July 2022

[tireman4]

The Grid Conditions meter displays the current state of ERCOT grid conditions.

Green = The grid is operating under normal conditions.

Yellow = Energy conservation is requested.

Orange (Energy Emergency Level 1) = Emergency operations have begun due to low power reserves, but there are no controlled outages at this time. Energy conservation is requested.

Red (Energy Emergency Level 2) = The emergency level has been raised due to continued low power reserves. Energy conservation is requested. It is advised to create a plan in case controlled outages are needed later. Those with critical medical needs should register with their local utility and have a backup plan.

Black (Energy Emergency Level 3) = The highest level of emergency operations. Local electric utilities have been instructed to begin controlled outages. Health and safety should be made a priority by using city or county instructions and resources. Energy conservation is critical.

The Daily PRC graph shows the amount of operating reserves that represent Physical Responsive Capability (PRC), which includes the generation and load resources that are available to respond quickly to system events in case of sudden changes, such as an unexpected outage at a large generating unit. Reserves help ERCOT maintain system frequency at 60 Hz, the industry standard.

https://www.ercot.com/gridmktinfo/dashb ... conditions

[user:null]

In the past week, the trees are noticeably more stressed. The leaves are starting to brown-up now and the pine trees are starting to drop piles of pine needles. It’s like watching a slow-motion death. I hate droughts and this is turning into a bad one.

Not a good update to hear. In/around Fulshear, the pines and oaks don't that look stressed yet — the only signs of stress I see far seem to be with "laurels" like magnolias, bay trees, etc (of course, brown grass in areas that haven't been watered).

Also, eastern areas like League City, Downtown, etc have gotten decent rain, so should be relatively greener.

But the only area of Texas that isn't in drought right now is the RGV/SPI. Could that be the "unsung" hero concerning an oasis in Texas, especially combined with the warmest winters statewide? Would you move to that border region in the future?

[DoctorMu]

Will wait to water trees until it cools a little more. The damn cinch bugs are taking advantage of Ol Sol and the grass' weakened state.

So, rolling out the insecticide before watering.

[tireman4]

Will wait to water trees until it cools a little more. The damn cinch bugs are taking advantage of Ol Sol and the grass' weakened state.

So, rolling out the insecticide before watering.

I am going every two days. Just making sure my grass is semi ok. During 2011 ( man, that was awful. August was absolute hell..every day save one was over 100 degrees), I was watering dirt. LOL. I water at 6 am in the morning.

[Cromagnum]

Damnit. Every time a cell comes close to me, an outflow kicks out and it evaporates.

[Stratton20]

Nice little thunderstorms passed by to the west of CS by a few miles, absolutely deflating

[jasons2k]

In the past week, the trees are noticeably more stressed. The leaves are starting to brown-up now and the pine trees are starting to drop piles of pine needles. It’s like watching a slow-motion death. I hate droughts and this is turning into a bad one.

Not a good update to hear. In/around Fulshear, the pines and oaks don't that look stressed yet — the only signs of stress I see far seem to be with "laurels" like magnolias, bay trees, etc (of course, brown grass in areas that haven't been watered).

Also, eastern areas like League City, Downtown, etc have gotten decent rain, so should be relatively greener.

But the only area of Texas that isn't in drought right now is the RGV/SPI. Could that be the "unsung" hero concerning an oasis in Texas, especially combined with the warmest winters statewide? Would you move to that border region in the future?

I wouldn’t. Four main reasons:

1) The RGV is still at risk of the occasional deep hard freeze; moreso than Zone 10 on the Florida peninsula.

2) No comparison on the beaches. The Florida gulf beaches are some of the prettiest in the world. I stay in the water all day. I won’t get in the water in Texas any more.

3) Most of the area is economically depressed. It’s a shame because it was great before all the bases closed.

4) I don’t know anyone in the RGV. Have lots of friends and family in Florida (born there) and a 2nd home in Dunedin and a rental on IRB already. It’s just a matter if time before the family situation allows for a move, mainly getting the kids through school.

[DoctorMu]

Cells to the east of me. Cells to the west of me. No dice here.

[DoctorMu]

In the past week, the trees are noticeably more stressed. The leaves are starting to brown-up now and the pine trees are starting to drop piles of pine needles. It’s like watching a slow-motion death. I hate droughts and this is turning into a bad one.

Not a good update to hear. In/around Fulshear, the pines and oaks don't that look stressed yet — the only signs of stress I see far seem to be with "laurels" like magnolias, bay trees, etc (of course, brown grass in areas that haven't been watered).

Also, eastern areas like League City, Downtown, etc have gotten decent rain, so should be relatively greener.

But the only area of Texas that isn't in drought right now is the RGV/SPI. Could that be the "unsung" hero concerning an oasis in Texas, especially combined with the warmest winters statewide? Would you move to that border region in the future?

I wouldn’t. Four main reasons:

1) The RGV is still at risk of the occasional deep hard freeze; moreso than Zone 10 on the Florida peninsula.

2) No comparison on the beaches. The Florida gulf beaches are some of the prettiest in the world. I stay in the water all day. I won’t get in the water in Texas any more.

3) Most of the area is economically depressed. It’s a shame because it was great before all the bases closed.

4) I don’t know anyone in the RGV. Have lots of friends and family in Florida (born there) and a 2nd home in Dunedin and a rental on IRB already. It’s just a matter if time before the family situation allows for a move, mainly getting the kids through school.

That's why Gainesville was a good position, except for the occasional mild freeze. Beaches or fishing less than an hour away on Atlantic or Gulf Coasts. Less traffic than Central or South Florida. Rain nearly every day from June 10 through September. No cinch bugs. No brown patch. Flourishing, massive trees. Spanish moss!

[jasons2k]

Cells to the east of me. Cells to the west of me. No dice here.

Man that’s a bummer!!

Watching these cells to my northeast. So close now and still holding together!!!

The irony is earlier today we invited relatives over for night swimming after dinner and they are on their way over now!

[Stratton20]

The steering pattern is going to be a headache for the gulf system as its expected to just meander around or even stall out for a few days, here is the 18z Euro run, has what appears to be a mid level ridge building to the north of the system, that would force the system westward, while the most likely scenario is a Louisiana or florida “landfall”, this run does raise an eyebrow

[jasons2k]

Only a couple of drops. Not enough to wet the pavement- just a tease. The radar loop is a Debbie Downer for sure. Tap to see the loop. My house is the blue H.

[Ptarmigan]

Prolonged deluge may trigger serious Gulf Coast flooding
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2022 ... -flooding/

The warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico can be conducive to heavy rain. Remember the 2016 Louisiana flood?

[Cpv17]

Prolonged deluge may trigger serious Gulf Coast flooding
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2022 ... -flooding/

The warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico can be conducive to heavy rain. Remember the 2016 Louisiana flood?

I’m fairly confident it’ll happen again. And soon.

[Stratton20]

The 00z ICON is absolutely insane, with weak steering currents, the low could linger ocer water for a while, delays the trough, stalls the system and it becomes a cat 3, wow

[Cpv17]

The 00z ICON is absolutely insane, with weak steering currents, the low could linger ocer water for a while, delays the trough, stalls the system and it becomes a cat 3, wow

There’s parts of the northern Gulf that are approaching 31.5°C..absolutely insane.

[Stratton20]

Cpv17 thats jet fuel, interesting to see the ICON delays the trough, but what a doozy of a run

[DoctorMu]

Only a couple of drops. Not enough to wet the pavement- just a tease. The radar loop is a Debbie Downer for sure. Tap to see the loop. My house is the blue H.

Nifty feet with that right turn. That cell could be a good RB recruit.

[Cromagnum]

If the ICON scenario happens it's going to be even hotter and drier here...

[Stratton20]

The disturbance looks like its already about to move in, we are staying high and dry……