January 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Post Reply
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Jan 06, 2025 9:20 pm La Grange gets .3 inches of freezing rain and we get nada, maybe some sleet on the NAM. Makes me think we could get a surprised. La Grange isn’t far away from us.


La Grange would NOT be too damn hot.
LaGrange is usually warmer than you are as it's in the Colorado Valley.
Brazoriatx979
Posts: 346
Joined: Tue Nov 26, 2024 10:10 am
Location: Angleton
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Mon Jan 06, 2025 11:38 pm Euro trended toward the GFS, only 4-6 inches for DFW on this run, all the 10+ stuff is east of them, incoming storm2k meltdown 😂😂


Lmao you love to see it! Next time don't be so cocky!
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 6066
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Today's Forecast
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Cromagnum
Posts: 2963
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Location: Georgetown
Contact:

S2K always gets their panties in a wad when they don't get their way in Dallas.
Cpv17
Posts: 6545
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

tireman4 wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 6:15 am Today's Forecast
That’s what I call a beautiful winter day!
redneckweather
Posts: 1058
Joined: Mon Feb 08, 2010 7:29 pm
Location: Montgomery, Texas
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 6:29 am S2K always gets their panties in a wad when they don't get their way in Dallas.
Norther Texas = Liberal Whiny Yankees
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5884
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Be nice folks, we’re still fellow Texans and weather enthusiasts with many of the same members 😉

NGL this whole thing is going about exactly as I expected it to. I never expected more than a cold rain down here, snow up towards DFW and a transition zone of mess with the warm nose.

I don’t think I saw a single model run with the 540 thickness line south of DFW. Tell tale….
Cpv17
Posts: 6545
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

jasons2k wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 7:50 am Be nice folks, we’re still fellow Texans and weather enthusiasts with many of the same members 😉

NGL this whole thing is going about exactly as I expected it to. I never expected more than a cold rain down here, snow up towards DFW and a transition zone of mess with the warm nose.

I don’t think I saw a single model run with the 540 thickness line south of DFW. Tell tale….
Completely agree! And yeah, that’s why I’ve been bringing up the 540 line on here. It’s very important if you want snow.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Wintry mix is now in the NOAA forecast. We're on the edge of the transition zone as expected.
Stratton20
Posts: 5377
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

NAM 12z tries to bring in some snow across portions of se texas on the back edge of the system
Cpv17
Posts: 6545
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 8:47 am NAM 12z tries to bring in some snow across portions of se texas on the back edge of the system
The NAM has been trending towards bringing in some wintry weather the past couple runs. At least for northern SE TX.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

12 hours of freezing or below IMFY.
Stratton20
Posts: 5377
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Cpv17 06z Euro also tries to bring snow into portions of se texas , if the system can slow down a bit more like what the NAM/ Euro hint at as precipitation starts thursday going friday, Friday morning their might be a fresh surge of colder air that could get in to change over some of the rain to snow down here, I wouldn’t be entirely surprised to see some flakes flying across se texas, almost always a surprise with these events even when cold rain is forecasted
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5884
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

It is a very dynamic system so a quick burst of snow on the backside would not surprise me. But we definitely won’t be in the “zone” for most of the time while precip is still around. Too warm and too far south.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

jasons2k wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 9:15 am It is a very dynamic system so a quick burst of snow on the backside would not surprise me. But we definitely won’t be in the “zone” for most of the time while precip is still around. Too warm and too far south.
Yes. There is your tongue of warm pacific air at the mid levels spoiling the party. On the backside the tongue has moved east. It's all about timing on Thursday morning on any backside wintry mix. Freezing rain, sleet could occur before 9 am. We'll see.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

A close-up view.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Stratton20
Posts: 5377
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

DoctorMu yup its all about timing, but definitely think we do have a small window of opportunity
Cpv17
Posts: 6545
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

DoctorMu wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 9:28 am
jasons2k wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 9:15 am It is a very dynamic system so a quick burst of snow on the backside would not surprise me. But we definitely won’t be in the “zone” for most of the time while precip is still around. Too warm and too far south.
Yes. There is your tongue of warm pacific air at the mid levels spoiling the party. On the backside the tongue has moved east. It's all about timing on Thursday morning on any backside wintry mix. Freezing rain, sleet could occur before 9 am. We'll see.
It doesn’t really look like the precip kicks off till around noon on Thursday.
User avatar
sambucol
Posts: 1185
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 5:43 pm
Location: Mont Belvieu
Contact:

Just wondering. Is it looking likely or not likely we might get some winter precip Thursday morning or noonish. I’m asking because I am the lead instructor at a private school, and I know parents will be asking me if we will have class Thursday. Especially when they pick up their children today. Thanks!
Cpv17
Posts: 6545
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

sambucol wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 10:40 am Just wondering. Is it looking likely or not likely we might get some winter precip Thursday morning or noonish. I’m asking because I am the lead instructor at a private school, and I know parents will be asking me if we will have class Thursday. Especially when they pick up their children today. Thanks!
Not likely. Maybe early Friday.
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot] and 7 guests