July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain
Thank you sir. I’ll try and hang in.
HMON is already further s and w early on.
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Kingwood36
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So far it's not that much. Wouldn't take long to correct to 18z.
At hr39 the HWRF is slight further s and w along with being more organized than 18z.
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Kingwood36
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So the west trend continues
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Kingwood36
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Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 10, 2019 12:22 am So the west trend continues..i heard somewhere that a stronger system would tend to go more west then east correct?
HMON turns towards la and is nearing landfall a little further w than 18z. Not by much.
Hr 75 on the HMON as it nears the coast it bends back to the without making landfall yet.
HMON finally makes landfall hr81. Decent shift w but not dramatically.
0z HWRF hits a wall at hr 75 and turns due n. May make landfall slightly to the e compared to the 18z run.
0z euro is much further w.
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Andrew
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Wow, UKMET was quite the run. ECMWF is showing not nearly as deep of a trough over the northeast compared to the last couple of runs. Also, the initialized midlevel vorticity is already a lot further west than anticipated. It shows we still need to monitor this system and so does everyone else along the northern gulf coast.
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0z euro makes landfall somewhere between the border and Holly Beach.
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stormlover
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Um. Yeah.
That's an off the chart kinda shift.
That's an off the chart kinda shift.
0z Euro Ensemble spread
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Well sure enough the two things that needed to happen to make this a potential concern for our immediate area appear may just be happening.
The idea of an about face on the trough is showing up on the overnight runs and the area a little further down by Tampa looks interesting.
Long day ahead.
The idea of an about face on the trough is showing up on the overnight runs and the area a little further down by Tampa looks interesting.
Long day ahead.