JUNE 2016: Showers/Storms Possible

[wxman57]

Thought a front was supposed to push through today - but no mention of it in any of the discussions now - is that still the case?

Yeah, the weak frontal boundary is already south of Houston. 78 degrees at IAH at NOON in JUNE? That's ridiculous! Normal high for this time of year is 90, though IAH has YET to hit 90 this spring.

[mckinne63]

Yeah, the weak frontal boundary is already south of Houston. 78 degrees at IAH at NOON in JUNE? That's ridiculous! Normal high for this time of year is 90, though IAH has YET to hit 90 this spring.

I am not complaining about the temps at all. Was a lovely morning. I almost forgot it was June when I walked out the front door this morning to grab the newspaper.

[DoctorMu]

Yeah, the weak frontal boundary is already south of Houston. 78 degrees at IAH at NOON in JUNE? That's ridiculous! Normal high for this time of year is 90, though IAH has YET to hit 90 this spring.

I am not complaining about the temps at all. Was a lovely morning. I almost forgot it was June when I walked out the front door this morning to grab the newspaper.

Brisk northerly winds with the thermometer hitting 80° at noon. 90° by Noon is the usual summertime rule for College Station. Dew points below 70° feel refreshing, particularly with the breeze.

[djmike]

Here come the streamers. Glad the heavy storms are over.

[BlueJay]

The sky has really darkened. Thunder is rumbling. Rain is falling.
This is very familiar.

[DoctorMu]

I would take today every single day until September!

[mckinne63]

Skies are rumbling here in Stafford. One clap was so loud it shook the house.

[Texaspirate11]

Skies are rumbling here in Stafford. One clap was so loud it shook the house.

They just suspended the Free Press Summer Concert due to dangerous weather - this is the second year in a row they did this...may I suggest another date for the concert?

[srainhoutx]

Our pesky upper trough will linger for a couple of day before some drier air attempts to filter in Thursday and Friday. Look for an onshore flow at the surface to resume late week with some deeper tropical moisture headed our way from the NW Caribbean Sea and the Gulf. A tropical wave is near the Lesser Antilles this morning and with additional moisture streaming in at the mid/upper levels from tropical disturbance 92E WSW of the Gulf of Tehuantepec, rain chances look to increase late week into next weekend.

[DoctorMu]

Warm, but not hot, and breezy. NE winds, and possible fast moving showers moving through. Shrubs and grass are green. No complaints and would be delighted if the forecast could go "Groundhog Day" until Sept 1.

[srainhoutx]

Well that Eastern Pacific disturbance (92E ) went from 20% chance of developing to a full blown Tropical Depression #1E in a hurry...



SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1120 AM PDT MON JUN 6 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Special outlook to update discussion of low pressure near Mexico.

1. Updated: Recent satellite data indicate that the low pressure system
located about 250 miles southeast of Acapulco, Mexico has become a
tropical depression. Advisories will be initiated on this system
this afternoon, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be
required for a portion of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent

[DoctorMu]

Well that Eastern Pacific disturbance (92E ) went from 20% chance of developing to a full blown Tropical Depression #1E in a hurry...



SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1120 AM PDT MON JUN 6 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Special outlook to update discussion of low pressure near Mexico.

1. Updated: Recent satellite data indicate that the low pressure system
located about 250 miles southeast of Acapulco, Mexico has become a
tropical depression. Advisories will be initiated on this system
this afternoon, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be
required for a portion of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent

Yeah, 92E could possibly "cross-over" as a gyre-like mess into the Bay of Campeche. Will current steering current towards Florida, and a potential double header, hold?

The trough shows nicely.

[srainhoutx]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
426 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

BRAZORIA TX-
426 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
CENTRAL BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 425 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.
UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LAKE JACKSON...ANGLETON...CLUTE...RICHWOOD AND EASTERN BAILEY'S
PRAIRIE.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF UP TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA.
THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL MAKE MINOR FLOODING.

[Texaspirate11]

Well that Eastern Pacific disturbance (92E ) went from 20% chance of developing to a full blown Tropical Depression #1E in a hurry...



SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1120 AM PDT MON JUN 6 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Special outlook to update discussion of low pressure near Mexico.

1. Updated: Recent satellite data indicate that the low pressure system
located about 250 miles southeast of Acapulco, Mexico has become a
tropical depression. Advisories will be initiated on this system
this afternoon, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be
required for a portion of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent

Yeah, 92E could possibly "cross-over" as a gyre-like mess into the Bay of Campeche. Will current steering current towards Florida, and a potential double header, hold?

The trough shows nicely.

Just keep it out of Texas. thank you

[Ptarmigan]

Yeah, the weak frontal boundary is already south of Houston. 78 degrees at IAH at NOON in JUNE? That's ridiculous! Normal high for this time of year is 90, though IAH has YET to hit 90 this spring.

Good!

[tireman4]

I thought you said you were ok with 85 degree temperatures... ( I asked you was it 95 or bust)...LOL

[Texaspirate11]

According to the HGX NWS:

*if we reach 90F today at IAH, that would tie the 4th latest date to reach 90F since 1919 and 1965

[BlueJay]

I don't think IAH reached the magic number of 90F today!?

[DoctorMu]

I don't think IAH reached the magic number of 90F today!?

89° I believe.

[srainhoutx]

Still no "official" 90F at IAH as of yet which dates back to my much younger days. The shear axis is still playing a role in our sensible weather forecast, so expect scattered heat of the day thunderstorms to develop mainly SW of Metro Houston along our Coastal tier of counties throughout the workweek. A couple of features to watch is a surge of very deep tropical moisture headed our way from the NW Caribbean Sea and the Eastern Pacific associated with the monsoonal trough. An upper ridge is moving in tandem with the deep tropical moisture and there has been a flare up of tropical thunderstorms near the Yucatan Peninsula as well as the Gulf of Tehuantepec in the Eastern Pacific associated with an area of tropical disturbed weather. PW's are expected to surge above 2 inches this weekend, so we may see an increase in areal coverage of daytime showers and storms over the coming weekend into early next week.