February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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wxman666
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djmike wrote:Local mets in the Beaumont area are now forecasting sleet/snow in my area for Thurs-Fri!!

Thursday, with another hard freeze with lows starting off at 26, there will be a small chance of 10% of some snow flurries in the morning hours. Highs will near 43 with some sun by afternoon.

Friday, as we hit well below freezing again, lows start near 25 and reach only 42 for a high. There will be a 20% chance of precip again in the morning with some of that falling as snow. Accumulation is unlikely
Wish HGX would get with the program. Seems as though they think there will be a magic "snow shield" only over our specific CWA. :lol:
Ready for severe weather season!!
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Mr. T
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wxman666 wrote:[Wish HGX would get with the program. Seems as though they think there will be a magic "snow shield" only over our specific CWA. :lol:
Yeah... Not sure why they have it only for northern counties. Moisture is a big question right now, but if there is any, it'll be in the form of snow all the way to the coast. A cold pocket within the upper level disturbance will be moving overhead and ensure this (kind of like Dec 08)
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wxman666 wrote:
djmike wrote:Local mets in the Beaumont area are now forecasting sleet/snow in my area for Thurs-Fri!!

Thursday, with another hard freeze with lows starting off at 26, there will be a small chance of 10% of some snow flurries in the morning hours. Highs will near 43 with some sun by afternoon.

Friday, as we hit well below freezing again, lows start near 25 and reach only 42 for a high. There will be a 20% chance of precip again in the morning with some of that falling as snow. Accumulation is unlikely
Wish HGX would get with the program. Seems as though they think there will be a magic "snow shield" only over our specific CWA. :lol:

As much as you laugh I have seen that shield before. There is nothing funny about it! ;)
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We have a lot folks online tonight. If you haven't signed up, please do. We don't bite... join in on the discussions... :mrgreen:

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wxman666
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Andrew wrote:
wxman666 wrote:
djmike wrote:Local mets in the Beaumont area are now forecasting sleet/snow in my area for Thurs-Fri!!

Thursday, with another hard freeze with lows starting off at 26, there will be a small chance of 10% of some snow flurries in the morning hours. Highs will near 43 with some sun by afternoon.

Friday, as we hit well below freezing again, lows start near 25 and reach only 42 for a high. There will be a 20% chance of precip again in the morning with some of that falling as snow. Accumulation is unlikely
Wish HGX would get with the program. Seems as though they think there will be a magic "snow shield" only over our specific CWA. :lol:

As much as you laugh I have seen that shield before. There is nothing funny about it! ;)
Yes, I suppose that's true. But it sure would be a weird phenomenon if everyone surrounding us received snow/ice and there was just this little circle over our region that was left out. How does that happen, lol. At any rate, seems like this is getting slightly more common, as weird as it sounds....three consecutive snows three years in a row and one in 2004 vs. every 15+ years (so I've heard) like it was in the past. It will be interesting to watch.
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Mr. T
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There is going to be one hell of a temp gradient across Texas on tuesday...

Single digits in the TX panhandle, in the 60s here, and near 70 degrees in far S TX
Last edited by Mr. T on Sun Jan 30, 2011 8:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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New MAV showing a low of 25 on Tuesday! WOW...after a high was 65. I think we're going to see even lower temps than forecast. It appears that ABC 13 has a 20% chance of snow on Friday now.

MEX guidance showing dewpoints in the teens Tuesday through Friday and this is the warmest of ANY model. That's what is amazing. MEX is also showing high QPF for Friday and Friday night. This would likely all be snow. Wow..
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Mr. T
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NAM a bit faster with the front... Anyone think it could reach here by 8 am tuesday?
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Also, for our friends in Dallas, this run would appear to be more supportive for some wintry precip in the Metroplex as the cold air arrives a bit quicker.
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Candy Cane wrote:New MAV showing a low of 25 on Tuesday! WOW...after a high was 65. I think we're going to see even lower temps than forecast. It appears that ABC 13 has a 20% chance of snow on Friday now.

MEX guidance showing dewpoints in the teens Tuesday through Friday and this is the warmest of ANY model. That's what is amazing. MEX is also showing high QPF for Friday and Friday night. This would likely all be snow. Wow..

What a change of "thinking" for them:
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Candy Cane wrote:New MAV showing a low of 25 on Tuesday! WOW...after a high was 65. I think we're going to see even lower temps than forecast. It appears that ABC 13 has a 20% chance of snow on Friday now.

MEX guidance showing dewpoints in the teens Tuesday through Friday and this is the warmest of ANY model. That's what is amazing. MEX is also showing high QPF for Friday and Friday night. This would likely all be snow. Wow..
Sure wish that 20% would increase to say, 100% :P
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Interesting to see what the night crew/model runs bring us? Gonna be an active week ahead watching and waiting!

Thanks for all the posts and updates from everyone who posts here! Nothing like staying informed.
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jabcwb2 wrote:
Candy Cane wrote:New MAV showing a low of 25 on Tuesday! WOW...after a high was 65. I think we're going to see even lower temps than forecast. It appears that ABC 13 has a 20% chance of snow on Friday now.

MEX guidance showing dewpoints in the teens Tuesday through Friday and this is the warmest of ANY model. That's what is amazing. MEX is also showing high QPF for Friday and Friday night. This would likely all be snow. Wow..
Sure wish that 20% would increase to say, 100% :P
I'm on the phone with my friend at HGX...they are aware of the Winter Storm Possibility and there is a meeting being held on Tuesday.
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wxman666
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Andrew wrote:
Candy Cane wrote:New MAV showing a low of 25 on Tuesday! WOW...after a high was 65. I think we're going to see even lower temps than forecast. It appears that ABC 13 has a 20% chance of snow on Friday now.

MEX guidance showing dewpoints in the teens Tuesday through Friday and this is the warmest of ANY model. That's what is amazing. MEX is also showing high QPF for Friday and Friday night. This would likely all be snow. Wow..

What a change of "thinking" for them:
Hahaha! Thank y'all so much for posting this. This has made my day. :lol:
Ready for severe weather season!!
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wxman666
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Candy Cane wrote:
jabcwb2 wrote:
Candy Cane wrote:New MAV showing a low of 25 on Tuesday! WOW...after a high was 65. I think we're going to see even lower temps than forecast. It appears that ABC 13 has a 20% chance of snow on Friday now.

MEX guidance showing dewpoints in the teens Tuesday through Friday and this is the warmest of ANY model. That's what is amazing. MEX is also showing high QPF for Friday and Friday night. This would likely all be snow. Wow..
Sure wish that 20% would increase to say, 100% :P
I'm on the phone with my friend at HGX...they are aware of the Winter Storm Possibility and there is a meeting being held on Tuesday.
Sounds exciting!
Ready for severe weather season!!
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Candy Cane wrote:I'm on the phone with my friend at HGX...they are aware of the Winter Storm Possibility and there is a meeting being held on Tuesday.
Keep us updated, please!
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Look at the gusty N wind over a snowpack. Brrr...
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Candy Cane wrote:I'm on the phone with my friend at HGX...they are aware of the Winter Storm Possibility and there is a meeting being held on Tuesday.
Thanks for the behind the scenes! Be sure to keep us updated :D
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wxman666
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Anyone else having trouble accessing ZPF's and AFD's from HGX right now?
Ready for severe weather season!!
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