February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

[Kingwood36]

Don't be surprised if all this talk of frozen precip. fades away from today on. The NWS has dropped any mention of it from my forecast as of this writing. I do not want an ice storm anyway, but some snow would have been nice. We will literally just have to wait and nowcast, folks, then be prepared for the usual disappointment.

Maybe for you, but I’m guessing your down way south although I expect you’ll still see some.

It’s going to happen for sure I10 north.

Says he is in porter on his profile...still shows it in porter

[weatherguy425]

Don't be surprised if all this talk of frozen precip. fades away from today on. The NWS has dropped any mention of it from my forecast as of this writing. I do not want an ice storm anyway, but some snow would have been nice. We will literally just have to wait and nowcast, folks, then be prepared for the usual disappointment.

Nothing has changed. Point forecasts are imperfect and can vary across zones, grids. Mention of “showers” does not exclude the frozen variety.

[don]

Don't be surprised if all this talk of frozen precip. fades away from today on. The NWS has dropped any mention of it from my forecast as of this writing. I do not want an ice storm anyway, but some snow would have been nice. We will literally just have to wait and nowcast, folks, then be prepared for the usual disappointment.

I'm not sure what you are talking about at all.... NWS still has a 80% of a wintry mix for me in the Heights...

[txsnowmaker]

I see what’s being mentioned. NWS removed previous mentions of snow for my part of town and nearly erased it from the hourly graphics. Hanging my hat on Jeff’s forecast this am for likely accumulating snow in Harris County.
Hope I’m not grasping at straws lol.

[djmike]

I see what’s being mentioned. NWS removed previous mentions of snow for my part of town and nearly erased it from the hourly graphics. Hanging my hat on Jeff’s forecast this am for likely accumulating snow in Harris County.
Hope I’m not grasping at straws lol.

NWS LC did the same removal for Beaumont too. Just shows Monday. All else is rain. Thought something changed. BUT I know NWS is being cautious and conservative. We went from 25 for a low Monday night to 22 and today they changed it down to 19. Its kind of a nowcast and they are watching things evolve now.

[weatherguy425]

Please be careful with interpretations of point-forecasts. Because of the way they are gridded, edited through shifts there can occasional be changes in terms, etc. that some may read too far into. There have been no significant changes in thinking.

[tireman4]

This is going ti change ...frequently..sometimes between shifts at the NWS as more and more models come in. What you see now will not be set in stone and they intimated that at the end of the AFD this morning

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Bouncing back and forth between 33 and 34, and saw a brief back at 33 with rain in Western MoCo

[Kingwood36]

Bouncing back and forth between 33 and 34, and saw a brief back at 33 with rain in Western MoCo

Hey man where can I go to get accurate temps? I don't trust weather bug

[jasons2k]

Been hovering around 39-40 all morning...

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Bouncing back and forth between 33 and 34, and saw a brief back at 33 with rain in Western MoCo

Hey man where can I go to get accurate temps? I don't trust weather bug

Mine comes from my own personal gauge. That's a great question to get completely accurate temps for a region on a micro basis.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Mine is the ambient weather station.

[Dls2010r]

Galveston county? Anyone?

[txsnowmaker]

More hope for snow lovers!

https://media.khou.com/assets/KHOU/imag ... 0x1080.png

Source: https://www.khou.com/mobile/article/wea ... fc1ba7e636

[don]

12Z EURO is much more aggressive with the Presidents day winter storm around here.And its less progressive also, and has the storm ending as snow on the backside.

[Kingwood36]

12Z EURO is much more aggressive with the Presidents day winter storm around here.And its less progressive also.

What does "less progressive" mean?

[jasons2k]

Mine is the ambient weather station.

I’ve heard good things, may consider for my next one. I have an Acurite-Pro and it does a decent job except it cycles through the batteries - I think the solar panels are toast.

Mine seems to be spot-on with temps. I have a couple of calibrated mercury thermometers that I compare it against. The only issue, really, is getting accurate wind measurements. Even if I placed an anemometer on the roof I have solid trees all around me. And sometimes I have to double-check the rain totals too...

I still can’t believe that accident in Fort Worth. I can’t imagine being trapped in the middle of that.

[Dls2010r]

Slower

[jasons2k]

12Z EURO is much more aggressive with the Presidents day winter storm around here.And its less progressive also.

What does "less progressive" mean?

In simple terms, it means slower.

[Kingwood36]

Soooooo...lesss progressive is good or bad?