02L_trracks_latest.png
Hurricane Beryl
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Everyone will be seeing rain regardless of where Beryl makes landfall.Due to the frontal boundary draped over the state interacting with moisture from Beryl and 96L. How much rain is yet to be determined though.
I think Galveston and points east are probably safe from getting a DIRECT hit, doesn't mean there wont be impacts though.And possibly significant impacts depending on the track of Beryl once the storm moves inland.
Last edited by don on Thu Jul 04, 2024 2:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
A little off topic, but if any of you are on SPI for the 4th, don’t get in the water. Three shark attacks there today.
Yes! All of SETX will.
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Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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brazoriatx
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TexasBreeze
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They don't change track on intermediate advisories
Looks like a well developed core again with maybe only a little bit of time over the Yucatan coming up. Looks like some fairly good agreement on the track overall between the models, will see about the ICON model though.
Looks like a well developed core again with maybe only a little bit of time over the Yucatan coming up. Looks like some fairly good agreement on the track overall between the models, will see about the ICON model though.
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Stratton20
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Forward Speed has appeared to come down some, I dont like that at all
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TexasBreeze
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Hopefully that qpf map above verifies since it looks like everyone, even south-central Texas would see much needed rain.
No change with the 4pm advisory. Landfall just n of La Playita.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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The cone is much larger now for potential landfalls, up to San Luis pass
Team #NeverSummer
Yep, that’s a wide *** cone! LolMontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 3:50 pm The cone is much larger now for potential landfalls, up to San Luis pass
And also of note, Beryl is still moving WNW and now at 19.5°N.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Northern part of that 3 day cone looks more likely to me at this point.
Team #NeverSummer
I thought the cone was based on stats of 5 years of data and not on track confidence?MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Thu Jul 04, 2024 3:50 pm The cone is much larger now for potential landfalls, up to San Luis pass