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Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 2:06 am
by Scott747
lol
That was a quick change from just about 30 minutes ago.
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 4:22 am
by Hardcoreweather
Once again I am tired of people saying that 95L is dead
You can not ignore systems that are in your backyard
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 4:40 am
by Hardcoreweather
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 7:44 am
by srainhoutx
8 AM TWO:
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND BY
TONIGHT OR TUESDAY. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OR
NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 7:54 am
by wxman57
Nighttime IR and radar don't tell the story of 95L. The LLC is actually well-separated from the convection due to moderate northerly shear. It'll be moving inland later today without developing.
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 11:21 am
by rnmm
Hello everyone, I just have a quick question. I know this storm isn't going to develop into anything much, but I was curious where it was going to go inland? Are we looking at another rainmaker for our area or is it going in SW LA still? Thank you
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 11:22 am
by Hardcoreweather
landfall tonight around Morgan City LA
Hopefully it brings us some more heavy rain in South AL cause we need it
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 12:58 pm
by Hardcoreweather
Is it true that the NHC will not upgrade a storm to TD or STD status if it's attached to a frontal boundary ?
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 1:07 pm
by Scott747
Bones has been on deck for awhile now.
200 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2010
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH OF MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND BY
LATE TONIGHT.
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 1:15 pm
by Hardcoreweather
Scott747 wrote:Bones has been on deck for awhile now.
Can't you come with something more original ? Thought that only Wxman 57 could say that
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 1:18 pm
by Scott747
Hardcoreweather wrote:Scott747 wrote:Bones has been on deck for awhile now.
Can't you come with something more original ? Thought that only Wxman 57 could say that
Saying 95l is dead seems to send you into full tilt.
Thought I'd go old school.
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 2:27 pm
by Hardcoreweather
JimCantore Latest visible satellite imagery and wind observations south of LA suggest invest95L is getting better organized and could be forming a TD.
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 2:32 pm
by Hardcoreweather
Thanks for the info Ed
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 2:34 pm
by redfish1
could we be seeing another humberto in the making??
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 2:42 pm
by Hardcoreweather
redfish1 wrote:could we be seeing another humberto in the making??
It's running out of time. Almost time to focus on 96L and bring out my picture of a fat lady singing
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 2:46 pm
by Mr. T
redfish1 wrote:could we be seeing another humberto in the making??
no
There aren't even enough winds here to support a TD
This is the very definition of a non-tropical low
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 4:13 pm
by Hardcoreweather
00
ABNT20 KNHC 052109
TWOAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
510 PM EDT MON JUL 5 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A SMALL WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA IS MOVING ONSHORE
TERREBONNE PARISH NEAR CAILLOU BAY. DOPPLER RADAR AND SATELLITE
DATA INDICATE THAT SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE COULD
OCCUR ACROSS TERREBONNE PARISH...ESPECIALLY IN TERREBONNE
BAY...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
ONSHORE. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT MOVES ONSHORE. THIS SYSTEM
WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AFTER LANDFALL AND PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA. INTERESTS SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES AND ANY
WATCHES OR WARNINGS.
Re: INVEST 95L Recon Canceled for Today
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 4:18 pm
by kellybell4770
ok, so this thing went from "practically NO chance of becoming anything tropical to 60% chance as it moves on shore? I hope those people in LA thought enough to prepare anyway
Re: INVEST 95 GOM TS IS FORMING CODE RED
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 4:24 pm
by Hardcoreweather
This is one reason why you never turn your back on a system that is in your backyard and you will never hear me say a system is dead until the threat is 0 even if it's not upgraded the effects will still be the same.
Re: INVEST 95 GOM TS IS FORMING CODE RED
Posted: Mon Jul 05, 2010 4:37 pm
by Hardcoreweather
The claim it's 50 miles away from landfall.... Looks like it's moving onshore now . Where did Bones go?