April 2018- April To End Cooler/Drier Than Normal

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
mckinne63
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DoctorMu wrote:If folks in Wisconsin have to freeze in April for our mild spring and tame severe season, well they're used to it anyway... :lol:
LOL Yep, they are! I grew up in Wisconsin. :mrgreen:
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Katdaddy
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Another mostly sunny day with highs in the low to mid 80s across SE TX. Perhaps a few showers and an isolated thunderstorm will be possible Wednesday night night early Thursday morning with the next cool front that will bring more beautiful weather for the end of the week.
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tireman4
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238
FXUS64 KHGX 241727
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1227 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.AVIATION [18Z TAF ISSUANCE]...
VFR with light and variable winds. Slight chance of patchy fog
early Wednesday morning.

11

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1045 AM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018/

UPDATE...
Another beautiful day in paradise. Surface high pressure centered
over eastern Texas has kept skies clear and winds either calm or
variable. No near to short term changes other than the western
entrance of scattered cirrus and today`s northerly breezes becoming
weak onshore by early tomorrow afternoon. Maximum temperatures
will achieve late April standard lower to middle 80s with overnights
cooling into the upper 50s to lower 60s. Due to the southeastward
advancement of an upper low/trough moving across Kansas and Oklahoma
tomorrow afternoon...rain probabilities will begin to increase to
moderate chances across our far northern tier counties during late
Wednesday afternoon. The surface reflection will be of a passing
cold front that will reach our northern counties tomorrow evening
and then pass off the coast shortly after midnight Thursday. Scattered
showers with a few isolated thunderstorms can be expected across
the northern half of the forecast area...or just ahead of along
this frontal boundary as it advances towards the coast during the
overnight hours. Not much fanfare is expected with this latest
shortwave trough/cold frontal passage as the regional atmospheric
column will not have much time to saturate and there are little to
no upper level forcing dynamics as it relates to jet stream positioning.
A reinforcing shot of drier and slightly cooler air on Friday behind
a secondary shortwave trough passage will only be noticeable in
the northerly wind field as wind speeds pick up a bit during the day.
31
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Katdaddy
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A beautiful cirrus SE TX sunset to end the evening.
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Katdaddy
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A few scattered showers will be possible tonight associated with a cool front which will bring SE TX more nice beautiful weather through the weekend with highs in the upper 70s and lows in the mid 50s (60s along the immediate coast). The perfect Spring weather continues.
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jasons2k
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This weather is wonderful. Swim practice started last week for the kids, and it's pretty chilly for them, but it's great for the rest of us. Not too hot on rain chances later today/tonight but it would be welcome since it looks like our last shot until late next week/following weekend. Things are OK now but if we don't get any rain tonight, come next week, things will start to really dry out. Let's just hope the big system next week actually delivers instead of flopping.

We've been blessed with such a mild spring but as things heat up, the evaporation rates really crank and the plants need their water. I noticed my garage almost felt hot yesterday for maybe the 2nd or 3rd time this spring. It's coming....
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tireman4
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Jason,

Are they doing Summer League? Mine gave up on that this year. He said it was too hot..LOL. We are still with the elite swim club year around. Also....
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jasons2k
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tireman4 wrote:Jason,

Are they doing Summer League? Mine gave up on that this year. He said it was too hot..LOL. We are still with the elite swim club year around. Also....
Yes, we just do summer league (for now). They swim for the Imperial Oaks Seals. My youngest is also in baseball, both spring and fall ball, and that's about all we can handle right now. I remember the first meet last year was chilly (50's in the AM) but every meet after that was hot. They have been really chilly at practice this year, purple lips and everything, and it takes a lot out of them. They are ready for the water to warm up.
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tireman4
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Ahh, we swam for Eagle Springs Flyers. We ( well, they) swim against the Imperial Oaks folks at Trinity Invitational. We are permanently with the Eagle Swimming Association and now in Long Course season. Yeah, it has been cool. Remember, in August and September it will be in the mid to upper 90's with mid 70's for dewpoints. :)
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Got some thunder bumpers headed to SA, this afternoon. Looks like the one around Hondo is bowing some, too. They'll have a fun commute.
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jasons wrote:
tireman4 wrote:Jason,

Are they doing Summer League? Mine gave up on that this year. He said it was too hot..LOL. We are still with the elite swim club year around. Also....
Yes, we just do summer league (for now). They swim for the Imperial Oaks Seals. My youngest is also in baseball, both spring and fall ball, and that's about all we can handle right now. I remember the first meet last year was chilly (50's in the AM) but every meet after that was hot. They have been really chilly at practice this year, purple lips and everything, and it takes a lot out of them. They are ready for the water to warm up.
What org does your son play for?
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jasons2k
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redneckweather wrote: What org does your son play for?
He plays for ORWALL (Oak Ridge-Woodlands Area Little League).
unome
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Severe warnings being posted by EWX:

https://twitter.com/iembot_ewx
https://twitter.com/NWSSanAntonio
https://radar.weather.gov/lite/N0R/EWX_loop.gif

Image
Mesoscale Discussion 0289
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0324 PM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

Areas affected...parts of south Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 252024Z - 252230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A severe storm or two -- with potential to produce hail
and/or locally damaging winds. WW is not anticipated at this time
due to anticipated limited coverage of risk.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a cluster of thunderstorms near
and west of the SAT area, along a cold front moving steadily
southward across south Texas. Other, stronger cells are ongoing
well west of the Rio Grande over northeast Mexico -- where much
greater instability is observed.

With that said, the eastern extension of the axis of stronger
instability extends just across the river into Laredo/Cotulla area,
south of the ongoing storms. As the front advances southward into
this area, a couple of more vigorous storms may develop. While
shear remains somewhat modest across the area -- only marginally
supportive of mid-level rotation, some risk for hail and or damaging
winds may evolve locally late this afternoon and early evening.

..Goss/Hart.. 04/25/2018

...Please see http://www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...
Last edited by unome on Thu Apr 26, 2018 3:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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jasons2k
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Looks like everything fell apart and skated south of us, pretty much as expected. Onto next weeks’s system. It better not flake out on us, as we’re gonna need the rain!
BlueJay
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No rain for us. I watered the lawn.
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Texaspirate11
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GOT to love our HGX NWS,,,lets hear it for the Midnight Shift

The result is a bunch of slight chance and low end chance PoPs splattered
throughout the entire first half of the week. In other words...the
most recent XKCD comic (Number 1985, for posterity) is
disturbingly appropriate to my situation tonight and I`ll be
keeping my eye out for security for the rest of my shift...

Another more significant chance of rain looks to be on tap just
beyond the end of this forecast period. Guidance is very gung ho
on rain, and if this period were a part of the official forecast,
I`d undercut it significantly on PoPs. This is partly due to
range, and partly due to the underperformance of the last couple
of fronts. Let`s be honest, here - the nascent beginning of a
seabreeze pattern, some more spacing between fronts, more
underwhelming fronts, and the fact that it`s late April...We`re
not there yet, and there`s still some springtime to be had in the
coming weeks, but it`s time to brace yourselves, as summer is
coming.
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
Be Weather Aware & Prepared!
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jasons2k
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That is great. Here is a link to the comic: https://xkcd.com/1985/
unome
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Texaspirate11 wrote:GOT to love our HGX NWS,,,lets hear it for the Midnight Shift

The result is a bunch of slight chance and low end chance PoPs splattered throughout the entire first half of the week. In other words...the most recent XKCD comic (Number 1985, for posterity) is disturbingly appropriate to my situation tonight and I`ll be keeping my eye out for security for the rest of my shift...


huge XKCD fan here, luv our weather professionals with humor :lol:
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Texaspirate11
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I knew yall would be on it!!!!!

Remember this Saturday is TAX FREE Emergency Preparedness Supply Day!
I know we have to restock our supplies - and get ready for Hurricane 2018...which shall be
in progress....soon....

happy weekend.
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
Be Weather Aware & Prepared!
Barbara Jordan Winner in Media
Disability Integration Consultant
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