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Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:30 pm
by Scott747
By Tuesday Euro is near Port A as a weak to moderate ts moving slowly n. Ridging is a tad stronger this run.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:32 pm
by sambucol
The data from the recon tonight will clarify more regarding track and areas that will receive the rainfall. The models might change.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:35 pm
by don
12z EURO shows a setup for very heavy rainfall amounts in Southeast Texas as the storm sits basically stationary around Matagorda Bay.And slowly rides the coast similar to the GFS.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:37 pm
by Scott747
By Wednesday it's a little inland over brazoria county and lifting me.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:41 pm
by Scott747
Euro has ever so slightly moved towards what the GFS is depicting. Even the Ukie did as well though not as much.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:42 pm
by davidiowx
This Euro run looks like a huge rainmaker all along the TX coast. We def need rain but I don't want a foot of it in a few days..

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:44 pm
by Cpv17
Something I’ve noticed on the Euro is that it seems to be trending a lil more west with each passing run. Y’all seeing this too?

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:45 pm
by djmike
Port A? Port Aransas or Port Arthur?

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:45 pm
by Stormlover2020
Euro has been little west biased about 30-50 miles al year

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:47 pm
by Scott747
Cpv17 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:44 pm Something I’ve noticed on the Euro is that it seems to be trending a lil more west with each passing run. Y’all seeing this too?
As I mentioned the Euro is swinging around to what the GFS is showing. Stronger ridging and delayed interaction with the trough.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:49 pm
by Rip76
djmike wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:45 pm Port A? Port Aransas or Port Arthur?
Aransas, I believe.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:50 pm
by djmike
Rip76 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:49 pm
djmike wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:45 pm Port A? Port Aransas or Port Arthur?
Aransas, I believe.
Thank you

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:53 pm
by Kingwood36
Cpv17 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:44 pm Something I’ve noticed on the Euro is that it seems to be trending a lil more west with each passing run. Y’all seeing this too?
Yup I've noticed it as well

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:55 pm
by Scott747
I'd guess with the 4 pm update there will be a subtle shift w towards the lower Texas coast with intensity remaining the same.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:56 pm
by snowman65
If we flood again I will literally set my house on fire and never come back.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:05 pm
by cperk
snowman65 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:56 pm If we flood again I will literally set my house on fire and never come back.
I hope your insurance agent is not a forum member. :)

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:07 pm
by Kingwood36
cperk wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:05 pm
snowman65 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:56 pm If we flood again I will literally set my house on fire and never come back.
I hope your insurance agent is not a forum member. :)
I hear Colorado is nice this time of yr lol

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:12 pm
by tireman4
cperk wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:05 pm
snowman65 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:56 pm If we flood again I will literally set my house on fire and never come back.
I hope your insurance agent is not a forum member. :)
Jake, from State Farm?

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:21 pm
by jasons2k
If these small west shifts continue, we could see our rainfall totals go up significantly. Something to watch.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TD 22

Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:36 pm
by Kingwood36
I guess Dr Jim's forecast of going east and not affecting texas didnt pan out