January 2025

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Brazoriatx979
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Damn Stratton you giving up hope already to I see lol
Stratton20
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Euro is trash, im not giving up hope yet, but im already setting my sights on being disappointed again, everything looks bad now
Stormlover2020
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Little to warm right now
biggerbyte
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This will go down as the polar vortex that wasn't. Not near what was talked about just a few day ago. We need that here to get winter precipitation that amounts to anything. I know a lot of people are disappointed. Let's do what we said we were going to do before putting a fork in it.
Stormlover2020
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Need to see the snowpack up north Sunday-Tuesday
Cromagnum
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Yall act like the models aren't going to change 10x before Sunday.
redneckweather
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Well, that was fun while it lasted. Lol
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snowman65
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Polar Fooltex? lol
Brazoriatx979
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At this point I don't give a damn if we get wintry weather or not. Honestly Im 50/50 either way. I'm a supervisor for a water company. So I have to drain tanks, piping and everything else if it freezes anyway 🙃 I just want to be able to wear a jacket all day and not have to take it off by 10 am lol
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tireman4
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The different models
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sambucol
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Just my undeducated guess, but I think this system will surprise us. The models are flip floppy, so tells me they don’t know. And they wont have a better grasp at the forecast until Sunday, I believe.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Lol, yall are so emotional. Nothing has changed. Check back Sunday when our storm is on shore.
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captainbarbossa19
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Hi everyone! Happy New Year! It has been a while and I officially have one semester left before I earn my bachelor's in professional meteorology! I am really excited to almost be finished. Last semester, I was selected for a research internship in tropical meteorology with one of my professors at Mississippi State and I will be presenting my findings at the AMS student conference next weekend in New Orleans! Hopefully, things will not be too crazy given the horrible tragedy that happened on New Year's Day. I will also be attending the first day of the regular conference before I head back to Starkville for classes on Wednesday! Looking forward to getting to watch Twisters while I am at the conference.

Regarding weather, I think this event coming up on Sunday is looking more like a straight-line wind severe event versus tornadoes unlike on the 28th. Lapse rates don't look too crazy and neither does surface-based CAPE or relative helicity values. Hopefully we steer clear of anymore EF-3 tornadoes like in Chambers/Jefferson County.
biggerbyte
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Totally agree with the Sunday. I think everyone is just getting anxious about the flips. We will need colder temps that are being advertised. I think that is a bigger factor than whether the moisture will be there.
biggerbyte
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LOL

I was on Facebook just now and happen to run across a couple of the local Mets. Back tracking about the "coming cold" is on overdrive. I'm like, suck it up buttercup and admit defeat. If we were right 100% of the time Houston would have been buried in twenty feet of snow by now. LOL
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tireman4
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captainbarbossa19 wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 1:05 pm Hi everyone! Happy New Year! It has been a while and I officially have one semester left before I earn my bachelor's in professional meteorology! I am really excited to almost be finished. Last semester, I was selected for a research internship in tropical meteorology with one of my professors at Mississippi State and I will be presenting my findings at the AMS student conference next weekend in New Orleans! Hopefully, things will not be too crazy given the horrible tragedy that happened on New Year's Day. I will also be attending the first day of the regular conference before I head back to Starkville for classes on Wednesday! Looking forward to getting to watch Twisters while I am at the conference.

Regarding weather, I think this event coming up on Sunday is looking more like a straight-line wind severe event versus tornadoes unlike on the 28th. Lapse rates don't look too crazy and neither does surface-based CAPE or relative helicity values. Hopefully we steer clear of anymore EF-3 tornadoes like in Chambers/Jefferson County.
Yea Captain. We are so proud of you. We need graduation photos when you walk!
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tireman4
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CFS v2
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MontgomeryCoWx
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First 1/3 to 1/2 of February looks great too.
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Brazoriatx979
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2025 1:59 pm First 1/3 to 1/2 of February looks great too.
It's "to far out" to be talking about what February might look like lol cuz lord knows it will change and everyone here and on 2k will be having strokes 😅
biggerbyte
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I was looking around to see what the forecasted temps look like for various locations. You have to get into Kansas to see anything remotely dramatic. Even there it's not Armageddon at hand. Now all of it is usually subject to change, but it gives us a glimpse into how off the bolder of cold air was going to steamroll south. In all honesty, waiting until Sunday will be fruitless. We might get the joy of seeing frozen precipitation at night, but it will quickly melt when the sun comes up. Sorry, folks. It is what it is.
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