January 2022

[don]

12Z Euro looks very similar to the 12Z Canadian model,both are now showing a strong ridge of high pressure sitting in the northern plains.With a storm system moving in the state from the west.Doesn't show a winter storm yet but gets close fwiw.Lets see if the trend continues over the next couple of days.And if the GFS switches back to a colder solution. edit: (The Ukmet also gets close to showing a winter storm)

[Kingwood36]

Man that is sooooooooo close....

[Stratton20]

12z Euro ensemble , looks like we have a very interesting next few days ahead of us

[Kingwood36]

I've always been told that light gray on those maps don't mean anything likes its less then an inch

[Cpv17]

I've always been told that light gray on those maps don't mean anything likes its less then an inch

Yes that is true. It’s basically just a trace but the fact that it’s showing at least that this far out bears watching. Lots of times when it snows here it doesn’t start popping up on the models till it’s within 2 days.

[Stratton20]

Also keep in mind those numbers are the average between all the ensemble members, the 12z Euro has some 1-2 inch isolated amounts in far western SE Texas

[Cpv17]

This is very encouraging to see this from the CPC:

[Stratton20]

Now that noaa map looks nice!

[walsean1]

I've always been told that light gray on those maps don't mean anything likes its less then an inch

It would be bad if the translated to ICE. That’s worse

[Cpv17]

The 18z EPS came in slightly more aggressive than the 12z.

[Kingwood36]

The 18z EPS came in slightly more aggressive than the 12z.

Yup its a good start hopefully it continues

[Stratton20]

18z GFS still showing no wintry precip for friday

[Kingwood36]

I think the gfs is the outlier at the moment..Hopefully it comes around

[Stratton20]

Kingwood36 considering the GEFS ensemble is showing a winter storm set up, i have to agree here

[don]

18Z GFS did trend in the right direction though, the trough placement is much further west on this run due to the ridging being weaker in the west.Notice the much lower heights over us compared to the 12Z.

[DoctorMu]

To sleep, perchance to dream.

[Stratton20]

18z GEFS even more aggressive with a winter storm over texas

[Kingwood36]

18z

[Kingwood36]

I think the operational gfs is lost lol if the ensembles are showing this

[txsnowmaker]

To sleep, perchance to dream.

Nice to see the 540 line south of Houston, but no one in Houston sees snow according to that map. I like the trends though.