January 2026

[Cpv17]

Yeah all of my local Mets including NWSLC has dropped any and all freezing rain and/or ice for my area. (Beaumont). Temps still there but no ice which is positive sign for traveling. If these models have the new overnight aircraft info, looks like we in the Golden Triangle may have dodged the dicey part of this. JMO

The models from here on out will start to trend back towards a colder solution.

[Cpv17]

18z runs from the mesos this afternoon should be interesting.

[sambucol]

18z runs from the mesos this afternoon should be interesting.

Will the 18z have the recon data or has that data already been ingested in earlier runs? Wondering what forecast changes will happen with the data.

[mcheer23]

18z runs from the mesos this afternoon should be interesting.

Will the 18z have the recon data or has that data already been ingested in earlier runs? Wondering what forecast changes will happen with the data.

I believe it was ingested starting with the 6z runs

[DoctorMu]

JMO looking through models and especially the mesos. For anyone south of Hearne, Round 1 of the system will be boring. Rain. The ground will be too warm for freezing. Then a potential extended period of dry slotting. Cold advection...

It's all about that backside and wrap around. Precip is going to be a mix. It's already going to be very cold. It's going to be wild.

We're also set up for next weekend's storm, a complete wild card.

[mcheer23]

18z runs from the mesos this afternoon should be interesting.

As well as seeing who gets upgraded to a warning or who gets dropped down to a WWA

[DoctorMu]

18z runs from the mesos this afternoon should be interesting.

Will the 18z have the recon data or has that data already been ingested in earlier runs? Wondering what forecast changes will happen with the data.

I believe it was ingested starting with the 6z runs

Seems like it was spit-up like a 6 month old on the shoulder.

[sambucol]

18z runs from the mesos this afternoon should be interesting.

Will the 18z have the recon data or has that data already been ingested in earlier runs? Wondering what forecast changes will happen with the data.

I believe it was ingested starting with the 6z runs

Thanks. I thought so, but wasn't sure.

[869MB]

JMO looking through models and especially the mesos. For anyone south of Hearne, Round 1 of the system will be boring. Rain. The ground will be too warm for freezing. Then a potential extended period of dry slotting. Cold advection...

It's all about that backside and wrap around. Precip is going to be a mix. It's already going to be very cold. It's going to be wild.

We're also set up for next weekend's storm, a complete wild card.

Nothing boring about getting rain in my neighborhood considering how relatively dry it has been here over the past few years. I’m absolutely looking forward to it.

[sambucol]

Chambers County sent a text 20 minutes ago warning of potential winter weather beginning this weekend.

[tireman4]

HGX

[tireman4]

Items to know

[jabcwb2]

Do you have a map of the newest freeze line with precipitation?? Am I asking that right? A map that shows how much frozen precipitation and where. Thank you so much!

[Stratton20]

21/50 EPS 12z members have a snowstorm across central- se texas on the 30/31, to have 2/5 of an ensemble let alone the EPS have a signal like that for something in the 10 day range is getting attention quickly

[txsnowmaker]

21/50 EPS 12z members have a snowstorm across central- se texas on the 30/31, to have 2/5 of an ensemble let alone the EPS have a signal like that for something in the 10 day range is getting attention quickly

What does it show for Metro Houston?

[mcheer23]

HGX has taken out frozen precip for the Metro houston area and Sugar Land

For SL

Saturday Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Temperature falling to around 52 by 5pm. East wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Saturday Night Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Sunday A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9am, then a chance of rain between 9am and noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

[Stratton20]

txsnowmaker most members show snow in houston, but it is 10 days out, still a very intriguing signal none the less and id be foolish to say that this upper air pattern couldn’t deliver us another storm or two

[redneckweather]

HGX has taken out frozen precip for the Metro houston area and Sugar Land

For SL

Saturday Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Temperature falling to around 52 by 5pm. East wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Saturday Night Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Sunday A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9am, then a chance of rain between 9am and noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Good forecast as models started yesterday trending away from any significant icing in Southeast Texas, even more so today. Jeff has also mentioned that this cold coming down is coming in waves which is why it won’t be cold enough for the first wave of moisture coming in and borderline for the second wave of moisture Saturday night into Sunday morning. This is a great thing since it would be more in the form of freezing rain which is no fun at all. That’s ok because it looks like more to watch at the end of January and into February. I don’t believe those would be freezing rain events if they pan out.

[Brazoriatx979]

txsnowmaker most members show snow in houston, but it is 10 days out, still a very intriguing signal none the less and id be foolish to say that this upper air pattern couldn’t deliver us another storm or two

Next week is trending even colder. I dont believe winter is done just yet

[txsnowmaker]

txsnowmaker most members show snow in houston, but it is 10 days out, still a very intriguing signal none the less and id be foolish to say that this upper air pattern couldn’t deliver us another storm or two

Just for kicks, how much snow does it indicate for the city of Houston?