January 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Post Reply
Cpv17
Posts: 6523
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2024 4:13 pm Gotta love that euro AI showing a coastal low/winter storm lol
I think we need the models to trend colder. We really need that 540 line to be about 100 miles further south.
Brazoriatx979
Posts: 346
Joined: Tue Nov 26, 2024 10:10 am
Location: Angleton
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2024 4:18 pm
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2024 4:13 pm Gotta love that euro AI showing a coastal low/winter storm lol
I think we need the models to trend colder. We really need that 540 line to be about 100 miles further south.
Agreed but that's a tall task around here. I think if we would get anything frozen it would probably be freezing rain or sleet like always. That 540 line is hard to come by this far south
walsean1
Posts: 168
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 9:50 pm
Contact:

We are probably looking at a Freezing Rain Storm which shuts down Houston for a few days because all of the bridges and fly overs
Cpv17
Posts: 6523
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

walsean1 wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2024 5:48 pm We are probably looking at a Freezing Rain Storm which shuts down Houston for a few days because all of the bridges and fly overs
I’m not even sold on it getting that cold here yet.
Stratton20
Posts: 5357
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Cpv17 at a minimum probably mid 40’s are the warmest i see for a high in this pattern, but then again we could also see way colder temperatures than that, should be interesting next couple of days as models try to get a better handle on the pattern
vci_guy2003
Posts: 224
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 4:04 am
Contact:

Mid 40s and rain would be so trash lol
Cpv17
Posts: 6523
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

vci_guy2003 wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2024 6:42 pm Mid 40s and rain would be so trash lol
It could happen too. I’m far from sold that we’ll get any Artic air down here.
Stratton20
Posts: 5357
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Arctic air is coming down here, thats not a question, its a question of how cold
walsean1
Posts: 168
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 9:50 pm
Contact:

It’s going to get cold. It is a matter of how deep the polar vortex digs. Also, models sometimes underestimate how dense the cold air is and are forecasted warmer that it should be.
kyzsl51
Posts: 66
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:10 pm
Contact:

I think we will atleast get a couple light freezes out of this....which will be nice for a change.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 4270
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

I would like to see the forecast model starting next week. Freezing weather in Houston area is complicated and complex.
Stratton20
Posts: 5357
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Icon 00z significantly colder at day 7 compared to the other models
Cpv17
Posts: 6523
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2024 9:47 pm Icon 00z significantly colder at day 7 compared to the other models
That’s interesting cuz the ICON usually does a solid job with these Artic outbreaks.
Stratton20
Posts: 5357
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

If you love snow, boy will you love the 00z Euro!!
Brazoriatx979
Posts: 346
Joined: Tue Nov 26, 2024 10:10 am
Location: Angleton
Contact:

Figured this place would be buzzing a little more with what maybe on the horizon 😀
vci_guy2003
Posts: 224
Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2010 4:04 am
Contact:

It will this weekend when we have more clarity with the models
Cpv17
Posts: 6523
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Brazoriatx979 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 11:16 am Figured this place would be buzzing a little more with what maybe on the horizon 😀
It probably would be more buzz in here if the GFS was onboard, but it currently can’t figure anything out right now.
Brazoriatx979
Posts: 346
Joined: Tue Nov 26, 2024 10:10 am
Location: Angleton
Contact:

Cpv17 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 11:37 am
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 11:16 am Figured this place would be buzzing a little more with what maybe on the horizon 😀
It probably would be more buzz in here if the GFS was onboard, but it currently can’t figure anything out right now.
Isn't that why we say KING euro? Gfs is always having problems with winter weather lol
Cpv17
Posts: 6523
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Brazoriatx979 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 11:41 am
Cpv17 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 11:37 am
Brazoriatx979 wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2024 11:16 am Figured this place would be buzzing a little more with what maybe on the horizon 😀
It probably would be more buzz in here if the GFS was onboard, but it currently can’t figure anything out right now.
Isn't that why we say KING euro? Gfs is always having problems with winter weather lol
Yeah, but the Euro handled Feb 21 beyond horribly lol
Post Reply
  • Information