Wx Infinity Forums

DoctorMu wrote:

harp wrote:

DoctorMu wrote:Snow just exploding north of Baton Rouge, near the MS border. NOLA may see action?

If it reaches the ground!! I'm watching and waiting.

big flakes reaching the ground in Woodville and now St. Francisville. Baton Rouge, too!

WBRZ Radar:

http://www.wbrz.com/pages/true-view-radar1/

Snowing now in Gonzales and Convent, LA, SE of Baton Rouge. Morgan City in Cajunland, too.

Had a few flurries here. Lasted about 10 minutes.

Well, it snowed for almost 5 hours above us yesterday and never saw the first flake...strangest thing I've ever seen for such an event......

djmike wrote:Still snowing strong in Beaumont. Large flakes! Roofs, cars and anything elevated are covered in white. Accumulating on grass and its beautiful! Looks to be another white beautiful morning coming! Just amazed at how much we're getting and how large the flakes are. I dont think anyone expected this. Not even our local mets! A flurry here and there but this this whiteout? No. Just awesome and beautiful!

We got nothing here in Orange. Absolutely nothing...crazy...

Currently 24F in my backyard and thankfully the slow warming process begins today. Each day the rest of the week will be warmer than the day before. By the weekend our January Thaw should be well underway with temperatures nearing 70F.

snowman65 wrote:GFS has a good snow snow event for us Jan 2 and 3rd....yeah, I know...I know...lol

snowman65 posted this on December 23rd...while it wasn't a big snow event it tied the record snowfall for the date!

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
0233 AM CST WED JAN 03 2018

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL...

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF TRACE INCH(ES) WAS SET AT HOUSTON
INTERCONTINENTAL YESTERDAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF TRACE SET IN
1995...1979 AND 1919.


RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
0233 AM CST WED JAN 03 2018

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT GALVESTON...

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF TRACE INCH(ES) WAS SET AT GALVESTON YESTERDAY.
THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF TRACE SET IN 1919.

srainhoutx wrote:

snowman65 wrote:GFS has a good snow snow event for us Jan 2 and 3rd....yeah, I know...I know...lol

snowman65 posted this on December 23rd...while it wasn't a big snow event it tied the record snowfall for the date!

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
0233 AM CST WED JAN 03 2018

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL...

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF TRACE INCH(ES) WAS SET AT HOUSTON
INTERCONTINENTAL YESTERDAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF TRACE SET IN
1995...1979 AND 1919.


RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
0233 AM CST WED JAN 03 2018

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT GALVESTON...

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF TRACE INCH(ES) WAS SET AT GALVESTON YESTERDAY.
THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF TRACE SET IN 1919.

Wow. I had forgotten about that. It actually verified a snow event from 10 days out. How often does that happen for GFS???

Srain I'm ready to start looking at the next actic intrusion you alluded to early for the mid Jan time frame. I had noticed there could could wet pattern around that time also.

I didn't see any snow flurries. I think I'll be glad to see 50s and 60s this weekend. Give my heater a break.
But didn't one of the ProMets say this isn't the end of the cold weather? Can someone speculate / guess on how the gap will be before another one is sniffed out? I suppose my former boss was right when he said when there is a substantial hurricane (okay catastrophic) then we have a wild winter.

christinac2016 wrote:I didn't see any snow flurries. I think I'll be glad to see 50s and 60s this weekend. Give my heater a break.
But didn't one of the ProMets say this isn't the end of the cold weather? Can someone speculate / guess on how the gap will be before another one is sniffed out? I suppose my former boss was right when he said when there is a substantial hurricane (okay catastrophic) then we have a wild winter.

Srain mentioned mid January for the next possible arctic intrusion....so you may have a 10 day break to rest your heater..lol

Regarding the longer range, the morning Climate Prediction Center Day 11+ Super Ensemble blend analogs suggest the upper air pattern may be conducive for delivering our next best shot of cold air around the 14th, +/- a day or two. That is still a ways out to accurately forecast what our sensible weather may bring and I see some of the Longer Range Meteorologist posting on social media of an extended January thaw. So far those ensembles have done a fairly good job predicting the colder pattern since late last November leading up to the December 7-8 snow event as well as the current Arctic Outbreak that looks to bring a brutal Nor'easter along the I-95 Corridor today through Friday.

What a beautiful day! I'm certainly enjoying the bright sun and blue sky on this very cold winter morning.

snowman65 wrote:Srain I'm ready to start looking at the next actic intrusion you alluded to early for the mid Jan time frame. I had noticed there could could wet pattern around that time also.

It's a lock, then.

DoctorMu wrote:

snowman65 wrote:Srain I'm ready to start looking at the next actic intrusion you alluded to early for the mid Jan time frame. I had noticed there could could wet pattern around that time also.

It's a lock, then.

DoctorMu, I don't think you ever sleep. You're as liable to post at 1AM as 1PM. Always do enjoy your comments, insight and knowledge.

It looks nice outside but still too cold for me! I quickly went back inside.

srainhoutx wrote:Regarding the longer range, the morning Climate Prediction Center Day 11+ Super Ensemble blend analogs suggest the upper air pattern may be conducive for delivering our next best shot of cold air around the 14th, +/- a day or two. That is still a ways out to accurately forecast what our sensible weather may bring and I see some of the Longer Range Meteorologist posting on social media of an extended January thaw. So far those ensembles have done a fairly good job predicting the colder pattern since late last November leading up to the December 7-8 snow event as well as the current Arctic Outbreak that looks to bring a brutal Nor'easter along the I-95 Corridor today through Friday.

Some of these dates had freezes come like in January 1959, January 1979, December 1984, and January 1994.

Unless there is something going on that I can't see it looks like a lengthy January thaw on the way....hmmm

snowman65 wrote:Unless there is something going on that I can't see it looks like a lengthy January thaw on the way....hmmm

Looking at the 00Z GEFS temperature wise, highs in the 40's and lows in the 30's over about a 4 to 5 day period starting around January 12th or so certainly isn't a "thaw" to me. The term January thaw can be used rather loosely at times and some folks assume a heat wave is coming. All I see in the ensemble scheme are temperatures at or slightly above climatology. I certainly do not see any cold like we have been experiencing and it is typical to see a relaxation in patterns. Now regarding any wintry weather potential, those hopes and chances may need to be put on the back burner until late January into February which is our climatologically favored period across our Region for winter precipitation chances.

I can’t wait for those 70’s on Sunday. Especially my dry skin. It’s gonna feel great!!

We'll need to watch our sensible weather pattern mid next week. The GFS has a Winter Storm crossing the Central Plains next week and the 12Z ECMWF suggests a sneaky upper low with its origin in the NE Pacific crashing onshore in California bringing low elevation rainfall and hefty higher elevation snowfall. Could be a significant Southern Rockies Winter Storm for those traveling to New Mexico/Colorado for the MLK Day Holiday.