Hurricane Beryl

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Post Reply
Stratton20
Posts: 5368
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Hurricane hunters have found a pressure of 962 mb! Thats much stronger than what i thought, 4 pm update had this at 974 mb, and that would mean even the hurricane models are too weak
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6052
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Beryl Recon Obs
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7093
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Beryl is workin' it.

She's headed WNW (not West) and a potential direct hit on Cozumel.

Image
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19685
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

Beryl is strengthening again, and rather quickly. Our friends over in Biloxi are reporting a 12 milibar drop in pressure since the last RECON mission left.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6052
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Alluding to what Srain reported..962 mb..
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
biggerbyte
Posts: 1396
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:15 am
Location: Porter, Texas. (Montgomery County)
Contact:

Beryl is determined.. You all know you can't kill Gulfzilla. It's coming. Everyone from Corpus to Galveston should really keep up with updates. I see no reason to not suggest a more northward path at landfall, not unless something drastic happens.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7093
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

"There will be Rain."

Image

Image

Beryl will not take no for an answer.

Image
User avatar
Rip76
Posts: 2004
Joined: Mon Feb 15, 2010 12:38 am
Location: The Woodlands
Contact:

West, maybe even SW.
Andrew
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3497
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:46 pm
Location: North-West Houston
Contact:

Rip76 wrote: Thu Jul 04, 2024 8:08 pm West, maybe even SW.
Storm movement? That is still a mix of west and WNW
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
For Your Infinite Source For All Things Weather Visit Our Facebook
User avatar
don
Posts: 3073
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Wichita Falls
Contact:

Wow!
...BERYL STRENGTHENS BACK TO A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
Hurricane Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
930 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

...BERYL STRENGTHENS BACK TO A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA...

Data from the Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate that Beryl
has strengthened to a category 3 hurricane with maximum winds of
115 mph (185 km/h). The aircraft data also indicated that the
minimum pressure has fallen to 962 mb.

The next forecast will be issued at the normally scheduled time at
11 PM EDT (0300 UTC).

SUMMARY OF 930 PM AST...0130 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 85.1W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM ESE OF TULUM MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Hagen
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4272
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

I am not surprised that Beryl is Category 3 again.
Cpv17
Posts: 6542
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Big news too is that she’s slowing down in speed. Down to 16mph now. That could allow her to get stronger as well.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4272
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Thu Jul 04, 2024 5:42 pm 18z GEFS is in, while I dont see a stall, i dont like how some of the members are a little bit more slower to clear beryl out of texas, something to watch
It seems like hurricane move faster in the tropics and closer to the polar areas. They move slower in subtropical areas.
User avatar
don
Posts: 3073
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Wichita Falls
Contact:

ecens_2024-07-04-18Z_132_34.964_258.35_16.861_279.992_MSLP_Surface_tracks_lows.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
dp6
Posts: 116
Joined: Sun May 24, 2020 5:32 pm
Contact:

The trend is not our friend.
Pas_Bon
Posts: 800
Joined: Tue Sep 11, 2018 7:58 am
Location: League City, TX
Contact:

don wrote: Thu Jul 04, 2024 9:10 pm ecens_2024-07-04-18Z_132_34.964_258.35_16.861_279.992_MSLP_Surface_tracks_lows.png
Every damn time I’ve written SE Tx off the past few days, something like this happens. Ugh
User avatar
sambucol
Posts: 1185
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 5:43 pm
Location: Mont Belvieu
Contact:

Pas_Bon wrote: Thu Jul 04, 2024 9:23 pm
don wrote: Thu Jul 04, 2024 9:10 pm ecens_2024-07-04-18Z_132_34.964_258.35_16.861_279.992_MSLP_Surface_tracks_lows.png
Every damn time I’ve written SE Tx off the past few days, something like this happens. Ugh
Earlier today, the ICON was showing the Galveston area as a landfall area. Maybe it was onto something then, and these runs are sensing it?
dp6
Posts: 116
Joined: Sun May 24, 2020 5:32 pm
Contact:

Cone shifted slightly again, Galveston now on the eastern edge.
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6052
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

The 11 pm
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot] and 11 guests