July 2022

[tireman4]

Could we get lucky and get some of this moving? Stay tuned...

[captainbarbossa19]

Looking good for today. Hopefully the folks who missed out will get theirs today.

2008 is a decent drought analog but the summer and fall were very different because La Nina was gone - not the case this year.

Mother Nature is about to go lights out this hurricane season - get ready!! Be careful what you wish for!!

Speaking of 2008...I remember one storm from that year...

The E storm or I? Edouard wasn't much of a storm, but it did bring rain to a lot of the area. Maybe we can get a storm like that again this year?

[tireman4]

000
FXUS64 KHGX 151728
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1228 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2022

.AVIATION [18Z TAF Issuance]...

Scattered showers and storms west of I-45 associated with a deep
plume of tropical moisture will continue to push inland and
further east throughout the afternoon. We can expect scattered
showers and storms for most airports south of UTS and CLL through
01Z. By sunset, activity will begin to subside due to the loss of
daytime heating. Expect short term amendments to include SHRA/TSRA
should any of this convection pass over an airport. Main hazards
include heavy downpours which will limit visibility, occasional
lightning, and strong variable wind gusts. Near sunrise tomorrow,
we can expect a repeat pattern of scattered showers and storms for
our southwestern counties and coastal airports. Therefore,
included VCSH starting at 12Z for LBX and GLS for now.

Lenninger

[jasons2k]

NWS upped my pops to 60%
TWC has been showing 0% all day. Watch it jump soon.

[Cromagnum]

Donut holed again.

[jasons2k]

This outflow pushing north is moving faster/sooner than I’d like it to. But maybe like yesterday it’s early enough to setup for round 2 in the late afternoon/evening timeframe.

The area along east Beltway 8 is getting nailed right now - training.

[Stratton20]

All that rain down to the South and Im not even going to get a drop, typical

[don]

Getting a nice soaking once again. I've had some good luck this week with these popcorn storms.

[jasons2k]

So far, just a big Lucy here. Temp down to 84. Probably not going to recover enough for anything major to pop in my vicinity.

[Cpv17]

Not enough heat outside for any rain over here. No instability to build anything up. Mostly cloudy over here. Feels good though.

[DoctorMu]

...and the seabreeze parts at Hwy 1*5. Nothing.

[Cromagnum]

0.00 again and I'm 40 minutes from the coast. Just cannot catch a break. That 5 minute shower yesterday wasn't enough to do squat.

[jasons2k]

0.00” here too. At least it’s not 100 degrees outside. Maybe one more chance tomorrow and then sprinkler time again.

[DoctorMu]

"Only" 96°F here.

At least it beats 111°F

[jasons2k]

"Only" 96°F here.

At least it beats 111°F

I’m taking advantage and about to throw some salmon on the green egg. Mustard greens on the stove top. Yum yum.

I really hope you can get something tomorrow!! I know the feeling and the one good soaking makes a huge difference in surviving the next death wave.

[Stratton20]

The 500mb height anomaly ensemble runs are disgusting, they basically agree that the death ridge will sit over us through the rest of july

[jasons2k]

The sea breeze/gust front is almost to Waco.

[TexasBreeze]

After one more kinda decent chance of storms tomorrow, it looks like a long stretch of ugly weather ahead with the worst centered across Oklahoma. Mid 110s up there possibly!

[Cpv17]

The 500mb height anomaly ensemble runs are disgusting, they basically agree that the death ridge will sit over us through the rest of july

It looks to continue well into August as well.

[Stratton20]

CPV17 eh way too far out, beyond 10-12 days even in the ensembles is just fantasy land, but for sure the next 10 days is going to suck at the very least