From HGX AFD this morning: ( means, hang in there Jason.
)
000
FXUS64 KHGX 311514
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1014 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014
.UPDATE...
SEE MORNING UPDATE.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
AT 9 AM...A WEAK TROUGH OR PERHAPS AN OUTFLOW EXTENDS FROM ABOUT
LEAGUE CITY TOM PALACIOS. MOISTURE IS PLENTIFUL AT 850 MB WITH DEW
PTS AT 16-17 C. AT 700 MB...A WEAK TROUGH EXTENDED FROM ABOUT
WHARTON TO MCALLEN WITH A WELL DEFINED 700 MB TROUGH AXIS
EXTENDING FROM ABOUT ST LOUIS TO TEXARKANA TO AUSTIN. AT 250
MB...A WELL DEFINED TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM SE OK INTO CENTRAL
TEXAS. THE LIFT PROVIDED BY THE MID LEVEL TROUGHS AND DEEP
MOISTURE WILL SET THE STAGE FOR ADDITIONAL SHRA/TSRA THROUGH THE
MORNING. 12Z SOUNDINGS SHOW PW VALUES BETWEEN 2.2 AND 2.3
INCHES...NO CAPPING AND CONVECTIVE TEMPS IN LOWER 80S. RADAR IS
SHOWING A SWATH OF RAINFALL MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF US HWY 59.
1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER PARTS OF MATAGORDA AND
BRAZORIA COUNTIES WITH A BIT MORE ON THE WAY THIS MORNING. MODELS
INITIALIZED FAIRLY WELL SO AM EXPECTING THE RAINFALL TO CONTINUE
TO MOVE EAST AND NORTH THROUGH THE MORNING WITH RAINFALL BEGINNING
TO DIMINISH BY EARLY THIS AFTN. CURRENT FCST LOOKS ON TRACK BUT
MAY TWEAK TEMPS DOWN A BIT IN THE RAIN COOLED AIR. 43