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Re: Hurricane Season 2010--Thoughts and Predictions
Posted: Fri May 28, 2010 9:41 pm
by Paul
Portastorm wrote:Hey guys, thought I would pop back in as we appear to be on the advent of an active tropical season.
Paul, you sound psyched, amigo?!
As for a strong La Nina ... I dunno Ed. As you know the official forecast is for ENSO neutral conditions through most of the summer but a growing number of models are showing a return to La Nina. Jury's still out on just how strong it might get. But southern runners are fine by me.
Hey Porta, yeah bro I am psyche this year!!...plenty to track all season... I feel it....I will be on 2k soon. Just came out of hibernation...
Re: Hurricane Season 2010--Thoughts and Predictions
Posted: Mon May 31, 2010 12:18 pm
by Big O
DT with wxrisk.com has issued his summer 2010/hurricane forecast. He is customarily conservative on his forecasts so this forecast is quite troubling, especially his mention of storms being steered into the GOM. See link:
http://1664596.sites.myregisteredsite.c ... ER2010.htm
Re: Hurricane Season 2010--Thoughts and Predictions
Posted: Mon May 31, 2010 12:47 pm
by Paul
Big O wrote:DT with wxrisk.com has issued his summer 2010/hurricane forecast. He is customarily conservative on his forecasts so this forecast is quite troubling, especially his mention of storms being steered into the GOM. See link:
http://1664596.sites.myregisteredsite.c ... ER2010.htm
that is disturbing.....he is however basing his forecast on less SAL and shear. Really no way to predict SAL...he is right about sst's. IMO, though there is no way to predict landfall in one area or another this far out....pointless..