El Nino usually means cooler winters as it is more cloudy and wet. There are other factors in play like North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), Pacific North America (PNA), East Pacific Oscillation (EPO), and West Pacific Oscillation (WPO). As for snow, that is more of a timing issue based on cold air and moisture rather than relationship with El Nino. However, since El Nino winters are wetter, snow chances are more likely. The last El Nino winter we had, it snowed, which was 2009-2010. 1972-1973 had three +1" snowfall and it was El Nino.sambucol wrote:Does this mean we are going to have a colder winter than last year? Snow chances higher? Coldest winter in decades? Thanks!
ENSO Updates
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.6ºC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
Region 1+2 cooled, while Region 3, 3.4, and 4 have warmed. Could this be Modoki El Nino developing?
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.6ºC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
Region 1+2 cooled, while Region 3, 3.4, and 4 have warmed. Could this be Modoki El Nino developing?
Latest Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) Values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/
Average for last 30 days -8.6
Average for last 90 days -8.0
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -9.7
August -10.1
September -6.6
October -8.2
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/
Average for last 30 days -8.6
Average for last 90 days -8.0
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -9.7
August -10.1
September -6.6
October -8.2
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.8ºC
Niño 3 0.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.5ºC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
All regions warmed, except for Region 1+2. I think we could be seeing Modoki El Nino.
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.8ºC
Niño 3 0.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.5ºC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
All regions warmed, except for Region 1+2. I think we could be seeing Modoki El Nino.
Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/
Average for last 30 days -13.4
Average for last 90 days -8.8
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -16.9
August -10.1
September -6.6
October -8.2
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/
Average for last 30 days -13.4
Average for last 90 days -8.8
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -16.9
August -10.1
September -6.6
October -8.2
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.8ºC
Niño 3 0.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.9ºC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
Region 1+2 has warmed, while the rest have been unchanged.
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.8ºC
Niño 3 0.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.9ºC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
Region 1+2 has warmed, while the rest have been unchanged.
Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/
Average for last 30 days -10.5
Average for last 90 days -8.2
Daily contribution to SOI calculation 3.4
August -10.1
September -6.6
October -8.2
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/
Average for last 30 days -10.5
Average for last 90 days -8.2
Daily contribution to SOI calculation 3.4
August -10.1
September -6.6
October -8.2
PDO has warmed to 1.49 for October.
http://jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest
http://jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest
WHAT DOES THIS VALUE MEAN BASICALLY?Ptarmigan wrote:PDO has warmed to 1.49 for October.
http://jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest
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SLM87TX wrote:WHAT DOES THIS VALUE MEAN BASICALLY?Ptarmigan wrote:PDO has warmed to 1.49 for October.
http://jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest
Basically it mean below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation for our Region.
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Member: National Weather Association
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Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.9ºC
Niño 3 1.0ºC
Niño 1+2 0.8ºC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
Region 1+2 cooled, while 3 and 3.4 warmed. Region 4 stayed the same.
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.9ºC
Niño 3 1.0ºC
Niño 1+2 0.8ºC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
Region 1+2 cooled, while 3 and 3.4 warmed. Region 4 stayed the same.
Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/
Average for last 30 days -7.2
Average for last 90 days -7.7
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -4.6
August -10.1
September -6.6
October -8.2
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/
Average for last 30 days -7.2
Average for last 90 days -7.7
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -4.6
August -10.1
September -6.6
October -8.2
A large warm subsurface pool is growing.
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 1.0ºC
Niño 3 0.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.4ºC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
Region 1+2 and 3 cooled. Region 3.4 warmed, while Region 4 stayed the same.
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 1.0ºC
Niño 3 0.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.4ºC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
Region 1+2 and 3 cooled. Region 3.4 warmed, while Region 4 stayed the same.
Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/
Average for last 30 days -8.6
Average for last 90 days -7.8
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -17.2
September -6.6
October -8.2
November -8.0
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/
Average for last 30 days -8.6
Average for last 90 days -7.8
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -17.2
September -6.6
October -8.2
November -8.0
http://www.climate.gov/news-features/bl ... e-no-cigar
December's ENSO Update: Close, but no cigar.
Author:
Emily Becker
Thursday, December 4, 2014
The first Thursday of every month is when we do the CPC/IRI ENSO status update, when NOAA officially answers the question “Are we there yet?” This month, the answer is...close, but no cigar.
redesign of their website is pretty cool, too - there's a tab for ENSO... http://www.cpcpara.ncep.noaa.gov/
Please note: This non-operational server hosts the redesigned web pages developed, thus far, as part of the Climate Prediction Center's (CPC) ongoing website redesign project. This server is not guaranteed to be available 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Timely delivery of data and products from this server through the Internet is not guaranteed. Access to the CPC main website is available by using the Legacy Website link at the top of the page or via the legacy Website link(s) provided towards the bottom of the page.
December's ENSO Update: Close, but no cigar.
Author:
Emily Becker
Thursday, December 4, 2014
The first Thursday of every month is when we do the CPC/IRI ENSO status update, when NOAA officially answers the question “Are we there yet?” This month, the answer is...close, but no cigar.
redesign of their website is pretty cool, too - there's a tab for ENSO... http://www.cpcpara.ncep.noaa.gov/
Please note: This non-operational server hosts the redesigned web pages developed, thus far, as part of the Climate Prediction Center's (CPC) ongoing website redesign project. This server is not guaranteed to be available 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Timely delivery of data and products from this server through the Internet is not guaranteed. Access to the CPC main website is available by using the Legacy Website link at the top of the page or via the legacy Website link(s) provided towards the bottom of the page.
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.8ºC
Niño 3 0.7ºC
Niño 1+2 0.0ºC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
Region 1+2, 3, and 3.4 have cooled, while Region 4 is the same. Modoki El Nino developing?
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.8ºC
Niño 3 0.7ºC
Niño 1+2 0.0ºC
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
Region 1+2, 3, and 3.4 have cooled, while Region 4 is the same. Modoki El Nino developing?
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.9ºC
Niño 3 0.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.2ºC
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf
All regions warmed up except for Region 4.
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 0.9ºC
Niño 3 0.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.2ºC
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf
All regions warmed up except for Region 4.
Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/
Average for last 30 days -5.3
Average for last 90 days -6.6
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -4.5
September -6.6
October -8.2
November -8.0
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/
Average for last 30 days -5.3
Average for last 90 days -6.6
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -4.5
September -6.6
October -8.2
November -8.0
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.0ºC
Niño 3.4 0.8ºC
Niño 3 0.8ºC
Niño 1+2 0.1ºC
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf
All regions have warmed up slightly.
Niño 4 1.0ºC
Niño 3.4 0.8ºC
Niño 3 0.8ºC
Niño 1+2 0.1ºC
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf
All regions have warmed up slightly.