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Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 5:02 pm
by Stratton20
Jeez im near the dark blue color on that ice map,
🥶 i would rather like to keep the power on please, maybe he meant areas south of that map could see a glazing? Ive met Frank before , at leadt to me I dont think he'd downplay it
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 5:04 pm
by Kingwood36
Never been impressed with frank
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 5:06 pm
by Cromagnum
So any activities in the evening time there should be no risk of icy commutes correct? Seems like 40ish degree Temps should thaw us out.
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 5:54 pm
by don
Getting into range with the RAP. It also shows the beginning formation of frozen precip some of the models show developing Thursday night.
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:04 pm
by Stratton20
Man talk about some consistency in the models, well most of them at least
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:09 pm
by DoctorMu
jasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 4:58 pm
He showed this map but then just practically glossed over it and said "it's not out of the question that we could see some glazing in spots." Really downplayed the whole event.
If that map verified, that would be pretty bad news in those shaded areas. Those are some hefty accumulations in places. 1/2 - 3/4" of ice on those pine trees would be a lot more trouble than 'some glazing in spots'...
1/2 inch of ice around CLL...I did recommend folks bring their iceskates on Thursday!
It's going to be a rink up here, potentially.
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:10 pm
by Kingwood36
don wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 5:54 pm
Getting into range with the RAP. It also shows the beginning formation of frozen precip some of the models show developing Thursday night.
Is that going to be moving off towards the north or to the east towards the coast?
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:13 pm
by Stratton20
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:17 pm
by don
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:10 pm
don wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 5:54 pm
Getting into range with the RAP. It also shows the beginning formation of frozen precip some of the models show developing Thursday night.
Is that going to be moving off towards the north or to the east towards the coast?
Its moving east.
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:17 pm
by Cpv17
My TWC app has me down for a 40% chance of light freezing rain Thursday night/Friday morning with a low of 25°F.
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:22 pm
by don
The trends have been interesting today, but i would like to see the 0Z runs and 12Z runs tomorrow morning,before completely buying it.As those runs should have sampled storm data.
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:23 pm
by davidiowx
don wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:22 pm
The trends have been interesting today, but i would like to see the 0Z runs and 12Z runs tomorrow morning,before completely buying it.As those runs should have sampled storm data.
*davidiowx likes this post*
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:33 pm
by Cpv17
Mid February is looking pretty good right now for more Artic air.
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:35 pm
by mcheer23
EURO has now caved
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:43 pm
by Kingwood36
Quite the development today!
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:48 pm
by Stratton20
Latest update from David Paul, says we could have some impacts from this potential ice setup
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:53 pm
by Kingwood36
Ya it's becoming clear that we may have some ice around here even to the coast
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:55 pm
by Cpv17
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:53 pm
Ya it's becoming clear that we may have some ice around here even to the coast
It’s looking like the majority of southeast Texas will be at or below freezing by the late afternoon/early evening timeframe on Thursday.
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:09 pm
by DoctorMu
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:55 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 6:53 pm
Ya it's becoming clear that we may have some ice around here even to the coast
It’s looking like the majority of southeast Texas will be at or below freezing by the late afternoon/early evening on Thursday.
...and overperforming is the M.O. for shallow arctic air this time of year.
Re: February 2022
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 7:15 pm
by cperk
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 5:04 pm
Never been impressed with frank
He's my least favorite local OCM too.
