ENSO Updates

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.1ºC
Niño 3.4 1.3ºC
Niño 3 1.5ºC
Niño 1+2 2.6ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed except for Region 4, which cooled.

[Ptarmigan]

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days 0.74
Average for last 90 days -6.38
Daily contribution to SOI calculation 10.75

SOI is up from last week.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days 0.85

ESPI is going up, which is sign of El Nino.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.1ºC
Niño 3.4 1.4ºC
Niño 3 1.8ºC
Niño 1+2 2.7ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions have warmed except Region 4.

[Ptarmigan]

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days 0.87
Average for last 90 days -6.54
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -28.40

SOI is down from last week.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days 0.26

ESPI is going down.

[Ptarmigan]

An Eastern Equatorial El Nino is developing.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.1ºC
Niño 3.4 1.4ºC
Niño 3 1.9ºC
Niño 1+2 2.6ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 has cooled, while Region 3 has warmed. Region 3.4 and 4 have stayed the same.

[Ptarmigan]

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -9.45
Average for last 90 days -8.74
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -28.47

SOI is down from last week.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days 0.73

ESPI is going up.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.1ºC
Niño 3.4 1.5ºC
Niño 3 2.1ºC
Niño 1+2 3.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Really warmed up, except for Region 4.

[srainhoutx]

From Phil Klotzbach via twitter yesterday:

Philip Klotzbach ‏@philklotzbach · 19h19 hours ago
Weekly Nino 3 index at 2.3C. Only two El Ninos since 1950 have had monthly Nino 3 values >= 2.3C ('82-'83, '97-'98).

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.0ºC
Niño 3.4 1.7ºC
Niño 3 2.3ºC
Niño 1+2 2.9ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 have cooled. Region 3 and 3.4 have warmed.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.0ºC
Niño 3.4 1.6ºC
Niño 3 2.1ºC
Niño 1+2 2.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 has cooled. Region 3 and 3.4 have warmed, while Region 4 has not changed.

[Ptarmigan]

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -13.66
Average for last 90 days -11.85
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -17.17

SOI is down from last week.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days 3.31

ESPI is going up.

[Ptarmigan]

Why a ‘super El Niño’ could still be a bust for California drought relief
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/cap ... ht-relief/

The warm water off the coast of Alaska could be a factor.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 1.9ºC
Niño 3 2.3ºC
Niño 1+2 2.6ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

It is really starting to warm up. Only Region 4 has cooled.

[Ptarmigan]

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -18.35
Average for last 90 days -12.74
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -4.67

SOI has gone up. Overall SOI average is negative.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days 2.78

ESPI is down, but high.

[srainhoutx]

The Climate Prediction Center in their Blog released today is suggesting a Strong El Nino is possible going into the Fall/Winter Season. Worth the read for those wanting to get a glimpse of what a Strong El Nino could mean for Texas, The Gulf Coastal States and the SE United States. Hint...looks wet and chilly with a very active Southern branch of the jet stream directing the storm track very far South and a growing potential for sub tropical jet activity across our Region.

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/b ... alidocious

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 2.0ºC
Niño 3 2.2ºC
Niño 1+2 2.0ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 have cooled, while Region 3.4 has warmed.

[Ptarmigan]

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -19.20
Average for last 90 days -12.18
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -17.06

SOI has gone down. Overall SOI average is negative.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days 2.54

ESPI is down, but high.

[Ptarmigan]

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.1ºC
Niño 3.4 2.1ºC
Niño 3 2.2ºC
Niño 1+2 1.7ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 has cooled. Region 3 remains the same. Region 3.4 and 4 have warmed.

[Ptarmigan]

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -20.23
Average for last 90 days -12.84
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -7.10

SOI has risen. Overall SOI average is negative.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov//trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days 1.94

ESPI is down, but high.