April: Warm & Muggy To End The Month. Showers Monday?

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redneckweather
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Good cell just quickly fired off in southwest Montgomery County.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
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srainhoutx
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON
TX134 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

TXZ179-201900-
POLK TX-
134 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN POLK COUNTY UNTIL
200 PM CDT...

AT 130 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12
MILES EAST OF LIVINGSTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORM
HAS PRODUCED HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN
POLK COUNTY.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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ticka1
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jasons wrote:Radar looks good now. I was just using reverse psychology earlier :-)
It worked
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srainhoutx
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We'll need to watch this cell to our W...

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
138 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL BASTROP COUNTY...
EAST CENTRAL CALDWELL COUNTY...
WESTERN FAYETTE COUNTY...
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN GONZALES COUNTY...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT.

* AT 130 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CISTERN...
OR 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SMITHVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE MULDOON.

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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0572
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0130 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS DEEP S TX...LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY
REGION...COASTAL PLAIN SW OF WW 184.

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 201830Z - 202030Z

SVR POTENTIAL FCST TO INCREASE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON OVER
DISCUSSION AREA...INCLUDING CONDITIONAL POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
SUPERCELLS. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL. SVR
DOWNDRAFT GUSTS ALSO ARE POSSIBLE...RELATED BOTH TO PRECIP LOADING
AND POTENTIAL FOR EVENTUAL UPSCALE COLD-POOL GROWTH. TORNADO THREAT
IS MORE CONDITIONAL ON BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS AND STORM-SCALE
PROCESSES...BUT A TORNADO OR TWO IS POSSIBLE.

SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWED COLD FRONT FROM NE TX SWWD ACROSS SAT AREA
TO JUST W COT. PREFRONTAL WIND SHIFT WAS DRAWN JUST E OF I-35
BETWEEN SAT-LRD THEN SSWWD TO MMMY. FRONT IS FCST TO MOVE SEWD
THROUGH AFTERNOON...OVERTAKING WIND SHIFT AND MOVING INTO
DESTABILIZING AIR MASS WITH WEAKENING CINH. MODIFIED RAOBS AND FCST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MLCAPE INCREASING TO 2000-3000 J/KG RANGE WITH SFC
DEW POINTS REMAINING MID-60S F...AND CONTINUED STG INSOLATION.
BOUNDARY-LAYER FLOW IS NOT PARTICULARLY STG...LIMITING EFFECTIVE
SRH. HOWEVER...SUBSTANTIAL DIRECTIONAL VEERING WITH HEIGHT SHOULD
BE MAINTAINED THROUGH AT LEAST LATE AFTERNOON. 850 MB WINDS HAVE
VEERED FARTHER N ACROSS CRP AREA...APPARENTLY IN RESPONSE TO
SEWD-MOVING...MESOBETA-SCALE PERTURBATION ACCOMPANYING
EARLIER/WEAKENING PLUME OF CLOUDS/PRECIP. HOWEVER...SFC FLOW THAT
VEERED LAST HOUR IN THAT AREA...HAS BACKED AGAIN. AS MID-UPPER
TROUGH PASSING ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF THIS AREA ENHANCES HEIGHT
GRADIENT...MIDLEVEL WINDS AND THUS DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL
STRENGTHEN...ESPECIALLY WHERE LOW-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN RELATIVELY
BACKED. RESULT SHOULD BE 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES...AND
ELONGATED...SOMEWHAT HOOK-SHAPED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS DEVELOPING
THAT MOST FAVOR SUPERCELLS FOR ANY DISCRETE TSTMS EXHIBITING
STRONGLY DEVIANT/SWD MOTIONS.

..EDWARDS.. 04/20/2012


ATTN...WFO...CRP...BRO...
Attachments
04202012 mcd0572.gif
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
145 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

TXZ210-211-201915-
AUSTIN TX-COLORADO TX-
145 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AUSTIN AND COLORADO COUNTIES
UNTIL 215 PM CDT...

AT 143 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR COLUMBUS...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLUMBUS.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
149 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL DEWITT COUNTY...
SOUTH CENTRAL GONZALES COUNTY...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT.

* AT 139 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CONCRETE...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF CUERO...AND MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE EDGAR.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
154 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

TXZ205-207-221-201930-
BEXAR-GUADALUPE-WILSON-
154 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXTREME EASTERN BEXAR...EXTREME
NORTHERN WILSON AND SOUTHERN GUADALUPE COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

AT 146 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NEW BERLIN...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
SEGUIN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
SEGUIN...
NOLTE...
ZIPP...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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The cap has completely eroded now. We'll need to watch the line forming to our W for some stronger storms as the get a bit closer during rush hour...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
200 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

TXZ196>199-210>213-226-201945-
HARRIS TX-WASHINGTON TX-AUSTIN TX-WHARTON TX-COLORADO TX-WALLER TX-
GRIMES TX-MONTGOMERY TX-BRAZOS TX-
200 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN HARRIS...
WASHINGTON...AUSTIN...NORTH CENTRAL WHARTON...COLORADO...WALLER...
GRIMES...WEST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHEASTERN BRAZOS COUNTIES
UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

AT 200 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NAVASOTA TO COLUMBUS MOVING EAST AT
20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NAVASOTA...HEMPSTEAD...SEALY...PRAIRIE VIEW...COLUMBUS...BELLVILLE...
EAGLE LAKE...WALLER...MAGNOLIA...SAN FELIPE...PINE ISLAND...
MONTGOMERY AND TODD MISSION.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Katdaddy
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The line of storms have exploded over the last hour. This will make for a messy rush hour. Glad I took a PTO day.
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srainhoutx
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Warning may be needed for theat cell in front of the line in Waller County shortly...

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Kludge
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srainhoutx wrote:
jasons wrote:Radar looks good now. I waws just using reverse psychology earlier :-)
And it worked well. Maybe we'll get some rain for Kludge's birthday... :mrgreen:
3/4 inch in about 15 minutes here, Steve... and thanks for the birthday 'membrance :) :) :)

I couldn't have asked for a better present :mrgreen:
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srainhoutx
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HGX reports 'penny sized hail' 5 miles E of Columbus
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0225 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

VALID 202000Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SRN AND ERN TX...FAR WRN LA...

...SRN AND ERN TX...WRN LA...
LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE OUTLOOK EXCEPT TO TIGHTEN THE WRN
GRADIENT BEHIND EXISTING STORMS. MAINLY A HAIL THREAT WILL PERSIST
UNTIL THE ACTIVITY MOVES OFFSHORE. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
BUILD SWWD ALONG THE FRONT...WITH A CONDITIONAL THREAT OF VERY LARGE
HAIL WITH LARGE INSTABILITY AND LONG HODOGRAPHS OVER DEEP S TX. SOME
CAPPING CONCERNS EXIST...AS WELL AS MIXING OF MOISTURE AND THE
SURGING COLD FRONT. FOR MORE IN DEPTH INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE
DISCUSSIONS 0571 AND 0572.

..JEWELL.. 04/20/2012
Attachments
04202012 20Z SPC day1otlk_20120420_2000_prt.gif
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
231 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

TXZ210-226-235-202030-
JACKSON TX-WHARTON TX-COLORADO TX-
231 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL JACKSON...WEST
CENTRAL WHARTON AND SOUTH COLORADO COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 231 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR EZZELL MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND
FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL BE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTH CENTRAL
JACKSON...WEST CENTRAL WHARTON AND EXTREME SOUTH
CENTRAL COLORADO COUNTIES.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
243 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

TXZ177-202030-
WALKER TX-
243 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WALKER COUNTY UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 239 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF HUNTSVILLE...
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HUNTSVILLE.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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Folks in Jackson, Matagorda Counties heads up. Bow echo noted on radar
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
253 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

TXZ199-212-213-227-202045-
HARRIS TX-FORT BEND TX-WALLER TX-MONTGOMERY TX-
253 PM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARRIS...NORTH CENTRAL FORT
BEND...SOUTHEASTERN WALLER AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES
UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 252 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM TOMBALL TO KATY...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPRING...THE WOODLANDS...MISSION BEND...BELLAIRE...HUMBLE...ALDINE...
WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE...KATY...JERSEY VILLAGE...TOMBALL...HUNTERS
CREEK VILLAGE...BUNKER HILL VILLAGE...SPRING VALLEY...PINEY POINT
VILLAGE...OAK RIDGE NORTH...HEDWIG VILLAGE...PORTER HEIGHTS...
SOUTHSIDE PLACE...HILSHIRE VILLAGE AND STAGECOACH.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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Getting penny sized hail with winds gusting to near 50 here in NW Harris County. Power is back on
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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