Storm motion depends on which storms you are talking about. The initial storms were along the remnants of an old outflow and quickly formed a boundary against the incoming gulf flow. That original line now has sorta split into two separate focus areas - one is the northern flank moving inland crossing into College Station, the southern flank is along the original outflow boundaries to the south where you have backbuilding going on over it across Montgomery County/Northern Harris. And embedded in those clusters/lines are some right-turners with hail and circulation.
Then on top of all that, you have the main cold front out to the northwest, steadily charging ESE to the coast, which will move in later tonight.
Keep in mind we still have warm gulf inflow into all this on the southern flank. This will go on for several more hours.
May 2025
Yall just need to be patient. The systems will clash and start heading this way, and conditions will change quickly.
The lines of cells merged over us forming one big MCS. The "sky was mad," as our son would have said as a kid.
I turned around half a mile from the grocery store as we were dumped on. Three inch an hours stuff. About 2.5 inch an hour on and off at the casa. We're still had 2.9 inches of rain in 90 minutes. Feast or famine. Streets were flooding.
Cells are colliding with I-10 heading ESE. I think they'll hold together for awhile. There's lots of instability still. I think the flooding rain may have reduced severe risks here. There were maybe 25-35 mph winds.
I turned around half a mile from the grocery store as we were dumped on. Three inch an hours stuff. About 2.5 inch an hour on and off at the casa. We're still had 2.9 inches of rain in 90 minutes. Feast or famine. Streets were flooding.
Cells are colliding with I-10 heading ESE. I think they'll hold together for awhile. There's lots of instability still. I think the flooding rain may have reduced severe risks here. There were maybe 25-35 mph winds.
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Last edited by DoctorMu on Fri May 02, 2025 6:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
What are the chances it holds together and makes it to the coast instead of falling apart, as most systems have done the last couple years?jasons2k wrote: ↑Fri May 02, 2025 4:31 pm Storm motion depends on which storms you are talking about. The initial storms were along the remnants of an old outflow and quickly formed a boundary against the incoming gulf flow. That original line now has sorta split into two separate focus areas - one is the northern flank moving inland crossing into College Station, the southern flank is along the original outflow boundaries to the south where you have backbuilding going on over it across Montgomery County/Northern Harris. And embedded in those clusters/lines are some right-turners with hail and circulation.
Then on top of all that, you have the main cold front out to the northwest, steadily charging ESE to the coast, which will move in later tonight.
Keep in mind we still have warm gulf inflow into all this on the southern flank. This will go on for several more hours.
This one will hold together. It has upper support and a surface front.Canebo wrote: ↑Fri May 02, 2025 6:00 pmWhat are the chances it holds together and makes it to the coast instead of falling apart, as most systems have done the last couple years?jasons2k wrote: ↑Fri May 02, 2025 4:31 pm Storm motion depends on which storms you are talking about. The initial storms were along the remnants of an old outflow and quickly formed a boundary against the incoming gulf flow. That original line now has sorta split into two separate focus areas - one is the northern flank moving inland crossing into College Station, the southern flank is along the original outflow boundaries to the south where you have backbuilding going on over it across Montgomery County/Northern Harris. And embedded in those clusters/lines are some right-turners with hail and circulation.
Then on top of all that, you have the main cold front out to the northwest, steadily charging ESE to the coast, which will move in later tonight.
Keep in mind we still have warm gulf inflow into all this on the southern flank. This will go on for several more hours.
At least I got some rain the last two days on the two days we weren't suppose to get much. Level 3 SPC forecast today and didn't even get a sprinkle.
Finally getting some good rain here. We lost power though, but that’s fine with me.
Got some good rain with nothing severe. Perfection!
1.53" so far
You nailed it!. Got almost 1/2" of much needed rain from it last night.jasons2k wrote: ↑Fri May 02, 2025 6:17 pmThis one will hold together. It has upper support and a surface front.Canebo wrote: ↑Fri May 02, 2025 6:00 pmWhat are the chances it holds together and makes it to the coast instead of falling apart, as most systems have done the last couple years?jasons2k wrote: ↑Fri May 02, 2025 4:31 pm Storm motion depends on which storms you are talking about. The initial storms were along the remnants of an old outflow and quickly formed a boundary against the incoming gulf flow. That original line now has sorta split into two separate focus areas - one is the northern flank moving inland crossing into College Station, the southern flank is along the original outflow boundaries to the south where you have backbuilding going on over it across Montgomery County/Northern Harris. And embedded in those clusters/lines are some right-turners with hail and circulation.
Then on top of all that, you have the main cold front out to the northwest, steadily charging ESE to the coast, which will move in later tonight.
Keep in mind we still have warm gulf inflow into all this on the southern flank. This will go on for several more hours.