November: Cool & Dry To End The Month

[Snowman]

I hope thunderstorms start to fire up along that line because as of now the line looks extremely disappointing

[srainhoutx]

For what it's worth, the 12Z WRF suggests a squall line moving into northern areas of SE TX after a bit of a lull around mid day/afternoon...

[wxman666]

SPC page not responding. I wanted to look at RUC based mesoanalysis and CRP, FWD and LCH 12Z soundings...

Ed, are you trying to access the Mesoanalysis sectors? It seems the other areas of the site are functioning properly.

[biggerbyte]

Wow! After last nights radar returns, things do not look nearly as impressive right now. At the moment, the rainfall across Texas, for the most part, is a broken up mess. We'll see if our "line of storms" gets its act together over our area as the front moves through. More in a bit. Just woke up. LOL

[srainhoutx]

NCEP Operational Status Message
Tue Nov 8 15:52:35 2011 GMT
NOUS42 KWNO 081551
ADMNFD

SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD
1550Z TUE NOV 08 2011
EXTERNAL NCEP WEB SITES..CPC..NCO..HPC..NHC..OPC...SPC..ARE
CURRENTLY DOWN.. WOC HAS BEEN NOTIFIED AND THEY ARE
INVESTIGATING..
12Z GFS STARTED ON TIME
12Z RAOB RECAP..
SYA/70414 - NOT AVAILABLE FOR THE NAM OR GFS
A NATIONAL CRITICAL WEATHER DAY IS EXPECTED TO BE DECLARED ON
11/10 AT 00Z..
RSO STATUS...
GOES-E RSO WILL BE EXTENDED FROM 1215Z TO 11/09 0615Z IN SUPPORT
OF SOUTHERN REGIONS SEVERE WX OPS.
SHRUELL/SDM/NCO/NCEP

[srainhoutx]

Tornado Watch Issued N and E of our area...

Code: Select all

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 875
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 AM CST TUE NOV 8 2011

TORNADO WATCH 875 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR THE
 FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

TXC001-005-037-063-067-073-119-159-161-183-203-213-223-225-277-
289-293-313-315-343-347-349-365-379-387-395-401-403-405-419-423-
449-455-459-467-499-090000-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0875.111108T1650Z-111109T0000Z/

TX
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANDERSON             ANGELINA            BOWIE
CAMP                 CASS                CHEROKEE
DELTA                FRANKLIN            FREESTONE
GREGG                HARRISON            HENDERSON
HOPKINS              HOUSTON             LAMAR
LEON                 LIMESTONE           MADISON
MARION               MORRIS              NACOGDOCHES
NAVARRO              PANOLA              RAINS
RED RIVER            ROBERTSON           RUSK
SABINE               SAN AUGUSTINE       SHELBY
SMITH                TITUS               TRINITY
UPSHUR               VAN ZANDT           WOOD
$$


ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...FWD...HGX...TSA...

[srainhoutx]

Looking ahead just abit...

[weatherguy425]

If only the pattern wasn't so progressive. The GFS has the brunt of the air mass moving east before it even gets a chance to settle in. Though, the GFS is infamous for being too quick with cold air masses.

[wxman666]

NCEP Operational Status Message
Tue Nov 8 15:52:35 2011 GMT
NOUS42 KWNO 081551
ADMNFD

SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD
1550Z TUE NOV 08 2011
EXTERNAL NCEP WEB SITES..CPC..NCO..HPC..NHC..OPC...SPC..ARE
CURRENTLY DOWN.. WOC HAS BEEN NOTIFIED AND THEY ARE
INVESTIGATING..
...

SHRUELL/SDM/NCO/NCEP

Thank goodness, I thought NCEP had banned me for looking at their sites too often.

No, they would've banned me years ago if that worth the case.

[srainhoutx]

Sites are working again...

Code: Select all

NCEP Operational Status Message
Tue Nov 8 17:11:42 2011 GMT
NOUS42 KWNO 081711
ADMNFD
 
SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD
1710Z TUE NOV 08 2011
UPDATE..NCEP EXTERNAL WEB SITE OUTAGE..
SUPPORT REPORTS THAT NCEP CONTENT IS POSTING TO THE EXTERNAL WEB
SITES AND PUBLIC USERS HAVE ACCESS TO THE CONTENT

[wxman666]

Getting off and on showers, peeks of sun in between here in Cypress. Very warm and muggy too. Watching HGX Doppler...looks like the convective activity is increasing slightly and getting a little more intense in some areas. Have SPC, HGX and this forum all opened in tabs.

[srainhoutx]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1152 AM CST TUE NOV 8 2011

.AVIATION...
DIFFICULT FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. A SPECIAL
SOUNDING FROM TEXAS A AND M AT 15Z SHOWED A DECENT INVERSION
LOCATED AT ABOUT 790 MB. THE MODELS STILL ERODE THE CAP IN ADVANCE
OF THE FRONT. THINK THAT THE BEST ENERGY WILL BE FURTHER TO THE
NORTH CLOSER TO THE UPPER LOW AND THAT THERE WILL BE MAINLY
SHOWERS DEVELOPING UNDER THE CAP. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT A
STORM WILL BREAK THE CAP. THERE WAS STILL ENOUGH OF A SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT THAT BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
21Z. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT THEN RELAXES AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
DECIDED TO GO MORE ALONG WITH THE NAM TIMING OF THE FRONT. WINDS
BEHIND THE FRONT DO NOT PICK UP UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.

[redneckweather]

Lots of rain and thunder in my neck of the woods way in advance of the actually front. I'm thinking we are good with a decent squall line pushing through later on this afternoon as it approaches the area.

[sambucol]

When will the cooler temps reach the Baytown area with this front?

[wxman666]

Tornado Warning active for NE Harris County. SPC coordinating with HGX on Tornado Watch. Don't have time to post the link. Would one of y'all be so kind?

[weatherguy425]

People are posting some damage pictures on facebook (from kingwood), so far only tree damage.

[redneckweather]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
149 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011

TXC201-291-339-082000-
/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-111108T2000Z/
MONTGOMERY TX-LIBERTY TX-HARRIS TX-
149 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CST FOR HARRIS...
LIBERTY AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...

AT 142 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 2 MILES EAST NORTHEAST
OF KINGWOOD...OVER EXTREME NORTHERN LAKE HOUSTON...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PLUM
GROVE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3003 9528 3025 9512 3017 9494 2996 9522
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 224DEG 23KT 3012 9511

[unome]

TORNADO WARNING
TXC201-291-082045-
/O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0019.111108T2001Z-111108T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
201 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST

* AT 157 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF PLUM GROVE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
TARKINGTON PRAIRIE...MOSS HILL...LIBERTY...KENEFICK...HARDIN...
DAYTON LAKES...DAYTON AND DAISETTA.

A TORNADO WAS SIGHTED EARLIER NEAR ATASCOCITA WITH THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN THE INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
A ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A STURDY BUILDING. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF YOU ARE INSIDE A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...EVACUATE THEM
IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING. AS A LAST
RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR
HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3003 9507 3009 9517 3013 9515 3017 9509
3021 9511 3032 9507 3049 9473 3047 9471
3045 9472 3005 9459
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 235DEG 19KT 3012 9508

$$

[biggerbyte]

TORNADO WATCH 876 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAMBERS GRIMES HARDIN HARRIS HOUSTON JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY MADISON MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE POLK SAN JACINTO TRINITY TYLER WALKER WALLER

[srainhoutx]

TORNADO WATCH 876 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHAMBERS GRIMES HARDIN HARRIS HOUSTON JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY MADISON MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE POLK SAN JACINTO TRINITY TYLER WALKER WALLER