August 2020:
How reliable is HMON?
That HMON is absurd.. do not put any faith in that right now. It is still way to far out with a lot of uncertainties.
Looks like tropical models may be starting to converge.
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18z Euro ensemble is uh, interesting. Sends Laura anywhere between here and bay of Campeche. 

- srainhoutx
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I see the 18Z European Ensembles shift Laura significantly West. That raises an eyebrow...
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I think recon supports an upgrade to TS Marco at the 10 advisory ...anyone else think so?
Should be at 10 yes.
- tireman4
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That is two eyebrow raisongs from you old friend. My interest is starting to rise a littlesrainhoutx wrote: ↑Fri Aug 21, 2020 8:44 pm I see the 18Z European Ensembles shift Laura significantly West. That raises an eyebrow...

The Euro ensembles mostly point towards Texas with the average very close to Galveston/Freeport.
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What a difference a day makes. I woke up assuming we'd get TD 14 as a TS, and wasn't all that worried. I assumed Laura was not even a concern for us. Now it's looking like Laura may end up being a strong hurricane and SE TX is a real possibility now.
Scary

Scary


And “Marco” looking better too.
If we wind up on the dirty side of Marco and take a direct shot from Laura, its gonna be bad.
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Yall need to quit with the stronger laura at freeport...giving me bad juju lol I just built a house in freeport....quit hating
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