July 2020

[Kingwood36]

Ole wxman57 was calling for landfall between corpus and Matagorda bay pretty confident all day today...might not be right after all

[davidiowx]

Any chances in the overnight it shifts back to the north a bit? Or is this pretty much a done deal?

That’s a question for the 8 ball at this point. I’d like to say I believe the models, but nothing is perfect. The NHC is pretty darn good though. That said, it’s 2020 and all kinds crazy has happened and who knows when normalcy will return or if we even consider normal what we did 10-20 years ago.

If I had to bet. It’s going into Corpus/Rockport area and depending on how tight it is, or isn’t, will determine what kind of surge/wind/rain we get in Houston.

There are only two days or so over water, unless is slows down more than what is forecasted now. It’s the GoM and things can get hairy quickly in favorable conditions.

Hats off to the NHC as this is yet again, another tough forecast and a nail biter to say the least.

[Katdaddy]

Impressive satellite images this evening and TS Hanna is now official. 2020 continues onward.

[Rip76]

After Harvey, I won’t doubt the NHC again.


Until, they’re not right.

[tropiKal]

Doesn't seem like alot of is on the dirty side tho seems to be all on the southern side of the system

They've been getting rains even into Alabama and Georgia so far...

[Rip76]

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES ... 0x1000.gif


It’s all about timing.
Watch this water vapor loop. See that up near Dallas?

[davidiowx]

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES ... 0x1000.gif


It’s all about timing.
Watch this water vapor loop. See that up near Dallas?

It’s crazy.. in a “normal” year, if that even exist, you’d think a “trough” type scenario would pull it northward..

[TXWeatherMan]

When does the new HWRF come out?

[Cpv17]

When does the new HWRF come out?

The 0z run should’ve already came out. Not sure what the hold up is.

[TXWeatherMan]

When does the new HWRF come out?

The 0z run should’ve already came out. Not sure what the hold up is.

That’s what I was thinking. It still hasn’t come out on tropical tidbits.

[Rip76]

What’s the heading currently?

[TXWeatherMan]

What’s the heading currently?

WNW right now

[DoctorMu]

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES ... 0x1000.gif


It’s all about timing.
Watch this water vapor loop. See that up near Dallas?

It’s crazy.. in a “normal” year, if that even exist, you’d think a “trough” type scenario would pull it northward..

That's my first thought. Hmmmmmm...

Hannah has a some serious high press. over her. Could be a feeding frenzy today. Virtually no shear, high heat potential.

[Stormlover2020]

Yeah but during this time of the year from July-late sept troughs usually aren’t strong enough to break the high pressure

[Cpv17]

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES ... 0x1000.gif


It’s all about timing.
Watch this water vapor loop. See that up near Dallas?

It’s crazy.. in a “normal” year, if that even exist, you’d think a “trough” type scenario would pull it northward..

That's my first thought. Hmmmmmm...

Hannah has a some serious high press. over her. Could be a feeding frenzy today. Virtually no shear, high heat potential.

Exactly. Can’t completely rule out RI.

[Cromagnum]

Cool looking cloud structures off to the south. Changed fishing destination from Port Oconnor to Galveston area so will probably see some neat things without the soaking.

[Kingwood36]

Doesn't it look like it was moving NNW for a while instead of WNW?

[Cpv17]

This storm is weird. It’s totally backwards from what it’s supposed to be. Normally when we see a system headed towards Corpus or Baffin Bay (especially a system of this size) then we would be getting a pretty decent amount of rain here in SETX. The north and east side of every tc is supposed to be the dirty side. This one looks like it’s fighting dry air or shear on its north side inhibiting convection from developing north of the center? I definitely think many of us here will still get some decent rains, but nothing compared to what it would be if the north side of Hanna would fill in.

[jasons2k]

Yep, it’s maddening. All I have to say is I’m glad I resumed my sprinklers this morning. Now I don’t have to worry about my lawn anymore.

[Scott747]

Nothing indicates a major track change but Hannah is already at 27.1, 9 hrs ahead of the latest forecast plot. Further n it gets before making the turn the more impacts our area could potentially see.

Does appear it may be making the expected turn. Recon will confirm soon enough.