January: Calmer Pattern To End The Month

[Katdaddy]

A few areas of light sleet and perhaps a flurry or two between Corpus Christi and Brownsville this morning with no accumulation. Temps in the low to upper 20s across SE TX.. Currently setting at 27F in League City. A few upper teens N of Houston metro. The big difference is the wind this morning which is mostly calm or very light but its still very cold outside so dress warm. The big warm-up begins tomorrow with 70s by Friday along with rain chances with increasing GOM moisture.

[unome]

http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/? ... cipStart=0 (Houston area temps)

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/gmap.php (won't let you save a view, so enter your zip or location, select options)

http://preview.weather.gov/graphical/?z ... s=nautical (click the arrow on the right for other map options)

[MontgomeryCoWx]

16 degrees at my house this morning

[srainhoutx]

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
223 AM CST TUE JAN 07 2014

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT COLLEGE STATION...

A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 21 DEGREES WAS TIED AT COLLEGE STATION
YESTERDAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 21 SET IN 1970.

[srainhoutx]

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO, TX
719 AM CST TUE JAN 07 2014

...A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE WAS SET AT AUSTIN BERGSTROM...

A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 14 DEGREES WAS SET AT THE AUSTIN
BERGSTROM AIRPORT THIS MORNING. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD
OF 17 DEGREES SET IN 1970.

[redneckweather]

I have a reading of 15.4 at my house south of Lake Conroe Dam. I also see the NWS has introduced 20% of showers across the area tonight with a low of 30. Looks like we got ourselves a snow watch tonight!!

[srainhoutx]

I have a reading of 15.4 at my house south of Lake Conroe Dam. I also see the NWS has introduced 20% of showers across the area tonight with a low of 30. Looks like we got ourselves a snow watch tonight!!

Some light sleet has been reported just N of Corpus and McAllen this morning. You never know...

[djmike]

A few current temp reading across the Golden Triangle and Southeast Texas as of 1/7/14 7:42am:

(Current / Lowest)

Beaumont, Tx (Lamar University) - 21/19
Lumberton, Tx - 21/19
Sabine Pass - 25/25
China, Tx - 23/21
Orange, Tx - 18/17
Jasper, Tx - 14/13
Kirbyville, Tx - 14/13
Port Arthur, Tx - 27/24
Sour Lake, Tx - 20/18

[srainhoutx]

Mike, what were the Lake Charles/Ft Polk/Kinder and other Parishes in SW Louisiana? We have a lot of folks from the Arcadia Region now following our Board. I am also interested in the New Orleans area. That Regions also has a lot of folks that follow our Board and even some member from the LIX forecast area.

[srainhoutx]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
704 AM CST TUE JAN 7 2014

TXZ229>233-239>246-071500-
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-WEBB-DUVAL-JIM WELLS-
KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COTULLA...CALLIHAM...CROSS...
LOMA ALTA...TILDEN...GEORGE WEST...THREE RIVERS...BEEVILLE...
GOLIAD...LAREDO...FREER...BENAVIDES...SAN DIEGO...ALICE...
ORANGE GROVE...KINGSVILLE...CORPUS CHRISTI...PORTLAND...
INGLESIDE...ARANSAS PASS...SINTON...MATHIS...ROCKPORT...REFUGIO...
WOODSBORO
704 AM CST TUE JAN 7 2014

...LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...

AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN...LIGHT SLEET...AND EVEN SOME LIGHT SNOW HAVE
BEEN IMPACTING PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS
LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE FOR A COUPLE OF MORE
HOURS UNTIL TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO WARM. NO SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO THE BREVITY OF THE
PRECIPITATION...BUT A LIGHT DUSTING OF SLEET MAY COVER VEHICLES
AND ELEVATED SURFACE. SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL IMPACTS ARE NOT
EXPECTED...BUT ISOLATED SLICK SPOTS MAY DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING
ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

[srainhoutx]

Accumulating sleet now reported near Corpus.

[djmike]

A few current temp reading across Louisiana as of 1/7/14 8:02am:

(Current / Lowest)

Lake Charles, LA - 20/20
Fort Polk, LA - 19/17
Kinder, LA - 21/21
Sulphur, LA - 21/20
New Orleans, LA - 23/23
Dequincy, LA - 18/17
Deridder, LA - 18/17
Arcadian Parish - 12/12
Baton Rouge, LA - 23/21
Monroe, LA - 14/14
Shreveport, LA - 16/15
Slidell, LA - 19/16

[djmike]

A few current temp reading across extreme souyhern Texas as of 1/7/14 8:10am:

(Current / Lowest)

Corpus Christi, Tx - 33/30
McAllen, Tx - 34/34
Brownsville, Tx - 39/34
Kingsville, Tx - 33/32

[ronyan]

Made it to 24.6F here, our low occurred at 345am. Temps started to slowly rise after that and now up to 30.2. It was still the coldest night in 3 years but under more ideal conditions we would have made a run at teens.

[cristina6871]

What do the models show after the moderated warm up? Are there more cold fronts in our future?

[redneckweather]

Accumulating sleet near Corpus...interesting!!

Ok, something frozen fell from the sky overnight at my house. I have what appears to be frozen snowflakes all over my windshield. Anyone have an explanation for this? If anyone wants to posts the pic, send me a message with your number and I will text it to you.

[srainhoutx]

Morning Update from Jeff:

Hard Freeze Warning verifying well this morning even with the overnight cloud cover.

So far as of 600am temperatures have fallen to :

Huntsville: 19
College Station: 19
Conroe: 16
BUSH IAH: 22
Sugar Land: 22
Tomball: 21
Victoria: 24
Wharton: 20
Brenham: 20
Cleveland: 17
Bay City: 22
Hobby: 25
Galveston 28

Should see low temperatures for the date established in the next 1-2 hours…but at the moment the daily records look safe.

Of note:

The low yesterday of 21 at College Station tied the record set in 1970

The low of 20 at Austin Bergstrom broke the record of 22 in 1972

The high temperature of 36 at BUSH IAH was the coldest high for Jan 6…previous record was 38 in 1971

The high of 37 at Hobby Airport yesterday also set a new record for the coldest maximum…previous record was 39 in 1971

Waco set a new record low of 16…previous record was 20 in 1910…a 104 year record.

The national US low temperature yesterday was -37F in Babbitt, MN

The national US low temperature for Sunday was -40F at Embarrass, MN

Bitter cold arctic high that has brought extreme cold to much of the Midwest and now eastern US will begin to move eastward today allowing winds to become E this afternoon and SE tonight. This onshore flow will begin to increase moisture levels from their bone dry state (dewpoints in the 10’s) to levels more accustom across the southern US. Do not expect another freeze tonight as onshore winds and increasing clouds should not allow much of a temperature fall tonight…in fact coastal locations may see near steady temperatures overnight. Warm up commences in earnest on Wednesday as warm air advection increases ahead of lee side Rockies low pressure troughing which will displace the arctic dome across the plains. Highs will recover into the 50’s locally and it is uphill into the weekend with lows by Friday likely only in the mid 50’s and highs in the low to mid 70’s.

Bigger question is when to bring in rain chances and how much rain over the next 2-4 days. Not a lot of upper support for rainfall on Wednesday yet model guidance is showing 40% mainly in the afternoon which goes up even more Thursday-Saturday. Think a few scattered “streamer: showers will be possible on Wednesday by late afternoon as moisture increases and mainly west of I-45 and then expanding to much of the area by Thursday morning. Even though high rain chances are shown on Thursday…think it will be mainly light and possibly only in the morning.

Upper level storm system currently offshore of the west coast approaches by Friday and digs down into northern MX. EURO and CMC models want to close off and slow/stall the system SW of TX into the weekend and the GFS model looks to be trending some in that direction. Jet dynamics increase across the region Friday so expect an increase in northward moving showers off the Gulf. Rain chances will peak at some point late Friday into Saturday depending on when exactly the storm system moves across TX along with an associated cool front.

Rainfall amounts Wed-Sat will average .5 to 1.0 inch across much of the area especially west of I-45. Could see a few higher amounts if thunderstorms are able to develop late Friday into Saturday.

[redneckweather]

Here ya go. Definitely snowflakes and looks to of lasted a whole 20 seconds maybe.

snowshield2.jpg

[TxJohn]

I guess we're entering our "January thaw" period...hopefully it's only for at most 10 days.

[srainhoutx]

It looks like about a 10 day January thaw, then the pattern may flip as the Arctic reloads...