January 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Brazoriatx979
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:50 pm
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:26 pm Ya, how about no
It does have snow mixed in too though, especially away from the coastal areas.
So why would there be snow further away from the coast if every where is below freezing? Warm nose maybe?
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tireman4
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Stratton20
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Brazoriatx979 correct, the closer to the coast you are, especially if there is a coastal low, the closer yoy are to that influx of warm gulf air, hence the warm nose is greater near the coast which is why it would be more ice/ sleet than snow, the further in land you are, the warm nose will be much weaker or non existent which is why you see more snow for in land counties on that euro run
Brazoriatx979
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Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 1:06 pm Brazoriatx979 correct, the closer to the coast you are, especially if there is a coastal low, the closer yoy are to that influx of warm gulf air, hence the warm nose is greater near the coast which is why it would be more ice/ sleet than snow, the further in land you are, the warm nose will be much weaker or non existent which is why you see more snow for in land counties on that euro run
I get it..but also would the placement of the gulf low have an effect also? Closer to land the better the warm nose..further away the less chance?
Stratton20
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Brazoriatx979 yup, if the coastal low is too close to the coast, it would be either rain ( depending on temperatures) or freezing rain for more in land counties, if the coastal low is further off shore ( though not too far offshore because it could rob moisture) that would be a better scenario for coastal counties to see snow , it really is about timing and placement, which of course is always a challenge down here
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 1:09 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 1:06 pm Brazoriatx979 correct, the closer to the coast you are, especially if there is a coastal low, the closer yoy are to that influx of warm gulf air, hence the warm nose is greater near the coast which is why it would be more ice/ sleet than snow, the further in land you are, the warm nose will be much weaker or non existent which is why you see more snow for in land counties on that euro run
I get it..but also would the placement of the gulf low have an effect also? Closer to land the better the warm nose..further away the less chance?
Yes. Actual air temps aren’t going to be the issue here. But if you get a coastal low closer to the coast, you could be looking at freezing rain in 24 degree temps which will snap everything.
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walsean1
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:26 pm Ya, how about no
This would cause serious power outages which could be devastating because of the cold air
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DoctorMu
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Waiting for the 12z, but Euro Euro who can I turn to?
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DoctorMu
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walsean1 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 1:15 pm
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:26 pm Ya, how about no
This would cause serious power outages which could be devastating because of the cold air
No excuse really. Arkansas and NC see this every year. July sucks a lot more power.

The grid hasn't been connected between west and east Texas...or Texas and the rest of the US.
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DoctorMu
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Because I can...
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Brazoriatx979
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DoctorMu wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 1:26 pm Because I can...
7.5 inches for brazoria county lol great eye candy..but it's just eye candy for now
Stratton20
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DoctorMu here is the 12z Euro
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Last edited by Stratton20 on Sun Jan 12, 2025 1:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
walsean1
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I am copying this link from POW Ponder. All I have to say is wow. I don’t know if this would be a repeat of 2021 but it’s so far looking like it.

https://youtu.be/Oa1dpYsPHUo?si=3H_AtdL1fB77wG-v
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DoctorMu
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OMG The 12z Euro is still holding court!
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DoctorMu
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Bring it.
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Brazoriatx979
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Temper excitement..lol we know how this has played out many times
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DoctorMu
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walsean1 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 1:27 pm I am copying this link from POW Ponder. All I have to say is wow. I don’t know if this would be a repeat of 2021 but it’s so far looking like it.

https://youtu.be/Oa1dpYsPHUo?si=3H_AtdL1fB77wG-v
"Cross-polar flow." Them's fightin' words. :lol:
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DoctorMu
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 1:33 pm Temper excitement..lol we know how this has played out many times
It's entertainment 8 days out. We get that.
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Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 1:33 pm Temper excitement..lol we know how this has played out many times
Haha yeah, I’m more worried about the cold trending east of us rn than I am with precipitation.
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