January 2026

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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davidiowx
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I’m down to 39. It was steadily dropping here but slowed starting around 1:30-2. The dew point has been dropping the same a degree or so below the temp.
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jasons2k
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It's crazy how it's freezing on the south shore of lake Somerville, but still 35 all around B/CS. Just those few miles have made a huge difference with the shadow effect today. It will eventually wash out but it's still pretty stubborn.
BAY29
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jasons2k wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:16 pm It's crazy how it's freezing on the south shore of lake Somerville, but still 35 all around B/CS. Just those few miles have made a huge difference with the shadow effect today. It will eventually wash out but it's still pretty stubborn.
When do you think Tomball freezes? Pretty soon after sunset?
NWHouston
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davidiowx wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:02 pm I’m down to 39. It was steadily dropping here but slowed starting around 1:30-2. The dew point has been dropping the same a degree or so below the temp.
Spring has been holding at 38, encouraging for those hoping for little to no ice. For awhile this afternoon I thought the cold would continue to advance but looks like the school districts were premature on their cancellations yet again.
Stratton20
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No they arent, everyone is going to drop down to or below freezing sometime overnight, everything is on track for ice down here
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DoctorMu
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Freezing line is right at the Brozos River. CoCo should be below freezing as there's a big push west with the cold. S.A. as well.

Our DP is now around freezing. Hearne is at freezing. Temple is 25°F with freezing drizzle.
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Rip76
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Latest Lindner

1-24-26 515pm

Significant Winter Storm to impact the state and region over the next 24-36 hours.

Significant travel impacts are likely across the region and state.

Dangerous and damaging cold likely Monday and Tuesday mornings

Preparations for this cold weather event should be completed

Freezing line currently extends from Crockett to Madisonville to Giddings and is progressing southeast and will move into the Houston metro area through the evening hours.

The following timing looks to be the onset of freezing temperatures across the metro area tonight:

Conroe to Hempstead: 500-700pm
Magnolia to Hockley to Brookshire: 600-800pm
Spring to Jersey Village to Richmond: 1000pm-midnight
Pearland to Baytown: 200am- 400am
Bayarea: 400am-600am

Precipitation:

Freezing rain is likely especially north and west of the metro area Saturday evening and advancing toward the US-59 corridor and to the coast on Sunday

Ice accumulation is likely across much of the area with the highest amounts to the north and west.

Travel impacts are likely on elevated bridges, overpasses, flyovers, and connector ramps late Saturday into Sunday and lingering into Monday.

Scattered light rain and showers have continued this afternoon with the main storm system over Baja starting to turn east and will move across MX and TX tonight into Sunday. There will be a corresponding increase in lift across the area this evening into Sunday morning with the development of widespread showers and a few thunderstorms. This will occur as the freezing line advances southward resulting in freezing rain and ice accumulation. A few of the stronger cells could produce some sleet mixed with freezing rain. Precipitation will end Sunday morning in the 800-900am although some drizzle and mist may continues into the early afternoon hours and humidity levels look to remain in the 75-95% range which will slow the drying of any wet pavement that is not frozen.

Accumulations:
Storm event accumulations range from .05 to .25 of an inch from the US 59 (southwest of Houston)/I-10 (east of Houston) corridor northward with the highest amounts found north of HWY 105 where a longer overlap of freezing temperatures and precipitation is most likely. South of I-10 amounts could range in the .01 to .10 range and the Winter Storm Warning has been extended southward in inland Matagorda and Brazoria Counties. While these amounts may seem low, it only takes a very small amount of ice to create extremely hazardous driving conditions on bridges and overpasses.

.25 of an inch of ice is generally when power outages and tree damage begin to occur. Dmaage to trees and power lines is likely in the Ice Storm Warning area where accumulations of .30-.50 will be possible.

Potential Ice Accumulations:
North of HWY 105: .25-.40
North of I-10/US 59: .05-.25
South of I-10/US 59: .01-.10

Additionally, gusty winds of 15-25mph will add stress to ice covered tree limbs and powerlines.

Little recovery is expected on Sunday after the precipitation ends with cloud cover lingering. Any melting of ice will refreeze overnight along with areas patches of water from the recent rainfall (even on surface streets and parking lots).
Cromagnum
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Down to 24-25 here as the sun dips. Radar is pretty quiet even though the air feels heavy and wet.
NWHouston
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Stratton20 wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:26 pm No they arent, everyone is going to drop down to or below freezing sometime overnight, everything is on track for ice down here
I dont think anyone is doubting that, but Timing of the cold relative to the short time of over riding precipitation will be minimal based on todays trends. Lots of time to dry out Sunday, pretty sure though it will be cold the roads will be perfectly dry and safe Monday morning
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MontgomeryCoWx
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30 in Flatonia. 32.9 at my place. I’m 20 miles east of Flatonia.
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jasons2k
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BAY29 wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:19 pm
jasons2k wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:16 pm It's crazy how it's freezing on the south shore of lake Somerville, but still 35 all around B/CS. Just those few miles have made a huge difference with the shadow effect today. It will eventually wash out but it's still pretty stubborn.
When do you think Tomball freezes? Pretty soon after sunset?
A few hours after sunset, yes. A couple of hours later than I thought (from a few days ago) but in the end it won't matter a whole lot. The next wave of precip. won't be moving-in until later tonight, and by then, the freezing line should be along about 59 SW of downtown and I-10 E towards Beaumont east of downtown, and moving south towards the coast as it's moving-in later.

FWIW, freezing drizzle can really start to pile-up over time.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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One accident on I-10 already west of Flat and east of Luling
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jasons2k
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:33 pm 30 in Flatonia. 32.9 at my place. I’m 20 miles east of Flatonia.
Yeah, won't be long before you're there.

I just noticed it's 25 over in Dripping Springs...
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tireman4
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1-25-26 527pm

Main round of precipitation that will spread east tonight over top of the surface freezing temperatures resulting in a lot of freezing rain across SC to SE TX
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MontgomeryCoWx
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jasons2k wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:39 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:33 pm 30 in Flatonia. 32.9 at my place. I’m 20 miles east of Flatonia.
Yeah, won't be long before you're there.

I just noticed it's 25 over in Dripping Springs...
Steady freezing drizzle here
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MontgomeryCoWx
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And just like that we are down to 31.
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davidiowx
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NWHouston wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:21 pm
davidiowx wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:02 pm I’m down to 39. It was steadily dropping here but slowed starting around 1:30-2. The dew point has been dropping the same a degree or so below the temp.
Spring has been holding at 38, encouraging for those hoping for little to no ice. For awhile this afternoon I thought the cold would continue to advance but looks like the school districts were premature on their cancellations yet again.
It will start dropping as the sun goes down. The cold air is there and still filtering south. Should be close or below freezing in the coming hours.
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DoctorMu
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The freezing line has reached Bryan.

A patch of freezing rain, with possibly sleet is headed this way from Bastrop.



Little recovery is expected on Sunday after the precipitation ends with cloud cover lingering. Any melting of ice will refreeze overnight along with areas patches of water from the recent rainfall (even on surface streets and parking lots).
txsnowmaker
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jasons2k wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:37 pm
BAY29 wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:19 pm
jasons2k wrote: Sat Jan 24, 2026 5:16 pm It's crazy how it's freezing on the south shore of lake Somerville, but still 35 all around B/CS. Just those few miles have made a huge difference with the shadow effect today. It will eventually wash out but it's still pretty stubborn.
When do you think Tomball freezes? Pretty soon after sunset?
A few hours after sunset, yes. A couple of hours later than I thought (from a few days ago) but in the end it won't matter a whole lot. The next wave of precip. won't be moving-in until later tonight, and by then, the freezing line should be along about 59 SW of downtown and I-10 E towards Beaumont east of downtown, and moving south towards the coast as it's moving-in later.

FWIW, freezing drizzle can really start to pile-up over time.
NWS has folks around the Galleria area hitting 32 around 4 am.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Freezing fog and a few pingers here now
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