Wx Infinity Forums

Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:53 pm

sambucol wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:46 pm

Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 9:18 pm I know with past freezing rain events, trees have fallen onto powerlines causing power outages. They often cause roads to be dangerous to travel. I can even recall thunder during freezing rain.

If we get ice accumulations on power lines, expect power outages.

I am thinking that could happen, which could be a problem.

Yes, and especially with the entire state being affected with much colder temps. We are expecting outages.

our local mets dont seem to be concerned about anything over here.

00z CMC is more bullish with a winter storm , GFS not quite their yet but its trending a little more south- SW with the trough

0Z Canadian onboard. (Remember this model was mostly dry a couple of days ago.)

...and it is really cold too!!!

If the canadian verifies, we are going to have significant problems

Getting into the range of the mesoscale models. The 0Z NAM has the front moving into SE Texas late Saturday night and nearing the coast by Sunday morning...Not uncommon at all for this kind of fronts to move in quicker than what the global models show. So I'm not surprised at all that the NAM is faster than the globals.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 10:49 pm If the canadian verifies, we are going to have significant problems

How so?

sambucol wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 11:11 pm

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 10:49 pm If the canadian verifies, we are going to have significant problems

How so?

Power grid, roads, etc.

I have a feeling this is going to be worse, meaning lower temps and ice, than what is being forecasted.

Ensembles coming in more bullish, and now almost every member of the GEPS has a winter storm

Does the Euro still show a winter storm of sorts?

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 3:57 pm 18z ICON is way colder on monday, those wind chills are absolutely brutal!

ICON and CMC in agreement. CMC and Euro in agreement about precip.



We've been seeing this potential for weeks. The last half of January will be full of set-ups that could be very interesting. I suspect the active pattern will continue and the cold will stick around. Our wintry precip chances are obviously better in the upper 20s than 8°F in SETX.

don wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 10:42 pm 0Z Canadian onboard. (Remember this model was mostly dry a couple of days ago.)

Yep, I'm seeing colder and wetter all the way around. Local KBTX is calling for 3 straight days of 30s, teens for lows. Chance of wintry stuff...and they are conservative about these things.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 10, 2024 11:40 pm Ensembles coming in more bullish, and now almost every member of the GEPS has a winter storm

Ensemble frozen tundra season:

Be Prepared:

The NWS is mentioning it now, but only a slight chance.

biggerbyte wrote: ↑Thu Jan 11, 2024 4:07 am The NWS is mentioning it now, but only a slight chance.

It will grow as the days go on

All going to depend when the cold gets here

Before we get to the big event next week, we have this happening in our backyard tonight..