January 2023
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I suspect the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks will trend towards below normal precipitation, the sub tropical jet just doesn’t look to be that active after next Tuesdays storm system, figures
Yeah, the rain chances on Saturday are much lower in CLL than HOU/IAH. Tuesday is the main fly in the ointment for us. Otherwise, cool to seasonable temps. We are progged not to hit freezing, although that could change, particularly next weekend.
Ensembles are cooler than normal, but not arctic yet for the next 10 days.
I would pretty much bank on us getting hammered with the severe stuff and a complete swing and miss on any type of enjoyable cold weather.
That would be a big change from what has been happening the past couple months. Mostly the severe stuff has been north and east of us. Heck, most of the rain lately has been.
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Significant change on the ICON at the 500 mb vort level, the low now tracks much further south, coastal low develops in response
Sounds good for SETX!Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 19, 2023 9:57 pm Significant change on the ICON at the 500 mb vort level, the low now tracks much further south, coastal low develops in response
We might for once actually see some decent rains around here.sambucol wrote: ↑Thu Jan 19, 2023 10:14 pmSounds good for SETX!Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 19, 2023 9:57 pm Significant change on the ICON at the 500 mb vort level, the low now tracks much further south, coastal low develops in response
I've already received more than 3 inches of rain so far this month,with more rain to come.
I’ve only had one inch since around Thanksgiving time. So almost two months. Prior to that I was getting some good rains on a consistent basis but nothing lately. Everything has been north and east of me.
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Models are starting to hint at an arctic blast, hopefully we can get a legit cold snap before winter is over, 60’s for highs are fine, but not really cold, just my opinion though, ensembles look decent in the medium range
Last edited by Stratton20 on Fri Jan 20, 2023 12:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Dear winter weather lovers,
Sorry, not this year. See yall in hurricane season.
signed,
Mother Nature
Sorry, not this year. See yall in hurricane season.
signed,
Mother Nature
- MontgomeryCoWx
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Around the 29th the moisture, coastal low could be in place. We just need the cold air.
It's -80°F in Siberia - why waste that beautifully cold air? A vaca across the north pole?
It's -80°F in Siberia - why waste that beautifully cold air? A vaca across the north pole?
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DoctorMu we just need cross polar flow to setup, i dont know how people can live in temps like that, blows my mind, i do agree that we need to watch that coastal low around the 29th, its been consistently their in the GFS
I’ve been watching that Russian - Siberian cold for a couple of weeks. That’s why I was saying be patient. 

I have to wonder how stormy spring will be around here. It feels like it's been many years since we had a legit thunderstorm season. I remember it happening all the time as a kiddo.
- MontgomeryCoWx
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It hasn’t been that long since we had extremely active Springs. Hell, 2015-2019 was very wet.
Team #NeverSummer
I bout a drought resistance Mexican Oak in the Spring of 2016, but flooding rains drowned it. Since then in CLL we only had 1 Spring (2019?) where late May and June rains left us very wet...but then it still didn't rain hardly at all until late August.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 20, 2023 1:01 pmIt hasn’t been that long since we had extremely active Springs. Hell, 2015-2019 was very wet.
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