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I don’t think I’ve seen the atmosphere this electric in some time.

If Wed/Thurs is progged to be heavier than this, watch out.

txbear wrote: ↑Mon Jun 22, 2020 12:52 pm I know the CWA is progged to get additional storms through Thursday, but I'm curious as to how worked over the atmosphere is and what impact that will have at least on chances for tomorrow. The storms today were pretty hefty, and not sure how much of that energy got zapped today.

Work me over here in CS...please.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Mon Jun 22, 2020 1:22 pm If Wed/Thurs is progged to be heavier than this, watch out.

Fingers crossed. Surviving Aggie summers is all about kicking the can down the road as far as it will go...and again. The less Death Ridge, the better.

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Mon Jun 22, 2020 1:38 pm

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Mon Jun 22, 2020 1:22 pm If Wed/Thurs is progged to be heavier than this, watch out.

Fingers crossed. Surviving Aggie summers is all about kicking the can down the road as far as it will go...and again. The less Death Ridge, the better.

That's true for all of Texas, with the notable exception of tropical mischief of the nefarious type.

don wrote: ↑Mon Jun 22, 2020 12:57 pm The air mass should recover by tomorrow from the influx of moisture from the gulf due to the onshore flow.But Wednesday/Thursday seems to be the days this week that have the best chances of heavy rain.

Thanks for the thoughts, don.

Looks like I had 1.99” back home at the casa. Good to know

Well it looks like the Euro got interesting again.

I ended up with 1.3 inches.

We only picked up about 0.08” here at the house in Wharton and 35 min ne of there at my job in Rosenberg we got probably every bit of 3”. Not concerned though because it looks like I’ll get my fair share later this week.

Finished off with 2.75” for today here in the Heights. Think I wore out the ole save button in the process anticipating the power to drop but it held steady thankfully. Puts me at right around 4 and a half inches since Friday. We’ll see what the rest of the week has in store, but today certainly exceeded my expectations.

18z GFS has flipped towards the Euro.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 22, 2020 2:47 pm Well it looks like the Euro got interesting again.

Yes it did!

txbear wrote: ↑Mon Jun 22, 2020 1:52 pm

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Mon Jun 22, 2020 1:38 pm

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Mon Jun 22, 2020 1:22 pm If Wed/Thurs is progged to be heavier than this, watch out.

Fingers crossed. Surviving Aggie summers is all about kicking the can down the road as far as it will go...and again. The less Death Ridge, the better.

That's true for all of Texas, with the notable exception of tropical mischief of the nefarious type.

Very true. Unfortunately, those sea breeze showers in July and August usually die around Navasota.

don wrote: ↑Mon Jun 22, 2020 5:40 pm 18z GFS has flipped towards the Euro.

5+ inches across the whole of Harris County? Are we looking at a flood threat?

don wrote: ↑Mon Jun 22, 2020 5:40 pm 18z GFS has flipped towards the Euro.

Ensembles and Canadian calling the bet:

2.5 inches here today in Rosharon, bringing the total to 4.5 since Saturday. Multiple tripped breakers and the internet main tower for my WISP took a direct lightning strike.

Tonight's 0z models seem to be having a hard time agreeing when it comes to which area ends up as the "bullseye" of heaviest QPF . But several of them show someone in the southern half of the state getting a copious amount of rain due to what looks to be a possible core rain event setup. We'll have a better idea of how things may play out probably once we get in range of the HRRR model.

Any updates to QPFs?

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:07 am Any updates to QPFs?

Some pretty substantial totals so far in the 12Z HRRR through about 30 hours. 11+” in western Harris County.