS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA...ACCUMULATIONS...IF ANY...SHOULD BE
LIGHT.
PERSONS SHOULD TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE WARM WEATHER TODAY AND
MONDAY TO MAKE THE NECESSARY STEPS TO PROVIDE PROTECTION FOR
TENDER PLANTS...PIPES...AND OUTDOOR PETS. THOSE WITH TRAVEL
INTERESTS THIS WEEK SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER FORECASTS
AND MAKE PREPARATIONS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A WINTER
PRECIPITATION EVENT.
RIDERS PARTICIPATING IN THE SAN ANTONIO STOCK SHOW AND RODEO
TRAIL RIDE SHOULD PREPARE FOR BITTER COLD TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
...BELOW IS THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS...
TUESDAY TUESDAY NIGHT WEDNESDAY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY...43 21 35 19
FREDERICKSBURG......37 19 33 14
SAN ANTONIO.........49 23 38 20
DEL RIO.............46 23 40 21
That piece of energy at hour 84 also seems to be coming in a bit further south than before, which would seem to benefit the snow chances for our area...
wow . . . . this is getting real exciting. I think more and more people (members and guests) will be logged on for the next several days. When do you think the news stations will mention getting prepared? That is, IF, these models are correct. Toward the end of last week, it was mentioned that anything shown today would be pretty much what was going to happen. Is that still so? Or do we wait one more day . . . so, we're saying the chance for wintry precip - or snow, for spring / woodlands, or houston? are we bringing back the 1973 pattern? That would be awesome!
cristina99 wrote:wow . . . . this is getting real exciting. I think more and more people (members and guests) will be logged on for the next several days. When do you think the news stations will mention getting prepared? That is, IF, these models are correct. Toward the end of last week, it was mentioned that anything shown today would be pretty much what was going to happen. Is that still so? Or do we wait one more day . . . so, we're saying the chance for wintry precip - or snow, for spring / woodlands, or houston? are we bringing back the 1973 pattern? That would be awesome!
This is shaping up to be a pretty major winter storm cristina99. It appears that the majority of the eastern half of TX has at least some chance of wintry precip in the forecast, we're just waiting for HGX to jump on board. I have lived here for 8 years now and never remember seeing a forecast of this magnitude...it's almost kind of scary when I think about it. I am hoping that people will stay safe this week with severe wx and possible winter wx on tap.
cristina99 wrote:wow . . . . this is getting real exciting. I think more and more people (members and guests) will be logged on for the next several days. When do you think the news stations will mention getting prepared? That is, IF, these models are correct. Toward the end of last week, it was mentioned that anything shown today would be pretty much what was going to happen. Is that still so? Or do we wait one more day . . . so, we're saying the chance for wintry precip - or snow, for spring / woodlands, or houston? are we bringing back the 1973 pattern? That would be awesome!
This is shaping up to be a pretty major winter storm cristina99. It appears that the majority of the eastern half of TX has at least some chance of wintry precip in the forecast, we're just waiting for HGX to jump on board. I have lived here for 8 years now and never remember seeing a forecast of this magnitude...it's almost kind of scary when I think about it. I am hoping that people will stay safe this week with severe wx and possible winter wx on tap.
The boys at HGX are on board as much as LCH, EWX, and CRP. There is no point is putting out a 60% chance of snow on Friday with 6 inches of accumulation. As mentioned after the 04 event is HGX would of forecasted 8-10 inches over Matagorda County would anyone have believed them anyhow. A calculated response to the trends is the best course of action 5 days out. Plenty of time to throw up watches and warnings if that is what this comes to.
Our backbuilding event is still in progress forced by a weak outflow boundary now passing through IAH (note E winds there vs S at SGR). Storms seem to have a bit better SE movement now and could clip Harris County at least the N and E sides...Liberty and Chambers back into Montgomery look to have the best chances.
jeff wrote:The boys at HGX are on board as much as LCH, EWX, and CRP. There is no point is putting out a 60% chance of snow on Friday with 6 inches of accumulation. As mentioned after the 04 event is HGX would of forecasted 8-10 inches over Matagorda County would anyone have believed them anyhow. A calculated response to the trends is the best course of action 5 days out. Plenty of time to throw up watches and warnings if that is what this comes to.
jeff wrote:The boys at HGX are on board as much as LCH, EWX, and CRP. There is no point is putting out a 60% chance of snow on Friday with 6 inches of accumulation. As mentioned after the 04 event is HGX would of forecasted 8-10 inches over Matagorda County would anyone have believed them anyhow. A calculated response to the trends is the best course of action 5 days out. Plenty of time to throw up watches and warnings if that is what this comes to.
txsnowmaker wrote:Can you imagine six inches of snow accumulation in metro Houston?!
Well it snowed 12 inches in Victoria in 04 and 4 inches Dec 09 in Boling (Fort Bend County).
I know. That was unbelievable. It just seems that the really significant accumulations always seem to miss the core of the city. Wouldn't we have to go back to the late 1800's for the last time that much snow fell in the city?
