srainhoutx wrote:Goodness. I have meetings all morning and come back and see folks were expecting something new today. It's been stated repeatedly that we'll likely not know the finer details until Sunday/Monday. We have 2 Winter RECON missions ahead and a Pacific storm brewing way off the Pacific NW Coast. Cold air is building and heading S as we can see by observations, real time. If we get rain and then cold, so be it. I suspect that we are witnessing a common modeling issue in the shorter medium range. Will it produce some wintry weather? That remains to be seen and certainly was no guarantee to begin with. The cold is coming. How cold? We will get a better feel for that over the weekend as well. Also look at the interest in this system (event). Where ever this storm goes or impacts, it looks to be a major winter event. I’ll remain cautious until we know exactly what this thing is going to do.
Wise words srain. I think it is not good to dismiss something based on disappointment caused by one of several model flip flops. They're models....not human meteorologists. They are there to provide guidance and assist meteorologists in determining a forecast and sometimes don't do a very good job. This is far from certain or over.
