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Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 11:35 am
by wxdata
gocuse22 wrote:sugar land is in the clear?
To early to tell. Difficult to judge how far south the wrap-around storms may travel as well as any 'home-grown' storms this affternoon.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 11:37 am
by srainhoutx
gocuse22 wrote:sugar land is in the clear?
Also keep an eye S of Galveston in the Gulf. Rain/showers are developing and racing NW in the inflow of the convection to our W.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 11:44 am
by wxdata
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1142 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

TXZ195>198-091745-
BRAZOS-BURLESON-GRIMES-WASHINGTON-
1142 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 1135 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAVASOTA...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 30 TO 35 MPH.

WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH...BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...WELLBORN...
WASHINGTON...MILLICAN...INDEPENDENCE...NAVASOTA AND COLLEGE STATION.

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH CANS TO
BLOW AROUND. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM
HAS PASSED.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM FOR THE WARNED AREA.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 11:45 am
by wxdata
Upper low seems to be picking up forward speed as it lifts northeastward.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 11:57 am
by ticka1
So the more it moves NE ward - the less it moves south and east and won't be a major concern for us here in Houston area? Its now 87 degrees - definitely getting warm out there!

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 11:59 am
by wxdata
ticka1 wrote:So the more it moves NE ward - the less it moves south and east and won't be a major concern for us here in Houston area? Its now 87 degrees - definitely getting warm out there!
That's very true. It'll be a race between storms reaching Houston vs upper low lifting out.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 12:07 pm
by biggerbyte
At the moment, I would say that folks south of I10, and east of H59, can pretty much forget about it. That "out of the woods" feeling could easily slip even further north and west than that. I'm not sure this event was ever meant to be a factor in the weather for most of this area. N.W. counties should pay attention. The rest of us should just watch and see what happens as this low passes by.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 12:33 pm
by wxdata
Need to keep an eye on the cell near Todd Mission (Grimes County.) Some hint of rotation.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 12:36 pm
by wxdata
Radar suggests near large marble size hail near Todd Mission.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 12:41 pm
by wxdata
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1240 PM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN WALKER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 130 PM CDT

* AT 1239 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TODD MISSION...OR
10 MILES NORTHWEST OF PINEHURST...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO RICHARDS...PLANTERSVILLE...DOBBIN...DACUS AND
MONTGOMERY.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 12:45 pm
by rnmm
biggerbyte wrote:At the moment, I would say that folks south of I10, and east of H59, can pretty much forget about it. That "out of the woods" feeling could easily slip even further north and west than that. I'm not sure this event was ever meant to be a factor in the weather for most of this area. N.W. counties should pay attention. The rest of us should just watch and see what happens as this low passes by.

As much as we need the rain I am glad we aren't going to get any storms...thank you for sharing :D

I have a friend in Cedar Creek and she said her weather was pretty horrible for awhile and it is still raining there :o

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 12:46 pm
by srainhoutx
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1235 PM CDT WED JUN 09 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 AM FLASH FLOOD BRYAN 30.67N 96.37W
06/09/2010 BRAZOS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WATER IN BRYAN NEAR WEST 28TH AND SOUTH. PEACH CREEK
ROAD IMPASSABLE

0945 AM FLASH FLOOD MILLICAN 30.47N 96.20W
06/09/2010 BRAZOS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WATER ON FM159.

0950 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 S IOLA 30.73N 96.07W
06/09/2010 GRIMES TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGH WATER ON FM244 BETWEEN IOLA AND KEITH.

0950 AM FLASH FLOOD CALDWELL 30.53N 96.70W
06/09/2010 BURLESON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS ROADS HAVE HIGH WATER THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY
INCLUDING CR377...FM908...FM60 WEST...FM 1361...HWY 36
NORTH NEAR COUNTY LINE.

0955 AM LIGHTNING COLLEGE STATION 30.60N 96.31W
06/09/2010 BRAZOS TX EMERGENCY MNGR

LIGHTNING KNOCKED OUT POWER IN PORTIONS OF THE CITY.

0955 AM FLASH FLOOD COLLEGE STATION 30.60N 96.31W
06/09/2010 BRAZOS TX EMERGENCY MNGR

HIGH WATER AT SOUTHWEST PARKWAY AT WELCH AND AT DEACON
AND AURORA.

1046 AM FLASH FLOOD COLLEGE STATION 30.60N 96.31W
06/09/2010 BRAZOS TX BROADCAST MEDIA

KING COLE STREET IN COLLEGE STATION CLOSED.

1046 AM FLASH FLOOD COLLEGE STATION 30.60N 96.31W
06/09/2010 BRAZOS TX BROADCAST MEDIA

LOW WATER OVER BRIDGE ON SOUTHWOOD WITH BEE CREEK FLOWING
OVER ITS BANKS IN COLLEGE STATION.


&&

$$

GHAFELE

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 12:47 pm
by gocuse22
at this point i would say if your south of I-10 you have a 30-40 percent chance of storms, if your north of I-10 watch out.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 12:48 pm
by wxdata
NWS saw it too!

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1246 PM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 115 PM CDT

* AT 1244 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR DOBBIN... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
DACUS...MONTGOMERY AND MAGNOLIA.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 12:53 pm
by gocuse22
Watching radar line expanding down NW Harris will get some strong storms.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 1:10 pm
by wxdata
Main rotation slipping a little east of tornado warning. Now just south of Keenan in Montgomery County.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 1:21 pm
by svrwx0503
Not sure how much rain will be able to develop over areas south of I-10 as it looks like there is some dry air being pulled northward across our southern counties which looks to be capping those areas off for the most part. There is a small line of activity trying to develop south through Waller and far WNW Harris county but it not having much luck. I think the heavy rain threat should be slowly winding down across the northwest through the afternoon with the possibility of additional development later tonight or tomorrow morning again.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 1:25 pm
by Puzzled1
Do yall think these storms will keep it up in time to impact the kingwood area? Hoping to see some storms :D

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 1:28 pm
by svrwx0503
Model soundings show a dry slow at around 750mb over the Houston area along with PW's down to 1.68'' which is suppressing any type of shower and thunderstorm development at this time. Soundings for Huntsville show PW's right around 2.00'' with a very moist profile.

As far as the severe threat is concerned...models continue to show decent shear values, especially across areas north of I-10 so an isolated tornado threat should continue for the next several hours.

Re: June Weather Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 09, 2010 1:29 pm
by svrwx0503
Puzzled1 wrote:Do yall think these storms will keep it up in time to impact the kingwood area? Hoping to see some storms :D

You might see some rain, but unless the showers over northwest Harris county can manage to develop more, I think any significant weather should pass to your north.