February: Calm Weather To End The Month

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Come on you slutty rain... Gonna get dirty in Montgomery County tonight!

[Katdaddy]

From the Brownsville NWS....EVENT...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50
MPH.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1218 PM CST FRI FEB 17 2012

...STRONG POST FRONTAL NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED SATURDAY...

.RAPID SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR INLAND TONIGHT AHEAD OF A
MID LEVEL TROUGH...RESULTING IN A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA AND
COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AND OFFSHORE SATURDAY MORNING.
SHOWERS AND STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE
FRONT TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH STRONG SUSTAINED POST FRONTAL
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH GUSTING TO 50 MPH BY LATE SATURDAY
MORNING.

TXZ248>257-180300-
/O.CON.KBRO.WI.Y.0003.120218T1500Z-120219T0000Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ZAPATA...HEBBRONVILLE...FALFURRIAS...
SARITA...RIO GRANDE CITY...ROMA...MCALLEN...EDINBURG...PHARR...
MISSION...WESLACO...RAYMONDVILLE...BROWNSVILLE...HARLINGEN...
PORT MANSFIELD...PORT ISABEL...SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
LAGUNA HEIGHTS...LAGUNA VISTA
1218 PM CST FRI FEB 17 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST
SATURDAY...

* EVENT...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50
MPH.

* TIMING...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE SATURDAY
MORNING AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACT...MOTORISTS OPERATING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY
ALONG EXPRESSWAY 83 BETWEEN ZAPATA AND BROWNSVILLE...HIGHWAY 281
BETWEEN PHARR AND FALFURRIAS...AND ALONG EXPRESSWAY 77 BETWEEN
BROWNSVILLE AND SARITA...WILL HAVE INCREASED DIFFICULTY DRIVING
IN THE WINDY CONDITIONS. LOOSE AND UNSECURED OBJECTS...SUCH AS
TRASH CANS AND LAWN ORNAMENTS...WILL BE EASILY MOVED AROUND AND
DAMAGED BY THE STRONG WINDS. INDIVIDUALS WORKING ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL...SUCH AS ON LADDERS OR ROOFS...WILL EXPERIENCE DIFFICULTY
MAINTAINING THEIR BALANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
30 TO 39 MPH AND OR FREQUENT GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND
57 MPH.

[Ptarmigan]

I'd start keeping an eye to y'alls south and west. Some mean looking storms are rapidly from San Antonio to Corpus. All of this activity appears to be moving to the North and East, and these peaks of sun may only add fuel to the fire.

I was just going to say something about that. With the sun peaking through and storms forming, it's just a matter of time before rain begins and then intensifies overnight. I think we are in for a wild night of weather.

Yes. Convection has started firing and the boundary is now lifting N. Radar suggests the Coastal Low is developing just ENE of Brownsville. Lackland AFB is reporting heavy rain. We'll need to watch that boundary as a focal point for the heavy training storms as the afternoon/evening wears on.

Looks like the lack of rain we had might make thinks more interesting.

[mckinne63]

Interesting is good. Very cloudy here again in Stafford. No sign of the sunshine I saw earlier today. No sign of rain yet. It is so still it gives you that eerie feeling, like something is about to explode.

Thanks to all for the updates you provide. While I don't understand all the maps and stuff, I find it interesting none the less and enjoy updating my friends and family whom all listen to the wrong folks when it comes to the weather.

[mckinne63]

Just as I posted the rain started. Very light showers. Really need to drain the pool some.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Looks like Montgomery, Waller and Grimes counties are the first counties to experience a bit of training with this first round.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Small cell with heavy rains forming right over wxman57's area....

[Katdaddy]

Storms starting to fill quickly SW of Houston area headed NE.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

huge flare up of heavy rain over Southern Brazos and Grimes Counties... training initiated

[weatherguy425]

Boundary looks to be setting up through Harris, Fort bend, and Colorado counties... would expect storms to rapidly strengthen and start training through these counties and further to the south and west.

[Ptarmigan]

Die, you drought of dead trees and boredom, die!

http://radar.weather.gov/lite/N0R/HGX_loop.gif

Good riddance to the drought.

[srainhoutx]

Folks in the Galleria Area and DT heads up. Strong cell moving E from near the W Belt.

[srainhoutx]

Afternoon e-mail from Jeff:

Heavy Rainfall and flooding possible overnight into Saturday morning.

Impulse in the sub-tropical jet resulting in a batch of thunderstorms moving across the region currently. Upstream radar and surface observations show surface warm front starting to advance toward the coast and this is becoming the surface focus for thunderstorm formation. Think the area will see a brief break 1-3 hours after this current round before the main event gets underway.

Current thinking is that the surface warm front will move inland across the coastal counties and focus the heavy rainfall in a band near and north of this boundary. Current thinking is that the area along and 40 miles either side of US 59 will be under the greatest risk of excessive rainfall and flash flooding.

Given impressive moisture levels, high hourly rainfall rates of 2-3 inches will be common. Area of training cells will have the highest flash flood threat and some areas could easily pick up 2-4 inches in a couple of hours. With grounds wet, run-off will be heavy and rises on area watersheds is likely along with street flooding. Will continue with the storm totals advertised this morning (widespread 2-4 inches with isolated amounts up to 5-6 inches).

Flash Flood Watch is in effect until noon Saturday.

SPC slight risk area is getting close to our SW counties as they have been inching it northward today in response to further northward movement of the surface warm front. Will continue with the reasoning that most severe weather with large hail and damaging winds will remain right along the coast or offshore. A few severe elevated storms inland could produce an isolated hail report. Main threat will be the rainfall with this event.

[mckinne63]

Die, you drought of dead trees and boredom, die!

http://radar.weather.gov/lite/N0R/HGX_loop.gif

Good riddance to the drought.

Yes! Bring on the rain! Nice showers here in Stafford, even heard a rumble of thunder.

[CAK]

Is this the storm right now the one we have been waiting for or just the first round with more to come?

[srainhoutx]

Is this the storm right now the one we have been waiting for or just the first round with more to come?

Just a teaser event. HGX issues Flood Advisory for Harris County

[ticka1]

Thunder and rain here at the house between Baytown and Mont Belvieu!

[Katdaddy]

Still much more rain on the way overnight. Expect quite a bit of development between Houston Corpus Christi, and San Antonio during the next several hours.

[txflagwaver]

Looks like its further East than expected no??

[ticka1]

Definitely looks like the rain is going away from Houston - we don't look like we are bullseye for now.